Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs - 2/17/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs - 2/17/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by © Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Toronto Maple Leafs (31-12-3) vs Pittsburgh Penguins (31-11-8)

Game Info: Thursday, February 17, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)

Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs +120 / Pittsburgh Penguins +175 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Pittsburgh Penguins in Thursday NHL Action.

The Pittsburgh Penguins come into this road contest with an overall record of 31-11-8. Through 50 games, the Penguins are 1st in the Metropolitan Division. On the season, they have found the net 169 times, good for a rank of 4th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Pittsburgh is the 8th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.54 goals per game. So far, the Penguins have a strength of schedule rating of 32nd in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 9th ranked team in the NHL.

The Toronto Maple Leafs get set to host the Pittsburgh Penguins with an overall record of 31-12-3. This mark places them 3rd in the Atlantic division. Through 46 games, the Maple Leafs have scored 167 goals, giving them an average of 3.59. This output gives them a rank of 6th among NHL teams. On defense, Toronto is the 5th ranked unit, giving up 2.7 goals per contest. So far, the Maple Leafs have played the 18th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Toronto's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 5th in the NHL.

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Through 44 games, the Pittsburgh Penguins goal and overall scoring leader is Jake Guentzel with 51 points. He has reached his mark of 25 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.7%. So far, 24.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Sidney Crosby, who has 32 assists to go along with his 14 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +11.0. Pittsburgh's top goalie is Tristan Jarry, who is giving up an average of 2.2 goals per game. In his 39 games played, he has turned in 24 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 43 games, the Toronto Maple Leafs's goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews, with 57 points. He has reached his mark of 32 goals, on a shooting percentage of 16.3%. So far, 38.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is William Nylander, who has 28 assists to go along with his 17 goals. However, when on the ice the Maple Leafs are -3 in scoring differential. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.38 goals per game. In his 34 games played, he has turned in 22 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Pittsburgh's 50 games, they have an above .500 record against the spread, going 29-19. So far, the Penguins have been a good bet on the road as they have covered in 17 of their 25 road games. On the season, the Pittsburgh Penguins have a per-game scoring differential of 0.74. Even when playing on the road, the team is winning games by an averge margin of 1.04 goals. Heading into their game with the Toronto Maple Leafs, the Penguins have a 4-1 record over their past five contests. In these games, they have scored 18 goals, accounting for 60.0% of the overall scoring. A key to this recent success is the fact that they have outscored their usual output of 3.34 goals per game 3 times. Look for the Penguins to come away with a big road win.

 

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Joe’s Pick Pittsburgh +175

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 8/17/22 | Ron's Rundown

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