| MATCHUP | Pittsburgh Steelers | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Spread | -2.5 -115 | +2.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | -148 | +124 |
| Total | Over 39.5 (-108) | Under 39.5 (-112) |
| Where | Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL | |
| When | Sunday, October 18, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | CBS | |
In this article, we will formulate a Steelers vs Buccaneers Prediction for this NFL Week 5 game on Sunday, October 18th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a 1-4 record this season are sitting on the 3rd place of the NFC South. They are coming off a 24-16 road win against the Cowboys and will face the Panthers, the Falcons and the Bears next.
Offensively, the Buccaneers average 20 points per game, ranking 25th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 22.4 points per game, which is 14th. Tampa Bay averages 306.4 total yards per game (173.4 passing and 133 rushing), while allowing 299.4 total yards per game (72.6 rushing and 226.6 passing).
Baker Mayfield leads the Buccaneers with 615 passing yards with 63.5% completed passes and two touchdowns. Bucky Irving leads the team in rushing yards with 406, while Emeka Egbuka has 21 receptions for a team-high 192 receiving yards. Defensively, Josiah Trotter has a team-high 40 total tackles (22 of them solo), while David Walker leads the team in sacks, with 2.
Pittsburgh Steelers Preview
The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 3-2 record this season are sitting on the 2nd place of the AFC North. They are coming off a 34-22 home win against the Colts and will face the Saints, the Browns and the Bengals next.
Offensively, the Steelers average 22.2 points per game, ranking 18th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 21.8 points per game, which is 10th. Pittsburgh averages 324.6 total yards per game (223.4 passing and 101.2 rushing), while allowing 324.2 total yards per game (103.4 rushing and 220.8 passing).
Aaron Rodgers leads the Steelers with 1234 passing yards with 59.8% completed passes and ten touchdowns. Jaylen Warren leads the team in rushing yards with 410, while Jaylen Warren has 19 receptions for a team-high 230 receiving yards. Defensively, Payton Wilson has a team-high 44 total tackles (23 of them solo), while T.J. Watt leads the team in sacks, with 4.5.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends: Week 6
Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win
- The Steelers have lost each of their last five games as road favorites following a win.
- The underdogs have won each of the last three games between the Steelers and Buccaneers.
- The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine road games following a win.
- The home team has covered the spread in seven of the Steelers’ last eight games.
- The Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven home games against AFC North opponents.
- The Buccaneers have won the first quarter in each of their last seven home games against AFC North opponents.
- The Steelers have lost the first half in seven of their last eight road games in October.
Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win
- The Buccaneers have lost each of their last nine games against AFC North opponents.
- The Steelers have won each of their last eight Week 6 games.
- The Steelers have covered the spread in each of their last 11 games against NFC South opponents.
- The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 Sunday games.
- The Steelers have won the first quarter in five of their last six games in October.
- The Steelers have won the first half in each of their last seven games against the Buccaneers.
- The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five games played as favorites on the East Coast.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Buccaneers’ last eight day games following a win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eleven of the Steelers’ last 12 Week 6 games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts
- Bucky Irving has scored a touchdown in each of his last three appearances following a win.
- Bucky Irving has recorded 14+ receiving yards in each of his seven previous appearances following a road win.
- Kenneth Gainwell has recorded 13+ rushing yards in each of his last six October appearances against AFC opponents.
- Bucky Irving has recorded 81+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances following a win.
- Jalon Daniels has 337 passing yards through his first five career games – most by any player since Tyler Shough, (2025).
Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts
- Pat Freiermuth has scored the last touchdown in each of the Steelers’ last three October games as favorites.
- D.K. Metcalf has scored the first touchdown in three of his four previous October appearances against NFC South opponents.
- D.K. Metcalf has scored at least one touchdown in each of his four previous October appearances against NFC South opponents.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last six October appearances against NFC opponents.
- D.K. Metcalf has recorded 64+ receiving yards in eight of his last nine appearances against NFC South opponents.
- Jaylen Warren has recorded 126+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Steelers’ last three games.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 238+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances in Florida.
- Jaylen Warren has recorded 62+ rushing yards in each of the Steelers’ last four October games.
- Jaylen Warren has the highest average yards after catch (14.8) of any qualified player this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Buccaneers – five different players have recorded one interception or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Buccaneers – five different players have recorded one interception or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Steelers – five different players have recorded 60+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Steelers – two different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
Steelers vs Buccaneers Prediction
In this Steelers vs Buccaneers Prediction, the Steelers are coming as -2.5 road favorites. The Buccaneers are coming off their first win of the season, but they have been struggling overall and are also 1-4 against the spread. The Steelers have lost both road games this season and have slightly better numbers, but not enough to back them on the road. The total is set at just 39.5 points for this game and I expect it to go over this number. Steelers have gone over in their last three games and the over is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings between those two teams, who have 42.4 and 44.2 average total points this season. Take the over 39.5.