Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red Wings - 2/26/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red Wings - 2/26/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

Detroit Red Wings (23-23-6) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (33-14-4)

Game Info: Saturday, February 26, 2022 at 7:30 pm (Little Caesars Arena)

Betting Odds: Detroit Red Wings +200 / Toronto Maple Leafs -256 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Detroit Red Wings host the Toronto Maple Leafs in Saturday NHL Action.

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this road contest with an overall record of 33-14-4. Through 51 games, the Maple Leafs are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 182 times, good for a rank of 4th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Toronto is the 7th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.76 goals per game. So far, the Maple Leafs have a strength of schedule rating of 15th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 6th ranked team in the NHL.

The Detroit Red Wings get set to host the Toronto Maple Leafs with an overall record of 23-23-6. This mark places them 5th in the Atlantic division. Through 52 games, the Red Wings have scored 149 goals, giving them an average of 2.81. This output gives them a rank of 19th among NHL teams. On defense, Detroit is the 26th ranked unit, giving up 3.46 goals per contest. So far, the Red Wings have played the 27th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Detroit's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 26th in the NHL.

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Through 48 games, the Toronto Maple Leaf's goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews with 64 points. He has reached his mark of 36 goals, on a shooting percentage of 16.6%. So far, 33.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mitch Marner, who has 31 assists to go along with his 17 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +14. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.46 goals per game. In his 37 games played, he has turned in 23 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 47 games, the Detroit Red Wings' goal and overall scoring leader is Dylan Larkin, with 54 points. He has reached his mark of 26 goals, on a shooting percentage of 18.4%. So far, 19.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Tyler Bertuzzi, who has 21 assists to go along with his 23 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +10.0. Detroit's top goalie is Alex Nedeljkovic, who is giving up an average of 3.01 goals per game. In his 36 games played, he has turned in 18 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In terms of betting, the Maple Leafs are covering the spread in less than half their games, with an ATS record of just 19-29. These struggles against the spread are also taking place on the road, as they have covered just 10 of their 24 road games. On the season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a per-game scoring differential of 0.78. As the Toronto Maple Leafs get set to take on the Red Wings, they have a below .500 record over their past five games, going 2-3. Look for the Red Wings to take advantage of a Maple Leaf's offense struggling to find the net as Detroit covers the puck line.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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