Buffalo Sabres at Dallas Stars - 2/27/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Buffalo Sabres at Dallas Stars - 2/27/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Stars (28-20-3) vs Buffalo Sabres (16-29-8)

Game Info: Sunday, February 27, 2022 at 2:00 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Stars -270 / Buffalo Sabres +210 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Dallas Stars host the Buffalo Sabres in Sunday NHL Action.

The Buffalo Sabres come into this road contest with an overall record of 16-29-8. Through 53 games, the Sabres are 7th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 141 times, good for a rank of 24th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Buffalo is the 29th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.58 goals per game. So far, the Sabres have a strength of schedule rating of 29th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 30th ranked team in the NHL.

The Dallas Stars get set to host the Buffalo Sabres with an overall record of 28-20-3. This mark places them 5th in the Central division. Through 51 games, the Stars have scored 147 goals, giving them an average of 2.82. This output gives them a rank of 22nd among NHL teams. On defense, Dallas is the 13th ranked unit, giving up 2.88 goals per contest. So far, the Stars have played the 6th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Dallas's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 17th in the NHL.

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Through 49 games, the Buffalo Sabres goal and overall scoring leader is Tage Thompson with 39 points. He has reached his mark of 21 goals, on a shooting percentage of 13.5%. So far, 29% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Jeff Skinner, who has 16 assists to go along with his 20 goals. However, when on the ice, the Sabres are -8.0 in scoring differential. Buffalo's top goalie is Craig Anderson, who is giving up an average of 2.92 goals per game.

Through 51 games, Dallas' leading goal scorer is Jason Robertson. With his 22 goals and 25 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 47. On the season, he is turning 18.0% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Stars have benefited from the strong play of Joe Pavelski, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Dallas's 51 games, he has come up with 21 goals on a shooting percentage of 15.6%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +15. Dallas's top goalie is Jake Oettinger, who is giving up an average of 2.26 goals per game. In his 25 games played, he has turned in 14 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Buffalo's 53 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 26-25. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing on the road, going just 12-13. On the season, 53.0% of Buffalo's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 44.0% of the scoring coming from the Sabres. Coming into this game, the Stars have an over-under record of 20-28-1. When playing at home, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 12-13. On the season, 41.0% of Dallas's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 52.0% of the scoring coming from the Stars. Even with a line set at just 5.5 goals, I still recommend taking the under.

 

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Joe’s Pick Under 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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