| MATCHUP | Seattle Seahawks | New England Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 14-3 | 14-3 |
| Spread | -4.5 -115 | +4.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | -230 | +190 |
| Total | Over 45.5 (-108) | Under 45.5 (-112) |
| Where | Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA | |
| When | Sunday, February 8, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:30 PM EST | |
| TV | NBC | |
Seattle Seahawks Betting Preview
The Seahawks managed to post a pretty solid 7-3 run over their first 10 games of the season. Seattle would only fall to only the 49ers, Buccaneers and Rams during that stretch. Seattle finished off the regular season on a good stretch, dispatching the Titans, Vikings, Falcons, Colts, Rams, Panthers and 49ers. Over the 17 games of the regular season that would give Seattle a 14-3 record in the books. The Seahawks were able to take out the San Francisco 49ers in the Divisional Round of the playoffs in dominant fashion 41-6.
In the Conference Championship game versus the Los Angeles Rams back on January 25, the Seahawks were clinging to a slim 17-13 lead by the break. Seattle traded a couple of touchdowns with LA in the third quarter, then held on through a scoreless final frame on the way to a 31-27 victory in the end. QB Sam Darnold put up 346 yards with three scores on 25-of-36 passing, and Kenneth Walker added 19 carries for 62 yards and a touchdown. Tops in receiving was Jaxon Smith-Njigba with 10 grabs for 153 yards and a TD of his own.
New England Patriots Betting Preview
Over on the Patriots’ side, they kicked off their campaign with disappointing defeats in two of their first three outings against the Raiders and Steelers. After that New England posted only one loss (versus Buffalo on December 14). Outside of that it was wins over the Panthers, Bills, Saints, Titans, Browns, Falcons, Buccaneers, Jets, Bengals, Giants, Ravens, Jets and Dolphins in succession. That would give the Patriots a similar 14-3 overall record in the regular season. New England kept it going in the playoffs with wins over the Los Angeles Chargers 16-3 in the Wild Card Round and over the Houston Texans 28-16 in the Divisional Round.
Matched up against the Denver Broncos in the AFC Championship Game on January 25, the Patriots were locked in a defensive battle. New England went into the break all tied up 7-7, then added a field goal in the third. That score would hold in the end, as the Patriots powered out a 10-7 victory to move on. QB Drake Maye finished 10-of-21 for 86 yards (and a rush score) while Rhamondre Stevenson put up 71 yards off 25 carries. Mack Hollins caught two balls for 51 yards as the team’s lead receiver.
Seattle Seahawks @ New England Patriots Betting Trends: Super Bowl
Why the New England Patriots will win
- The Patriots have won 14 of their last 15 Sunday games.
- The Seahawks have lost nine of their last 11 games against AFC East opponents on a winning streak.
- The Patriots have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs without Rhamondre Stevenson.
- The Seahawks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as favorites without Kenneth Walker III.
- The Seahawks have lost the first half in four of their last five Sunday games after a bye.
Why the Seattle Seahawks will win
- The Seahawks have won each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Patriots have lost each of their last four games played on the West Coast.
- The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs against NFC West opponents.
- The Seahawks have covered the spread in each of their last four games as favorites.
- The Seahawks have won the first half in five of their last six games as favorites in California.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Seahawks’ last five postseason games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Patriots’ last four games against NFC West opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the last three Super Bowls have gone OVER the total points line.
New England Patriots Player Prop Facts
- Demario Douglas has recorded 11+ receiving yards in 10 of the Patriots’ last 11 games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
- TreVeyon Henderson has recorded 27+ rushing yards in each of the Patriots’ last five games against NFC opponents.
- Stefon Diggs has recorded 52+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC West opponents.
- Joshua Dobbs has scored a touchdown in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against teams that held a winning record.
- Heading into the Super Bowl, Carlton Davis has recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single playoff game this season (2 vs Texans, Divisional Round).
Seattle Seahawks Player Prop Facts
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba has recorded 103+ receiving yards in each of the Seahawks’ last five games against AFC opponents.
- Kenneth Walker III has recorded 111+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Seahawks’ last four games played as favorites on the West Coast.
- Kenneth Walker III has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Seahawks’ last five games after a bye.
- During the regular season, Rashid Shaheed was the only player in the NFL to have both a punt and kick return touchdown.
Matchup/League Facts
- Patriots – two different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into the Super Bowl.
- Patriots – seven different players have recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into the Super Bowl.
- Seahawks – two different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into the Super Bowl.
- The Seahawks ranked 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (17.2) during the reg. season.
Seahawks vs Patriots Super Bowl Prediction
I’ll stick with the Patriots. That said, this is a very interesting matchup and the game could break a lot of different ways. New England fought through some significant adversity in the AFC Championship against a plucky Broncos team, surviving a tough battle with the elements and the road environment. The Pats held Denver to just 181 total yards with 102 pass yards, 3.1 yards per play, 11 first downs and 4-of-14 on third-down tries—not to mention bagging a couple of takeaways. The offense did just enough to win on the other side, generating 206 yards, 65 pass yards, 12 first downs and 6-of-18 on third-down attempts. More importantly the O held on to the ball (zero turnovers) and the team committed just one penalty the whole way. New England should be back to business in the comparatively fair weather of Santa Clara; they’ll be able to take advantage of their 28.8 points-per-game average in the regular season. I like a 30-plus performance on points from the Patriots in this one if all goes well.
As for the Seahawks, they relied on the pass (321 yards) to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship. Seattle added 6.1 yards per play with 24 first downs, 7-of-13 on third-down tries and no turnovers. The defense gave up 479 total yards on the other side but made up for it by holding LA to just 1-of-8 on third downs. That unit will be a key component of a potential Seahawks Super Bowl victory. Seattle held opponents to just 17.2 points per game in the regular season while generating 18 interceptions along the way. If the Seahawks can keep the score relatively low, they should win. Regardless, it’ll be a fun matchup to watch.