Vikings vs Packers Prediction 11/15/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

Vikings vs Packers Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Packers here. Green Bay has gotten themselves into a pretty good groove these days, and they’re coming off an impressive road win over the Patriots. In that one the Packers put up 478 total yards, 22 first downs and no turnovers. The defense bagged four takeaways on the other side along with 387 total yards and 4-of-9 on third downs. Green Bay lost the last matchup between these teams 39-22 on the road in Week 1. This is a prime opportunity for the Packers to get some revenge in the home rematch. Green Bay is 5-1 in their last six games with a lone three-point road loss to the Lions as the blemish.

As for Minnesota, they put up a stinker in their last outing versus a good Bills team. The Bikes posted just nine first downs, 178 total yards, three turnovers and a futile 0-of-8 on third-down tries in the 17-point loss. On defense Minnesota surrendered 22 first downs and 339 yards along the way. The Vikings have posted just 21 combined points in their last two games (both losses), and they’ve been below 24 points in seven straight. If their defense doesn’t bail them out here, Minnesota is in trouble.

Game Info, Stats and Previews

The Minnesota Vikings and the Green Bay Packers meet Sunday in NFL action from Lambeau Field in Green Bay. Here’s a collection of relevant information and reasoning for a sound Vikings vs Packers prediction. We have looked at this information from a betting perspective and attempted to determine the best Vikings vs Packers pick. We will also examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. We will tie it all together to the pick summary, resulting in a sensible prediction for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview

Minnesota started out on a great run this year but they’ve faltered in their last couple of outings. The Vikings were able to win each of their first six games, toppling the Green Bay Packers, Chicago Bears, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Miami Dolphins, New Orleans Saints and Indianapolis Colts. Minnesota has since taken losses to the Lions and Bills however, giving the team a 6-2 record across their firs eight outings so far.

Back on Monday versus Buffalo, the Vikings were only able to muster a couple of field goals in the first half and went to the break with a 10-6 deficit. Minnesota was blanked the rest of the way and stumbled to a 23-6 loss in the end. QB Carson Wentz was just 8-of-25 for 81 yards and two picks. Jordan Mason rushed six times for 35 yards and Justin Jefferson caught three balls for 58 yards in the losing effort.

Green Bay Packers Betting Preview

Over on the Packers’ side, they started out pretty uneven but they’ve rallied lately. Green Bay lost to Minnesota and Atlanta in their first two outings, but they’ve since won five of six games over Tampa Bay, Chicago, Dallas, Carolina and New England (with a lone loss to the Lions mixed in there). That gives the Pack a 6-3 record over the first nine games of the season.

Matched up against New England last weekend, Green Bay tallied two touchdowns in the first quarter alone on the way to a 24-14 halftime edge. The Packers kept the pressure on in the second half and rolled to a 45-27 win.

Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers Betting Trends: Week 10

 

Why the Green Bay Packers will win

• The Packers have won each of their last five day games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Vikings have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs following a home loss.
• The Packers have covered the spread in each of their last six games without Luke Musgrave.
• The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games in November.
• The Vikings have lost the first quarter in five of their last six games at Lambeau Field following a loss.
• The Packers have won the first half in each of their last four games as favorites against NFC North opponents.

Why the Minnesota Vikings will win

• The Vikings have won each of their last four Week 10 games as road underdogs.
• The Packers have lost each of their last three games as favorites without Tucker Kraft.
• The Packers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites without MarShawn Lloyd.
• The Vikings have covered the spread in each of their last four road games without Justin Jefferson.

Total Points Facts

• Fourteen of the Vikings’ last 15 day games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Packers’ last eight games against the Vikings following a win have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last four games between NFC North teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Love has recorded 274+ passing yards in seven of the Packers’ last eight games against NFC opponents.
• Jordan Love has recorded 25+ completions in three of the Packers’ last four games at Lambeau Field.
• Christian Watson has scored the first touchdown in three of the Packers’ last four games against NFC North opponents.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 16+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a home favorite against NFC opponents.
• Josh Jacobs has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four appearances with the Packers as home favorites against NFC opponents.
• Josh Jacobs has recorded 51+ rushing yards in 17 of his last 18 appearances in Sunday day games with his team as a home favorite.
• Josh Jacobs has recorded 98+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last nine November home appearances.
• Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last nine appearances with the Packers as home favorites against NFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 10, Xavier McKinney ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (5) this season.

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

• T.J. Hockenson has scored a touchdown in four of his last five November appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC North opponents.
• Kyler Murray has recorded 245+ passing yards in each of his four previous appearances in Week 10 day games.
• Odell Beckham Jr. has recorded 15+ receiving yards in each of his 13 previous appearances with his team as an underdog following a home loss.
• Kyler Murray has recorded 19+ rushing yards in each of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Aaron Jones has recorded 54+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight Week 10 appearances.
• Carson Wentz has recorded 21+ completions in each of his four previous Week 10 appearances.
• Aaron Jones has the worst drop rate (13.6%) of any qualified player this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Packers – only team with 2+ players to record 700+ receiving yards this season (Christian Watson, Matthew Golden), heading into Week 10.
• Packers – 13 different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 10.
• Heading into Week 10, the Vikings rank 1st in the NFL in average punt return (17.5 yards) this season.
• Heading into Week 10, the Vikings rank 1st in the NFL in punt return yards per game (32.8) this season.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Green Bay Packers -3.5