Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa Senators - 11/16/19 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa Senators - 11/16/19 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports

Ottawa Senators (8-10-1) at Buffalo Sabres (9-6-3)

NHL Hockey: Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 7:00 pm (KeyBank Center)

The Line: Buffalo Sabres -190 / Ottawa Senators +171 --- Over/Under: 6.5

TV: MSGB, RSN1

The Ottawa Senators and Buffalo Sabres meet Saturday in NHL action at the KeyBank Center.

The Ottawa Senators look for another win after winning four of their last five games. The Ottawa Senators are averaging 2.8 goals per game and are scoring on 6.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Jean-Gabriel Pageau leads Ottawa with 11 goals, Connor Brown has 12 assists and Brady Tkachuk has 67 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 3.3 goals per game and are killing 79.4 percent of their opponents power plays. Craig Anderson has given up 33 goals on 308 shots faced and Anders Nilsson has allowed 24 goals on 305 shots. The Ottawa Senators have allowed two or less goals in five of their last seven games.

The Buffalo Sabres need a win here to snap a six-game losing streak. The Buffalo Sabres are averaging 2.9 goals per game and are scoring on 23.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Jack Eichel leads Buffalo with eight goals, Rasmus Dahlin has 11 assists and Sam Reinhart has 42 shots on goal. Defensively, the Buffalo Sabres are allowing 2.9 goals per game and are killing 74.5 percent of their opponents power plays. Carter Hutton has given up 29 goals on 334 shots faced and Linus Ullmark has allowed 22 goals on 258 shots. The Buffalo Sabres have allowed three or more goals in eight of their last 10 games.

The Senators are 21-44 in their last 65 games playing on 0 days rest, 21-44 in their last 65 overall and 19-42 in their last 61 games as an underdog. The Sabres are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. Atlantic, 10-24 in their last 34 games playing on 1 days rest and 3-7 in their last 10 Saturday games. The under is 8-1 in Senators last 9 games playing on 0 days rest. The under is 5-2 in Sabres last 7 home games. The Senators are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Buffalo. The home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. The over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.

If the Buffalo Sabres can't win this game with the rest advantage at home, their problems are probably bigger than we impinge. With that said, I'm not laying -190 with a team riding a six-game losing streak. The Ottawa Senators are playing their best hockey of the season and what was a brutal defense has drastically improved during this winning stretch. The Ottawa Senators have also won four of the last seven meetings against the Buffalo Sabres. The value is with the road underdog in this spot. 

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Randy’s Pick Ottawa Senators +171

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.