Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - 2/25/20 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - 2/25/20 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

Toronto Maple Leafs (32-23-8) at Tampa Bay Lightning (40-17-5)

NHL Hockey: Tuesday, February 25, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -188 / Toronto Maple Leafs +169 --- Over/Under: 6.5

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The Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Tuesday in NHL action at the Amalie Arena.

The Toronto Maple Leafs need a win after losing seven of their last 11 games. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring on 23.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 43 goals, Mitch Marner has 46 assists and Morgan Rielly has 122 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.3 goals per game and are killing 76.1 percent of their opponents power plays. Frederik Andersen has given up 134 goals on 1,431 shots faced and Michael Hutchinson has allowed 48 goals on 421 shots. The Toronto Maple Leafs have allowed three or more goals in nine of their last 15 games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning look for a win after winning 10 of their last 10 games. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring on 23.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 29 goals, Steven Stamkos has 36 assists and Kevin Shattenkirk has 116 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.8 goals per game and are killing 82.6 percent of their opponents power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 119 goals on 1,420 shots faced and Curtis McElhinney has allowed 44 goals on 497 shots. The Tampa Bay Lightning have allowed two or less goals in seven of their last 11 games.

The Maple Leafs are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Tampa Bay and 1-6 in the last 7 meetings. The road team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. The under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Tampa Bay.

The Tampa Bay Lightning have won eight of the last 10 meetings against the Maple Leafs, and they've outscored them 16-6 in the last three meetings overall. The Toronto Maple Leafs are worth consideration in big plus money spots like this because of the offensive firepower, but they've also shown serious inconsistency issues when it comes to tasing their game and those defensive issues appear to be back. It doesn't look like the Maple Leafs are ready just yet. I'll take the Lighting and the PL for added value. 

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Randy’s Pick Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.