Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction 12/7/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

The Washington Commanders and the Minnesota Vikings meet Sunday in NFL action from US Bank Stadium. Here’s a Commanders vs Vikings prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Commanders vs Vikings pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Washington Commanders Betting Preview

The Commanders opened up the season on a 3-2 run, losing to the Packers and Falcons among wins over the Giants, Raiders and Chargers otherwise. Washington hit the skids after that however, losing to the Bears, Cowboys, Chiefs, Seahawks, Lions and Dolphins in their next six outings heading into the bye week. That would give Washington a 3-8 record through their first 11 games of the season

In their Sunday night matchup with Denver, the Commanders overcame a 13-7 first-half deficit to force overtime but eventually lost a tough one 27-26 in the end. QB Marcus Mariota was 28-of-50 for 294 yards, two scores and a pick while also leading the rush with 55 yards on 10 carries. Zach Ertz was the team’s top receiver in the loss with 10 catches for 106 yards.

Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview

Over on the Vikings’ side, they opened at 3-2 as well, taking out the Bears, Bengals and Browns amid losses to the Falcons and Steelers. Minnesota came out of their bye with a 1-5 stretch featuring a lone win over the Lions. The losses otherwise were versus the Eagles, Chargers, Ravens, Bears and Packers. The Vikings finished their first 11 games with a pretty rough record of 4-7 overall.

Matched up against the Seahawks on Sunday, the Vikings gave up 13 unanswered points in each half on the way to a rough 26-0 shutout loss. QB Max Brosmer had a 19-of-30 line for 126 yards and four interceptions. Jordan Mason had six carries for 47 yards, and TJ Hockenson added six catches for 59 yards as the lead receiver in the defeat.

Washington Commanders @ Minnesota Vikings Betting Trends: Week 14

Why the Minnesota Vikings will win

• The Commanders have lost each of their last six games against NFC opponents.
• The Vikings have won each of their last five Week 14 home games.
• The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six December road games against NFC opponents.
• The home team has covered the spread in seven of the Vikings’ last eight Week 14 games.
• The Vikings have won the first half in each of their last five Week 14 home games.
• The Vikings have won the first quarter in each of their last five December games against NFC East opponents.

Why the Washington Commanders will win

• The Vikings have lost each of their last nine December games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• The favorites have won each of the Vikings’ last seven Week 14 games.
• The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven December games as underdogs.
• The favorites have covered the spread in five of the Commanders’ last six games.
• The Commanders have won the first half in each of their last five games as road favorites following a home loss.
• The Vikings have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games against NFC East opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Vikings’ last nine December games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the Commanders’ last six games as road favorites following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Jones has scored at least one touchdown in each of his five previous appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC East opponents.
• Jordan Mason has recorded 30+ rushing yards in 10 of his last 11 Sunday appearances.
• Justin Jefferson has recorded 59+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 12 home appearances against NFC opponents.
• T.J. Hockenson has recorded 23+ receiving yards in each of his last 14 December appearances.
• Heading into Week 14, Myles Price ranks 1st in the NFC for punt return yards (278) this season.

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

• Terry McLaurin has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last five appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Marcus Mariota has recorded 207+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances as a starter.
• Deebo Samuel has recorded 11+ rushing yards in each of his seven previous December appearances with his team as a road favorite.
• Deebo Samuel has recorded 59+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven Sunday regular season appearances with his team as a road favorite.
• Terry McLaurin has recorded 41+ receiving yards in each of his last 11 regular season appearances against NFC North opponents.
• Marcus Mariota has recorded 20+ completions in three of his last four appearances as a starter.
• Heading into Week 14, Jayden Daniels ranks 7th in the league for TD:INT ratio (4.00) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 14, the Vikings have recorded the largest margin of victory in the NFL this season (38-points vs Cincinnati on September 21, 2025).
• Heading into Week 14, the Vikings have recorded the largest margin of victory in a home game this season (38-points vs Cincinnati on September 21, 2025).
• Commanders – three different players have recorded 70+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 14.
• Heading into Week 14, the Commanders rank 32nd in the NFL in fumbles recovered (1) this season.

Commanders vs Vikings Prediction

I’ll stay with Washington here but you could call it either way. The Commanders posted a valiant effort against a good Denver team that keeps winning close games this year. Washington’s offense ended up with 419 yards, 4.9 yards per play, 30 first downs and an 8-of-17 success rate on third-down tries. The defense gave up 402 yards on the other side with 315 pass yards, 5.8 yards per play, 23 first downs and 7-of-15 on third downs. That makes seven straight losses for The Commanders, but the last two have each been decided in overtime by a combined four points.

As for the Vikings, they were miserable on offense against the Seahawks last weekend, notching just 162 yards, 11 first downs, 2-of-10 on third downs and five turnovers (four picks). The 10 penalties for 80 yards didn’t help matters either. The defense was pretty reasonable on the other side (219 yards allowed) but it wasn’t near enough to keep the game close. This weekend’s matchup should be in the Vikes’ wheelhouse but they’ve got to get the offense going.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Washington Commanders -1.5