Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction 1/4/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

Nikos Lagouretos

7 hours ago

Nov 30, 2025; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Jacksonville Jaguars defensive end Josh Hines-Allen (41) sacks Tennessee Titans quarterback Cameron Ward (1) during the second half at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Roberts-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	Tennessee Titans	Jacksonville Jaguars
Team Records	3-13	12-4
Spread	+12.5 -112	-12.5 -108
Moneyline	+550	-800
Total	Over 47.5 (-112)	Under 47.5 (-108)
Where	EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
When	Sunday, January 4, 2026
Time	01:00 PM EST
TV	FOX

In this article, we will formulate a Titans vs Jaguars Prediction for this NFL Week 18 game on Sunday, January 4th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Jacksonville Jaguars Preview

The Jacksonville Jaguars have a 12-4 record this season and are sitting first in the AFC South and have already been qualified for the playoffs. They are 12-4 ATS, 9-7 in Over/Under and have a 6-2 home record and a 6-2 away record. The Jaguars are coming off a 23-17 away win against the Indianapolis Colts.

Offensively, the Jaguars average 27.1 points per game, ranking 9th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 20.6 points per game, which is 9th. Jacksonville averages 338.5 total yards per game (220.3 passing and 118.3 rushing), while allowing 310.5 total yards per game (86.1 rushing and 224.4 passing).

Trevor Lawrence leads the Jaguars with 3752 passing yards with 60.2% completed passes and 26 touchdowns. Travis Etienne leads the team in rushing yards with 1075, while Parker Washington has a team-high 53 receptions for 760 receiving yards, and four touchdowns. Defensively, Foyesade Oluokun has a team-high 134 total tackles (65 of them solo), while Josh Hines-Allen leads the team in sacks, with 8, while Devin Lloyd has five interceptions.

Tennessee Titans Preview

The Tennessee Titans have a 3-13 record this season and are sitting fourth in the AFC South and have been eliminated from playoff contention. They are 3-13 ATS, 10-6 in Over/Under and have a 3-5 home record and a 0-8 away record. The Titans are coming off a 26-34 home loss against the New Orleans Saints.

Offensively, the Titans average 17.3 points per game, ranking 30th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 27.3 points per game, which is 28th. Tennessee averages 263.7 total yards per game (169.2 passing and 94.5 rushing), while allowing 346.8 total yards per game (117.8 rushing and 229 passing).

Cam Ward leads the Titans with 3117 passing yards with 59.6% completed passes and 15 touchdowns. Tony Pollard leads the team in rushing yards with 1034, while Chigoziem Okonkwo has a team-high 54 receptions for 558 receiving yards, and two touchdowns. Defensively, Cedric Gray has a team-high 156 total tackles (94 of them solo), while Jeffery Simmons leads the team in sacks, with 10, while Cody Barton has three interceptions.

Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Trends: Week 18

Why the Jacksonville Jaguars will win

The Titans have lost each of their last 12 Sunday games against opponents on a winning streak.
The Jaguars have won each of their last seven games without Jordan Akins.
The Jaguars have covered the spread in each of their last seven games without Jordan Akins.
The Titans have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against AFC South opponents.
The Titans have lost the first half in each of their last 10 road games.
The Jaguars have won the first quarter in each of their last five Sunday games at EverBank Stadium.
The Jaguars have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight Sunday games at EverBank Stadium.

Why the Tennessee Titans will win

The Jaguars have lost three of their last four games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Titans and Jaguars.
The Jaguars have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games without Brenton Strange.
The Titans have covered the spread in five of their last six games following a loss.
The Jaguars have lost the first half in each of their last five games in January.
The Titans have won the first quarter in each of their last seven January games as underdogs.

Total Points Facts

Each of the Titans’ last five games against the Jaguars following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of the Jaguars’ last four home games following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.
Four of the last five games between AFC South teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts

Travis Etienne has scored two or more touchdowns in each of the Jaguars’ last three home games.
Trevor Lawrence has recorded 24+ completions in each of his last three January appearances.
Trevor Lawrence has recorded 244+ passing yards in each of the Jaguars’ last four games.
Travis Etienne has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last five appearances with the Jaguars as home favorites against teams that held a losing record.
Jordan Akins has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his last six regular season appearances with his team as a favorite.
Travis Etienne has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four appearances with the Jaguars as home favorites against AFC opponents.
Trevor Lawrence has recorded 24+ rushing yards in each of the Jaguars’ last five games as favorites.
Travis Etienne has recorded 92+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Jaguars’ last five games as favorites.
Heading into Week 18, Trevor Lawrence has recorded the equal-most passing touchdowns in a single game this season (5 vs Jets, Week 15).

Tennessee Titans Player Prop Facts

Chimere Dike has scored a touchdown in three of the Titans’ last four games following a loss.
Cam Ward has recorded 22+ completions in four of the Titans’ last five games against AFC South opponents.
Tyjae Spears has recorded 18+ receiving yards in each of his last 10 appearances with the Titans as underdogs against AFC opponents.
Tony Pollard has recorded 85+ rushing yards in each of the Titans’ last four games.
Tyjae Spears has recorded 47+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six road appearances against AFC opponents.
Cam Ward has been sacked 55 times this season – equal-most in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

Jaguars – seven different players have recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
Heading into Week 18, the Jaguars rank 1st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (86.1) this season.
Heading into Week 18, the Titans rank 32nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (32.1%) this season.
Heading into Week 18, the Titans rank 32nd in the NFL in Q3 opponent points per game (7.5) this season.

Titans vs Jaguars Prediction

In this Titans vs Jaguars Prediction, the Jaguars are coming as -12.5-point home favorites. Jaguars have been the far better team this season, as they have 12 overall wins compared to the Titans’ three. They have been very strong at home and in excellent form lately, with seven consecutive wins and 7-0 against the spread. On the flip side, the Titans are 2-8 in their last 10 games and have been struggling on the road, having the third-worst offense in football, while the Jaguars are 9th both offensively and defensively, with a +6.5 point differential, compared to the Titans’ -10-point differential. I expect an easy one for the home team, so take the Jaguars and lay the -12.5 at home.