St. Louis Blues at Toronto Maple Leafs - 2/19/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

St. Louis Blues at Toronto Maple Leafs - 2/19/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports

Toronto Maple Leafs (32-12-3) vs St. Louis Blues (28-14-6)

Game Info: Saturday, February 19, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)

Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -133 / St. Louis Blues +105 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The St. Louis Blues host the Toronto Maple Leafs in Saturday NHL Action

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this road contest with an overall record of 32-12-3. Through 47 games, the Maple Leafs are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 171 times, good for a rank of 4th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Toronto is the 4th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.66 goals per game. So far, the Maple Leafs have a strength of schedule rating of 16th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 5th ranked team in the NHL.

The St. Louis Blues get set to host the Toronto Maple Leafs with an overall record of 28-14-6. This mark places them 3rd in the Central division. Through 48 games, the Blues have scored 169 goals, giving them an average of 3.48. This output gives them a rank of 7th among NHL teams. On defense, St. Louis is the 6th ranked unit, giving up 2.75 goals per contest. So far, the Blues have played the 17th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account St. Louis's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 7th in the NHL.

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Through 44 games, the Toronto Maple Leaf's goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews, with 59 points. He has reached his mark of 33 goals, on a shooting percentage of 16.6%. So far, 36.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mitch Marner, who has 28 assists to go along with his 17 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +15. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.33 goals per game. In his 35 games played, he has turned in 23 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 48 games, St. Louis' leading goal scorer is Jordan Kyrou. With his 18 goals and 25 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 43. On the season, he is turning 15.7% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Blues have benefited from the strong play of Vladimir Tarasenko, who is the team's overall leader in points. In St. Louis's 48 games, he has come up with 18 goals on a shooting percentage of 12.6%. However, when on the ice, the Blues are -2.0 in scoring differential. St. Louis's top goalie is Ville Husso, who is giving up an average of 1.91 goals per game. In his 18 games played, he has turned in 12 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Toronto's 47 games, they have an above .500 record against the spread, going 30-15. So far, the Maple Leafs have been a good bet on the road as they have covered in 13 of their 23 road games. On the season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a per-game scoring differential of 0.96. Even when playing on the road, the team is winning games by an averge margin of 0.71 goals. Heading into their game with the St. Louis Blues, the Maple Leafs have a 3-2 record over their past five contests. In these games, they have scored 18 goals, accounting for 56% of the overall scoring. A key to this recent success is the fact that they have outscored their usual output of 3.6 goals per game 3 times. Look for the Maple Leafs to pick up the road win over St. Louis.

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Joe’s Pick Maple Leafs -133

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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