Dallas Stars vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - 1/29/20 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Dallas Stars vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - 1/29/20 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

Toronto Maple Leafs (26-17-7) at Dallas Stars (28-17-4)

NHL Hockey: Wednesday, January 29, 2020 at 7:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

The Line: Dallas Stars -119 / Toronto Maple Leafs +108 --- Over/Under: 6

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The Toronto Maple Leafs and Dallas Stars meet Wednesday in NHL action at the American Airlines Center.

The Toronto Maple Leafs need a win after losing five of their last seven games. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game and are scoring on 24.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 35 goals, Mitch Marner has 35 assists and Morgan Rielly has 122 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.3 goals per game and are killing 76.3 percent of their opponents power plays. Frederik Andersen has given up 111 goals on 1,239 shots faced and Michael Hutchinson has allowed 40 goals on 349 shots. The Toronto Maple Leafs have allowed four or more goals in five of their last seven games.

The Dallas Stars look for a win after splitting their last six games. The Dallas Stars are averaging 2.6 goals per game and are scoring on 19.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Roope Hintz leads Dallas with 15 goals, Tyler Seguin has 26 assists and Alexander Radulov has 104 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.5 goals per game and are killing 82.4 percent of their opponents power plays. Ben Bishop has given up 70 goals on 955 shots faced and Anton Khudobin has allowed 42 goals on 579 shots. The Dallas Stars have allowed two or less goals in nine of their last 11 games.

The Maple Leafs are 6-1 in their last 7 road games, 7-3 in their last 10 games following a win and 2-5 in their last 7 overall. The Stars are 4-1 in their last 5 home games, 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win and 8-3 in their last 11 overall. The over is 6-1 in Maple Leafs last 7 overall. The under is 34-14-4 in Stars last 52 home games. The Maple Leafs are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Dallas and 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. The underdog is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

The Toronto Maple Leafs have cooled off after an amazing hot streak and the defense is back to looking like Toronto of old that's prevented this team from taking that next step. The Dallas Stars are as consistent as they come defensively and are always going to keep your bet alive because of the consistency. The problem here is we're getting plus money with an explosive Toronto team that's won eight of the last 10 meetings against the Dallas Stars. Based on the history, I have to take a shot with the road team and the more favorable price.

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Randy’s Pick Toronto Maple Leafs +108

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.