Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning - 6/28/21 NHL Picks and Prediction

Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning - 6/28/21 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Lightning (48-20-6) vs Montreal Canadiens (36-25-12)

Game Info: Monday, June 28, 2021 at 8:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -210 / Montreal Canadiens +188 --- Over/Under: 5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning will host the Montreal Canadiens for game one of the Stanley Cup Finals. This will be the Canadiens first Stanley Cup appearance since 1993, with the Lightning looking to defend their title from last year.

The Canadiens won 2 straight games to close out their series against Vegas to advance. They won the last game 3-2 in overtime to continue their wild postseason ride. Artturi Lehkonen scored the game winner, his 3rd of the playoffs. Tyler Toffoli is their leading scorer in the playoffs, leading the team with 9 assists and 14 points. The Canadiens rode their great defense throughout the playoffs. They have the best Penalty Kill, stopping 93.5% of their opponents’ chances. Carey Prices has been rock solid in net, allowing just 2.02 goals per game with a .934 save percentage.  Montreal has allowed just 2.22 goals per game on the road this postseason.

Tampa Bay bounced back to win game 6 against the Islanders to continue their title defense run. They won their last game 1-0 on a brilliant all-around defensive showing. They only allowed 18 shots, all of which were stopped by Andrei Vasilevskiy. Yanni Gourde scored the only goal shorthanded, his 5th of the postseason. Brayden Point leads the NHL with 14 goals. Nikita Kucherov leads the team with 22 assists and 27 points. Vasilevskiy has started all 18 games for the Lightning, allowing just 1.99 goals per game with a .936 save percentage. Tampa Bay has outscored their opponents by an average of 2 goals per game at home this postseason.

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Montreal is 18-12-7 on the road this season, 37-36 ATS and the under is 38-28.

Tampa Bay is 27-8-2 at home this season, 33-41 ATS, and the under is 36-33.

Montreal has been the surprise story of the playoffs, but have a chance to prove they are legit in this series. The Canadiens have the defense to hang with the Lightning, but it will  be a tough task in game 1 on the road. The Lightning have been elite at home all season, and have won their last three games there by a combined 13-2 score. Give me the Lightning to open things up with a win.

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Joe’s Pick Tampa Bay Lightning -210

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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