Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Houston Texans Prediction 9/15/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Buccaneers vs Texans Prediction for this NFL Week 2 game on Monday, September 15th at the NRG Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Houston Texans Preview

Houston is coming off a 9-14 road defeat by the Chargers in their season opener last week. Houston got outgained by their opponents by 296-265 yards. They had 19/27 completed passes, 151 passing yards, 114 rushing yards, with turnovers being 2-1. The Texans went 2-9 in third down efficiency and had 11-80 penalties, and they were 0-1 in the red zone.

C.J. Stroud had 19/27 passes, a team-high 151 passing yards, no touchdowns and one interception. Nick Chubb added a team-high 60 rushing yards, while Jayden Higgins caught 2 passes for 32 yards. Defensively, Kamari Lassiter had 9 total tackles, five of them solo, while Henry To’oTo’o had one sack. The Texans did not record any interceptions in this game.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview

Tampa Bay is coming off a 23-20 road victory in Atlanta in their season opener last week. Tampa Bay got outgained by their opponents by 358-260 yards. They had 17/32 completed passes, 159 passing yards, 101 rushing yards, with turnovers being 0-0. The Buccaneers went 7-14 in third down efficiency and had 5-60 penalties, and they were 1-1 in the red zone.

Baker Mayfield had 17/32 passes, a team-high 159 passing yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions. Baker Mayfield added a team-high 39 rushing yards, while Emeka Egbuka caught 4 passes for 67 yards. Defensively, Tykee Smith had 11 total tackles, seven of them solo, while Haason Reddick had one sack. The Buccaneers did not record any interceptions in this game.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans Betting Trends: Week 2

Why the Houston Texans will win

• The Texans have won each of their last eight games as favorites following a loss.
• The Buccaneers have lost each of their three previous games at NRG Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
• The Texans have covered the spread in four of their last five Monday games.
• The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five September games against AFC opponents.
• The Texans have won the first quarter in each of their last four games against NFC opponents.
• The Texans have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games as favorites.
• The Texans have won the first half in each of their last seven games as favorites following a loss.

Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win

• The Buccaneers have won each of their last eight Week 2 games.
• The Texans have lost seven of their last eight September games against NFC opponents.
• The Texans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games as favorites following a road loss.
• The Buccaneers have covered the spread in each of their last eight Week 2 games.
• The Buccaneers have won the first half in seven of their last eight Week 2 games.
• The Texans have lost the first quarter in each of their last seven games as favorites following a road loss.
• The Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight Week 2 games.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Texans’ last nine games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Buccaneers’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.

Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

• Nick Chubb has scored two touchdowns in each of his last three appearances in home night games against teams with a winning record.
• Nico Collins has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his last eight home appearances.
• C.J. Stroud has recorded 285+ passing yards in four of the Texans’ last five games as favorites following a road loss.
• Justin Watson has recorded 22+ receiving yards in each of his last six September home appearances.
• Nick Chubb has recorded 75+ rushing yards in each of his last nine September home appearances.
• Joe Mixon has recorded 94+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite following a loss.
• C.J. Stroud has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Texans’ last five games as favorites following a road loss.
• Heading into Week 2, Ka’imi Fairbairn ranks T1st in the NFL in 50+ yard field goals made (2) this season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts

• Mike Evans has scored two touchdowns in three of his last four appearances with the Buccaneers as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• Mike Evans has scored a touchdown in eight of his nine previous Monday regular season appearances.
• Baker Mayfield has recorded 283+ passing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last four games as underdogs following a road win.
• Baker Mayfield has recorded 15+ rushing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last six games as underdogs following a win.
• Rachaad White has recorded 66+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last nine games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
• Bucky Irving has recorded 14+ receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last five games following a road win.
• Baker Mayfield has recorded 23+ completions in three of the Buccaneers’ last four games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 2, Emeka Egbuka ranks T1st in the NFL in touchdowns (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 2, the Texans rank 32nd in the NFL in average kickoff return (11.0 yards) this season.
• Heading into Week 2, the Texans rank 32nd in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (11.0) this season.
• Buccaneers – one different players have recorded multi-touchdown games this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 2.
• Heading into Week 2, the Buccaneers rank 1st in the NFL in average punt return (54.0 yards) this season.

Buccaneers vs Texans Prediction

In their most recent meeting back in 2023, Houston won 39-37 at home. Houston has won all five of its meetings against Tampa Bay, having won all three meetings in Houston, and they are 3-1-1 against the spread. Over is 3-2 in their 5 meetings.

In this Buccaneers vs Texans Prediction, the Texans are coming as -3-point home favorites, with the total set at 42.5 points. Houston lost their opening game with an underwhelming offensive performance, scoring just 9 points against the Rams. On the flip side, Tampa Bay won their opening game, but they are forced to start the season with back-to-back road games. Both teams were 5-3 at home and on the road last season, and the Texans have never lost by the Buccaneers, which makes me lean more towards their side in this game. Houston will be playing its first game in front of its home crowd, so take the Texans and lay the points in this one.