Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars - 3/23/21 NHL Picks and Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars - 3/23/21 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Stars (10-10-8) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (23-6-2)

Game Info: Tuesday, March 23, 2021 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Stars +128 / Tampa Bay Lightning -141 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Dallas Stars meet in NHL action from the American Airlines Center on Tuesday night.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will be out to build on a 5-3 win over Florida in their last matchup. Victor Hedman leads the Lightning in scoring with 32 points including 6 goals and a team-high 26 assists while Steven Stamkos has 30 points with a team-high 15 goals and 17 assists and Brayden Point has 13 goals and 17 apples for his 30 points this season. Ondrej Palat also has 11 goals and 17 assists for the Bolts this season. As a team, Tampa Bay is averaging 3.6 goals per game on 30.8 shots with a 29% success rate on the power play while allowing 2.3 goals against on 27.7 shots per game with an 84.5% success rate on the PK this season.

The Dallas Stars will try to rebound from a 4-3 loss to the Nashville Predators in their last matchup. Joe Pavelski leads the Sharks in scoring with 28 points split between 14 goals and 14 assists while John Klingberg has 19 points with 5 goals and 14 of his own this season. Roope Hintz and Jason Robertson each have 17 points with Hints logging 8 goals while Robertson has 13 assists. Jamie Benn, Denis Gurianov and Miro Heiskanen each have 15 points with double-digit assist totals this season. As a team, Dallas is averaging 2.8 goals on 29.3 shots with a 23.9% success rate on the power play while allowing 2.5 goals on 27.2 shots with a 78.2% success rate on the PK this season.

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Tampa Bay is 38-13 in their last 51 games overall and 36-16 in their last 52 road games while the over is 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Dallas is 2-10 in their last 12 home games and 5-16 in their last 21 games overall while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog. Tampa Bay is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams and 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between the two in Dallas.

I get the case that can be made for either side here, as Dallas should be able to get up for a Stanley Cup rematch and Tampa has been good no matter where they play this season. With that said, I’m expecting a lower-scoring game here, as Andrei Vasilevskiy is in Vezina trophy form and Dallas is starting to get back to their defensive style that won them the west last season. Give me the under here.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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