Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders - 9/17/20 NHL Picks and Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders - 9/17/20 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Perry Nelson-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Lightning (56-25-7) at New York Islanders (48-28-13)

NHL Hockey: Thursday, September 17, 2020 at 8:00 pm (Rogers Place)

The Line: New York Islanders +130 / Tampa Bay Lightning -150 --- Over/Under: 5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Islanders and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Thursday in game six of the NHL Eastern Conference Finals at the Rogers Place.

The New York Islanders need a win here to save their season and force a game seven on Saturday. The New York Islanders are averaging 3.10 goals per game and are scoring on 15.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Anthony Beauvillier leads New York with nine goals, Josh Bailey has 18 assists and Anders Lee has 71 shots on goal. Defensively, the New York Islanders are allowing 2.33 goals per game and are killing 80.3 percent of their opponents power plays. Semyon Varlamov has given up 42 goals on 511 shots faced and Thomas Greiss has allowed six goals on 84 shots.

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The Tampa Bay Lightning will advance to their first Stanley Cup Final for the first time since the 2014-15 season with a victory here. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.17 goals per game and are scoring on 19.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with nine goals, Nikita Kucherov has 19 assists and Ondrej Palat has 59 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.28 goals per game and are killing 83.1 percent of their opponents power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 39 goals on 556 shots faced.

The Lightning are 48-17 in their last 65 Thursday games, 74-30 in their last 104 games playing on 1 days rest and 39-15 in their last 54 overall. The Islanders are 6-15 in their last 21 games as an underdog, 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win and 1-4 in their last 5 Thursday games. The under is 11-5-3 in Lightning last 19 overall. The over is 3-0-2 in Islanders last 5 games following a win. The Lightning are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in New York and 15-6 in the last 21 meetings. The favorite is 19-9 in the last 28 meetings.

Right when it looked like the Tampa Bay Lightning were running away with this series and going to the Stanley Cup Finals, the Islanders put together their best defensive performance of the series and win in double overtime. I mentioned in a previous write up that the Islanders had yet to play their best defensive game that got them this far in the playoffs and it looked to be too late down 3-1 in the series. While the Lightning are still the better team, the Islanders got a serious momentum boost with a double overtime win and are capable of getting another one if that same defense shows up in game six.

I'll take my chances with the Islanders and the plus money based on what we saw last game.

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Randy’s Pick New York Islanders +130

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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