Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets - 2/22/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets - 2/22/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Jean-Yves Ahern-USA TODAY Sports

Columbus Blue Jackets (25-23-1) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (32-13-3)

Game Info: Tuesday, February 22, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Nationwide Arena)

Betting Odds: Columbus Blue Jackets +130 / Toronto Maple Leafs -167 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Columbus Blue Jackets host the Toronto Maple Leafs in Tuesday NHL Action.

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this road contest with an overall record of 32-13-3. Through 48 games, the Maple Leafs are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 174 times, good for a rank of 5th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Toronto is the 5th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.73 goals per game. So far, the Maple Leafs have a strength of schedule rating of 14th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 5th ranked team in the NHL.

The Columbus Blue Jackets get set to host the Toronto Maple Leafs with an overall record of 25-23-1. This mark places them 5th in the Metropolitan division. Through 49 games, the Blue Jackets have scored 163 goals, giving them an average of 3.27. This output gives them a rank of 13th among NHL teams. On defense, Columbus is the 27th ranked unit, giving up 3.65 goals per contest. So far, the Blue Jackets have played the 22nd toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Columbus's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 22nd in the NHL.

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Through 45 games, the Toronto Maple Leaf's goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews with 59 points. He has reached his mark of 33 goals, on a shooting percentage of 16.4%. So far, 36.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is William Nylander, who has 28 assists to go along with his 19 goals. However, when on the ice the Maple Leafs are -4 in scoring differential. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.41 goals per game. In his 36 games played, he has turned in 23 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 49 games, the Columbus Blue Jackets' goal and overall scoring leader is Boone Jenner, with 39 points. He has reached his mark of 21 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.9%. So far, 33.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Jakub Voracek, who has 32 assists to go along with his 2 goals. However, when on the ice the Blue Jackets are -8 in scoring differential. Columbus's top goalie is Elvis Merzlikins, who is giving up an average of 3.42 goals per game. In his 32 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 45% percent of the time.

In Toronto's 48 games, they have an above .500 record against the spread, going 30-16. So far, the Maple Leafs have been a good bet on the road as they have covered in 13 of their 23 road games. On the season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a per-game scoring differential of 0.88. Even when playing on the road, the team is winning games by an averge margin of 0.71 goals. In 5 on 5 situations, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a shooting percentage of 8.1%, placing them above the league average. Their shooting efficiency is a key reason for their offensive success as they are also generating 5 on 5 scoring chances at an above-average rate. Based on the quality of their shot attempts, advanced metrics show the Maple Leafs should have at least 11.1 more goals on their total. On the season, their high danger scoring chance figure of 7.52 per game compares favorably to other NHL Teams. Look for the Maple Leafs to take down the Blue Jackets, picking up a road win.

 

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Joe’s Pick Maple Leafs -167

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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