| MATCHUP | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Dallas Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Spread | +8.5 -108 | -8.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | +350 | -455 |
| Total | Over 47.5 (-115) | Under 47.5 (-105) |
| Where | AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX | |
| When | Thursday, October 8, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | Prime Video | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost to the Vikings and Packers, and they play the Steelers next. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers haven’t started 0-5 since the 2013 season. Jalon Daniels is completing 63.3 percent of his passes for 148 yards, 1 touchdown, and 3 interceptions. Cade Otton and Emeka Egbuka have combined for 311 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Chris Godwin Jr. has 16 receptions.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ ground game is averaging 106 yards per contest, and Bucky Irving leads the way with 241 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 24 points and 282.8 yards per game. Josiah Trotter leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 34 tackles, David Walker has 2 sacks, and Jacob Parrish has 1 interception.
Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview
The Dallas Cowboys lost to the Ravens, beat the Texans, and they play the Packers next. The Dallas Cowboys have lost 6 of their last 9 regular season games. Dak Prescott is completing 70 percent of his passes for 1.065 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 1 interception. CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens have combined for 724 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Ryan Flournoy has 13 receptions.
The Dallas Cowboys ground game is averaging 89.5 yards per contest, and Javonte Williams leads the way with 231 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Dallas is allowing 28 points and 389.5 yards per game. Caleb Downs leads the Dallas Cowboys with 29 tackles, Rashan Gary has 1 sack, and Malik Hooker has 2 pass deflections.
Why the Dallas Cowboys will win
- The Cowboys have won each of their last eight October games as home favorites.
- The Buccaneers have lost 15 of their 17 previous October road games against NFC East opponents.
- The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games following a loss.
- The Cowboys have covered the spread in each of their last seven October games as home favorites against NFC opponents.
- The Buccaneers have lost the first half in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win
- The Cowboys have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a road win.
- The underdogs have won three of the Cowboys’ last four Week 5 games.
- The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven home games without DaRon Bland.
- The Buccaneers have covered the spread in eight of their last 10 road games following a home loss.
- The Cowboys have lost the first quarter in each of their last three games as home favorites following a road win.
- The Cowboys have lost the first half in four of their last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Cowboys’ last seven Thursday home games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Buccaneers’ last four games against NFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Nine of the last 11 Thursday games at AT&T Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts
- Jake Ferguson has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Cowboys’ last four October games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Dak Prescott has recorded 271+ passing yards in 12 of his last 14 appearances with the Cowboys as home favorites against NFC opponents.
- Dak Prescott has recorded 10+ rushing yards in each of the Cowboys’ last five games at AT&T Stadium as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
- Jake Ferguson has recorded 29+ receiving yards in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Cowboys as home favorites against NFC opponents.
- Dak Prescott has recorded 23+ completions in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Cowboys as home favorites against NFC opponents.
- George Pickens has recorded 75+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Cowboys’ last four October games.
- Heading into Week 5, Javonte Williams has recorded the most rushing touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs. the Texans, Week 4).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts
- Bucky Irving has scored a touchdown in each of the Buccaneers’ last four regular season games against NFC East opponents.
- Kenneth Gainwell has recorded 12+ receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances against conference opponents.
- Kenneth Gainwell has recorded 14+ rushing yards in eight of his last nine road appearances.
- Chris Godwin has recorded 32+ rushing and receiving yards in 16 of his last 17 appearances against NFC East opponents.
- Heading into Week 5, Zyon McCollum ranks T4th in the league for fumbles recovered (1) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 5, the Cowboys rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage against (0.0%) this season.
- Heading into Week 5, the Cowboys rank T1st in the NFL in Q4 points per game (10.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 5, the Buccaneers rank 31st in the NFL in red zone percentage (41.7%) this season.
- Heading into Week 5, the Buccaneers rank 3rd in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (78.5) this season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction
The Cowboys are off to a shaky start, as that loss to the Giants was bad, and they could’ve easily lost to the Texans last week. The Cowboys need a settle-down spot where the ground game gets going, and the defense actually looks improved. We heard all offseason that the Cowboys will be better defensively, and we have yet to see it. This feels like just what the doctor ordered. The Bucs are a mess offensively, and it won’t get better with a rookie Daniels at QB.
This should be a Cowboys blowout, and if it’s not, it’s time to start looking at this squad funny. I’ll lay the points, as it’s tough to back the Bucs on the road with a nonexistent offense that took a step back at quarterback. Cowboys by double digits.