| MATCHUP | Washington Commanders | Miami Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Spread | +2.5 -105 | -2.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | +124 | -148 |
| Total | Over 47.5 (-112) | Under 47.5 (-108) |
| Where | Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid | |
| When | Sunday, November 16, 2025 | |
| Time | 09:30 AM EST | |
| TV | NFL Net | |
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
The Washington Commanders lost to the Lions and Seahawks, and they play the Broncos next. The Washington Commanders have lost 5 straight games. Jayden Daniels is completing 62.5 percent of his passes for 1,184 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Deebo Samuel and Zach Ertz have combined for 741 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Jaylin Lane has 15 receptions.
The Washington Commanders ground game is averaging 135.2 yards per contest, and Jacory Croskey-Merritt leads the way with 470 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Washington is allowing 28 points and 394.6 yards per game. Bobby Wagner leads the Washington Commanders with 99 tackles, Dorance Armstrong has 5.5 sacks and Mike Sainristil has 3 interceptions.
Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
The Miami Dolphins lost to the Ravens, beat the Bills, and they play the Saints next. The Dolphins have lost 8 of their last 11 games. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 68.2 percent of his passes for 1,952 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions. Jaylen Waddle and De’Von Achane have combined for 995 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Tyreek Hill has 21 receptions.
The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 107.2 yards per contest, and De’Von Achane leads the way with 780 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 25.6 points and 346.9 yards per game. Jordyn Brooks leads the Miami Dolphins with 105 tackles, Bradley Chubb has 5 sacks and Minkah Fitzpatrick has 1 interception.
Why the Miami Dolphins will win
- The Dolphins have won 18 of their last 19 games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Commanders have lost each of their last five games.
- The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games in November.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Commanders’ last four games.
- The Dolphins have won the first quarter in five of their last six games against NFC opponents.
- The Dolphins have won the first half in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites against NFC opponents.
Why the Washington Commanders will win
- The Dolphins have lost five of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Commanders have won three of their last four November games against AFC opponents.
- The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Commanders have covered the spread in three of their last four November games against AFC opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Dolphins’ last four games at neutral venues have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Ten of the Commanders’ last 12 Sunday games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 234+ passing yards in each of his last eight Sunday appearances with the Dolphins as favorites.
- Jaylen Waddle has recorded 82+ receiving yards in five of the Dolphins’ last six games.
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 25+ completions in each of his last six appearances following a win.
- De’Von Achane has scored at least one touchdown in seven of the Dolphins’ last eight games as favorites against teams that held a losing record.
- Jaylen Waddle has recorded 84+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Dolphins’ last five Sunday games.
- Heading into Week 11, Jordyn Brooks has recorded the equal-most tackles in a single game this season (18 vs Jets, Week 4).
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Deebo Samuel has scored a touchdown in three of his last four Sunday appearances with the Commanders as underdogs.
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt has recorded 33+ rushing yards in four of the Commanders’ last five Sunday games.
- Deebo Samuel has recorded 62+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his five previous Week 11 appearances.
- Heading into Week 11, Mike Sainristil ranks T4th in the NFL in interceptions (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 11, the Dolphins rank 30th in the NFL in interceptions (2) this season.
- Heading into Week 11, the Dolphins rank 30th in the NFL in H2 opponent points per game (15.1) this season.
- Commanders – eight different players have recorded 50+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 11.
- Heading into Week 11, the Commanders rank 1st in the NFL in average kickoff return (29.5 yards) this season.
Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins Prediction
International games are always weird due to the travel, time, weather, and field conditions. You can never go into these things completely confident. However, the Commanders are a mess from an injury standpoint and with their defense that can’t stop anything. Washington won’t have Jayden Daniels or Terry McLaurin, and their defense is 30th in total defense. The Dolphins have won 2 of their last 3 games, and one of those wins includes taking the Bills behind the woodshed. Sure, the Dolphins haven’t won back-to-back games since last December, but these teams are in different area codes at the moment. I’m shocked this line is this soft. Give me the Dolphins.