Ottawa Senators at Tampa Bay Lightning - 3/1/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Ottawa Senators at Tampa Bay Lightning - 3/1/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Lightning (34-11-6) vs Ottawa Senators (19-27-5)

Game Info: Tuesday, March 1, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -350 / Ottawa Senators +280 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Ottawa Senators in Tuesday NHL Action.

The Ottawa Senators come into this road contest with an overall record of 19-27-5. Through 51 games, the Senators are 6th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 135 times, good for a rank of 27th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Ottawa is the 18th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.14 goals per game. So far, the Senators have a strength of schedule rating of 1st in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 22nd ranked team in the NHL.

The Tampa Bay Lightning get set to host the Ottawa Senators with an overall record of 34-11-6. This mark places them 2nd in the Atlantic division. Through 51 games, the Lightning have scored 177 goals, giving them an average of 3.43. This output gives them a rank of 8th among NHL teams. On defense, Tampa Bay is the 7th ranked unit, giving up 2.75 goals per contest. So far, the Lightning have played the 17th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Tampa Bay's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 7th in the NHL.

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Coming into this game, the Ottawa Senators leader in points is Brady Tkachuk. In his team's 51 games, he has come up with 17 goals and 20 assists. He has scored his goals on a shooting percentage of 9.9%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to an even plus-minus rating. The team's top overall goal scorer is Joshua Norris. Of his 18 goals, 39.0% have come during power play time. Ottawa's top goalie is Anton Forsberg, who is giving up an average of 2.79 goals per game. In his 24 games played, he has turned in 13 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 50 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning's goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos, with 59 points. He has reached his mark of 25 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.6%. So far, 32.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 40 assists to go along with his 11 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +18.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.28 goals per game. In his 40 games played, he has turned in 26 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Coming into this game, the Senators have an over-under record of 17-31-1. When playing on the road, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 8-14-1. On the season, 39.0% of Ottawa's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 43.0% of the scoring coming from the Senators. In Tampa Bay's 51 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 27-22. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing at home, going just 10-14. On the season. 57.0% of Tampa Bay's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 55% of the scoring coming from the Lightning. The over-under line in this matchup is set at just 5.5 goals. I recommend taking the over in what should be a higher-scoring game than expected.

 

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Joe’s Pick Over 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 6/27/22 | Ron's Rundown

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