| MATCHUP | Pittsburgh Steelers | New Orleans Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| Spread | -3 -118 | +3 -102 |
| Moneyline | -175 | +145 |
| Total | Over 44.5 (-110) | Under 44.5 (-110) |
| Where | Stade de France, Saint-Denis | |
| When | Sunday, October 25, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:30 AM EDT | |
| TV | NFL Net | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers and the New Orleans Saints meet Sunday in NFL action from Stade de France in Saint-Denis. Here’s a Steelers vs Saints prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Steelers vs Saints pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.
Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview
The Steelers have had a wild ride already this year. After taking out the Atlanta Falcons in their opener, Pittsburgh lost by 17 on the road versus the New England Patriots. The Steelers went 2-1 in the next three games, losing to the Cleveland Browns in between victories over the Cincinnati Bengals and the Indianapolis Colts for a 3-2 start to the year.
In the Tampa Bay game the Steelers didn’t have a very good first half. Pittsburgh went into the locker room with a 13-3 deficit after a late second-quarter field goal. The Steelers got better from there though, and eventually won the game 26-19 in overtime. QB Aaron Rodgers finished with a 33-of-49 line for 253 yards, two TDs and a pick during the winning effort.
New Orleans Saints Betting Preview
Over on the Saints’ side, they haven’t had a whole lot of luck in the win column this year. New Orleans lost in OT versus the Detroit Lions in their opener then beat Baltimore in a big road matchup. The next three games were all losses though, as the Saints fell versus the Las Vegas Raiders, Atlanta Falcons and Minnesota Vikings on the way to a 1-4 start to the year.
Matched up against the New York Giants last weekend the Saints were down 10-0 early. New Orleans then proceeded to score 34 unanswered points to build their lead 34-10. After a wild fourth quarter the Saints held on for the win 34-27. QB Tyler Shough was 16-of-30 for 144 yards and three scores. Kendre Miller rushed 20 times for 70 yards in the winning effort.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Betting Trends: Week 7
Why the New Orleans Saints will win
- The Saints have won each of their last three games as underdogs against AFC North opponents.
- The Steelers have lost each of their last two games as favorites without Jaylen Warren.
- The Saints have covered the spread in each of their last seven games without Kendre Miller.
- The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games following a win.
- The underdogs have won the first half in three of the Saints’ last four games.
Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win
- The Saints have lost each of their last eight games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Steelers have won each of their last seven day games against NFC South opponents.
- The Steelers have covered the spread in each of their last 10 day games against NFC South opponents.
- The Saints have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Week 7 games.
- The Steelers have won the first half in five of their last six Week 7 games against NFC opponents.
- The Steelers have won the first quarter in three of their last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Saints’ last eight games as underdogs without Kendre Miller have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Steelers’ last five games without Cameron Heyward have gone UNDER the total points line.
New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts
- Chris Olave has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Saints’ last five day games against AFC opponents.
- Alvin Kamara has recorded 26+ rushing yards in 26 of his last 28 appearances against AFC opponents.
- Tyler Shough has recorded 26+ completions in four of the Saints’ last five day games against AFC opponents.
- Juwan Johnson has recorded 39+ receiving yards in each of the Saints’ last six games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
- Tyler Shough has recorded 239+ passing yards in each of the Saints’ last five games against AFC opponents.
- Alvin Kamara has recorded 41+ rushing and receiving yards in 26 of his 27 previous appearances in day games against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 7, Tyler Shough has recorded the equal-most passing touchdowns in a single game this season (4 vs Raiders, Week 3).
Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts
- D.K. Metcalf has scored at least one touchdown in four of his five previous October appearances against NFC South opponents.
- Jaylen Warren has recorded 27+ receiving yards in each of the Steelers’ last six games.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last seven Week 7 appearances.
- Rico Dowdle has recorded 54+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his three previous appearances in day games against the Saints.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 246+ passing yards in eight of his last nine appearances in Week 7 day games.
- Heading into Week 7, Pat Freiermuth ranks T1st in the AFC for receiving touchdowns (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 7, the Saints rank 1st in the NFL in average points scored in third quarters this season (9.5).
- Heading into Week 7, the Saints have given up 178 points through their first 6 games of the season – equal-most since 2016
- Heading into Week 7, the Steelers have overturned the largest 3rd quarter deficit to win a game this season – 13 points vs Tampa Bay.
- Heading into Week 7, the Steelers have given up the largest 3rd quarter lead to win a game this season – 13 points vs Tampa Bay.
Steelers vs Saints Prediction
I’ll go with Pittsburgh but I’m not in love with it. The Steelers had a rough time dispatching a plucky Bucs team last weekend, eventually notching 300 total yards, 22 first downs and a 5-of-15 success rate on third downs in the OT victory. The defense came up with a couple of takeaways though, and held Tampa to just 17 first downs and 224 total yards in a nice effort. Pittsburgh has had some inconsistencies this year but they’ve also scored 20 or more points in all but one game so far.
As for the Saints, they got past a flailing Giants team last weekend on 18 first downs and 319 total yards. The defense gave up 23 first downs and 461 total yards on the other side, but did quite well on third downs (4-of-14). New York’s 10 penalties didn’t hurt either. The Saints are still giving up a ton of points this year though: they’ve surrendered 23 or more in all but one game (17 versus Baltimore in a victory) and 31 or more in three of six.