Washington (2-2) vs Los Angeles (3-1)
October 5, 2025 at 04:25 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Los Angeles -2.5 — Over/Under: +47.5
The Washington Commanders and the Los Angeles Chargers meet in week 5 NFL action from SoFi Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Commanders vs. Los Angeles Chargers prediction.
Washington Commanders Recap
The Washington Commanders come into this game looking to rebound from their 34-27 loss at the hands of the Atlanta Falcons last time out to drop to 2-2 this season. After this game, the Commanders will head home for a game against the Chicago Bears.Commanders Alternate Wins & Losses To Start Season
Jayden Daniels has thrown for 433 yards and 3 touchdowns on 59.7% passing while Marcus Mariota has thrown for 363 yards, 3 touchdowns and an INT on 64.6% passing. Jacory Croskey-Merritt has a team-high 172 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns for the Commanders on the ground while Jeremy McNichols has added 106 rushing yards and a TD. Deebo Samuel leads Washington’s receivers with 22 grabs for 204 yards and 2 touchdowns while Terry McLaurin has 149 receiving yards and Zach Ertz has 14 catches for 149 yards of his own as well as 2 TDs. On defense, Bobby Wagner has a team-high 42 total tackles in addition to 18 solo tackles and a pair of sacks while Dorance Armstrong has a team-high 3 sacks. As a unit, Washington’s group has combined for 10 sacks and an interception so far this season.Los Angeles Chargers Recap
The Los Angeles Chargers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 21-18 loss at the hands of the New York Giants in their last game to sit at 3-1 this season. After this game, the Chargers will head on the road for a game against the Miami Dolphins.Chargers Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped
Justin Herbert has thrown for 1,063 yards, 7 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 63.8% passing while Omarion Hampton leads Los Angeles in rushing with 270 rushing yards and 2 TDs this season. Quentin Johnston has 337 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns to lead the Chargers’ group while Keenan Allen has 24 catches for 231 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns and Ladd McConkey’s added 16 catches and 174 receiving yards as well. On defense, Derwin James Jr. has a team-high 34 total tackles including 22 solo tackles while Daiyan Henley has a pair of sacks and an interception. Tuli Tuipulotu has a team-high 4 sacks while the Chargers’ defensive unit as a whole has combined for 13 sacks and 3 interceptions so far this season.Washington Commanders @ Los Angeles Chargers Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the Los Angeles Chargers will win
- The Commanders have lost each of their last seven October games against AFC West opponents.
- The home team has won each of the Commanders’ last five games.
- The favorites have covered the spread in eight of the Chargers’ last nine games at SoFi Stadium.
- The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight October games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- The Commanders have lost the first half in each of their last seven road games following a road loss.
- The home team has won the first quarter in each of the Commanders’ last eight games.
- The Chargers have scored the first touchdown in six of their last eight games against NFC East opponents.
Why the Washington Commanders will win
- The Chargers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- The Commanders have won each of their last two games as underdogs against AFC West opponents.
- The Commanders have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games against AFC opponents.
- The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- The underdogs have won the first half in each of the Chargers’ last four Week 5 games.
- The Commanders have won the first quarter in each of their last six games following a loss.
- The Commanders have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six games following a loss.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Commanders’ last eight games against AFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Chargers’ last four home games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the last three Sunday games at SoFi Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts
- Justin Herbert has recorded 279+ passing yards in each of the Chargers’ last four October games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 24+ rushing yards in four of the Chargers’ last five regular season games.
- Quentin Johnston has recorded 69+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Chargers’ last five regular season games.
- Quentin Johnston has recorded 71+ receiving yards in each of the Chargers’ last five regular season games.
- Quentin Johnston has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last three appearances with the Chargers as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 27+ completions in three of the Chargers’ last four October games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 5, Quentin Johnston ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (3) this season.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Luke McCaffrey has scored a touchdown in each of the Commanders’ last two games.
- Heading into Week 5, Jacory Croskey-Merritt ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (5.9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Chargers – one different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
- Heading into Week 5, the Chargers rank T1st in the NFL in Q1 win percentage (75.0) this season.
- Commanders – four different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
- Commanders – three different players have recorded 60+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.