New York Islanders at Tampa Bay Lightning - 9/7/20 NHL Picks and Prediction

New York Islanders at Tampa Bay Lightning - 9/7/20 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

New York Islanders (46-25-13) at Tampa Bay Lightning (53-24-6)

NHL Hockey: Monday, September 7, 2020 at 8:00 pm (Rogers Place)

The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -150 / New York Islanders +130 --- Over/Under: 5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Islanders and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Monday in game one of the NHL Eastern Conference Finals at the Scotiabank Arena.

The New York Islanders are fresh off a seven game series victory over the Philadelphia Flyers. The New York Islanders are averaging 3.38 goals per game and are scoring on 17 percent of their power play opportunities. Anthony Beauvillier leads New York with eight goals, Josh Bailey has 15 assists and Anders Lee has 56 shots on goal. Defensively, the New York Islanders are allowing 1.94 goals per game and are killing 82.2 percent of their opponents power plays. Semyon Varlamov has given up 28 goals on 356 shots faced and Thomas Greiss has allowed three goals on 75 shots.

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The Tampa Bay Lightning haven’t played in a week after beating the Boston Bruins in five games. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging three goals per game and are scoring on 17.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with six goals, Nikita Kucherov has 12 assists and Victor Hedman has 44 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.31 goals per game and are killing 81.3 percent of their opponents power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 29 goals on 418 shots faced.

The Islanders are 7-3 in their last 10 playoff games as an underdog, 9-4 in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference and 9-4 in their last 13 overall. The Lightning are 5-1 in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite, 24-8 in their last 32 Monday games and 37-15 in their last 52 overall. The under is 9-3-2 in Lightning last 14 overall. The Islanders are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Tampa Bay and 4-12 in the last 16 meetings. The favorite is 16-7 in the last 23 meetings.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are going to be the favorites in this series for obvious reasons, but there is always the debate about how much is too much rest. The Lightning haven't played in a week, while the Islanders are fresh off a game seven win and keeping the rhythm of playing every other day. The Islanders have also thrived in the underdog role throughout the playoffs, so they kind of have Tampa Bay right where they want them. The Islanders have won three of the last five meetings against the Lightning. I've been backing the Islanders throughout these playoffs from the start, a team that's been stingy defensively and comes up with timely goals offensively. If it's not broken, don't fix it.

Give me the Islanders.

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Randy’s Pick New York Islanders +130

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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