Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens - 7/5/21 NHL Picks and Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens - 7/5/21 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Jean-Yves Ahern-USA TODAY Sports

Montreal Canadiens (36-28-12) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (51-20-6)

Game Info: Monday, July 5, 2021 at 8:00 pm (Bell Centre)

Betting Odds: Montreal Canadiens +130 / Tampa Bay Lightning -150 --- Over/Under: 5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Montreal Canadiens will host the Tampa Bay Lightning for game 4 of their Stanley Cup Finals series. The Lightning have jumped out to a 3-0 series lead and will be going for the sweep here.

Montreal lost 6-3 in the last game, never once leading in the game. They managed to outshoot the Lightning 35-30 but did not manage to find the same quality looks. Nick Suzuki scored his team-high 7th playoff goal in the game. Carey Price has been exposed by the potent Lightning attack in this series. He allowed 5 goals on 29 shots in the last game. He was averaging just over 2 goals allowed per game entering this series, but has given up 4.39 per game in the finals. Montreal has not been reaping the benefits of home-ice advantages in the playoffs. They are 5-4, averaging 2.44 goals per game while giving up 2.56 to the opposition.  

Tampa Bay has cruised to a 3-0 series lead, never trailing in any game. Their last game was a team effort, with 5 different Lightning scoring in the game. Nikita Kucherov scored his 8th goal to go along with an assist; he leads the team with 24 assists and 32 points in the playoffs. They were 1-1 on the power play in the game; they rank 2nd among playoff teams with a 36.7% power play. Andrei Vasislevskiy had an average night in net, allowing 3 goals on 35 shots. In the series he has allowed 1.67 goals per game with a .948 save percentage. The Lightning have been one of the best road teams in the postseason. They are 7-2 while allowing just 2.1 goals per game with a 89.7% penalty kill.

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Montreal is 18-14-5 at home this season, 37-39 ATS, and the under is 39-30.

Tampa Bay is 22-12-4 on the road this season, 36-41 ATS, and the under is 37-35.

This series has been all Tampa Bay and it is hard to see this one going any other way. Despite going on this deep playoff run, the Canadiens have not been great offensively. They have gotten here with defense and it is clear that is no match for the Lightnings explosive offense. Vasilevskiy has been more than adequate in net for Tampa Bay, so it is hard to find any advantages for Montreal in this one. Give me the Lightning to finish with a sweep.

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Joe’s Pick Tampa Bay Lightning -150

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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