New York Jets vs New Orleans Saints Prediction 12/21/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

Andrew Jett

2 days ago

Sep 7, 2025; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; New Orleans Saints cheerleaders perform for the fans on a time out against the Arizona Cardinals during the first half at Caesars Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	New York Jets	New Orleans Saints
Team Records	3-11	4-10
Spread	+4.5 -110	-4.5 -110
Moneyline	+190	-230
Total	Over 40.5 (-110)	Under 40.5 (-110)
Where	Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
When	Sunday, December 21, 2025
Time	01:00 PM EST
TV	CBS

The New York Jets and the New Orleans Saints meet Sunday in NFL action from Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. Here’s a Jets vs Saints prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Jets vs Saints pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

New York Jets Betting Preview

The Jets lost their first seven games of the year, falling versus the Steelers, Bills, Bucs, Dolphins, Cowboys, Broncos and Panthers before a win versus the Bengals. Following the bye week New York went 2-3 in the next five with wins over the Browns and Falcons. The losses otherwise were versus the Patriots, Ravens and Dolphins, giving the Jets a 3-10 overall record in their first 13 outings.

In the matchup with the Jaguars on Sunday the Jets managed to score points in every quarter. Unfortunately New York also gave up points in every quarter during a 48-20 loss. QB Brady Cook had 176 yards, one TD and three picks on 22-of-33 passing and Isaiah Davis had nine carries for 58 yards and a score. Adonai Mitchell caught six balls for 58 yards and a TD in the defeat as well.

New Orleans Saints Betting Preview

Over on the Saints’ side, they opened the year on a 2-8 clip with wins over only the Giants and Panthers. New Orleans otherwise lost versus the Cardinals, 49ers, Seahawks, Bills, Patriots, Bears, Bucs and Rams in that stretch. After the bye week New Orleans lost to the Falcons and Dolphins before bagging another victory versus the Buccaneers. Through 13 games New Orleans had a 3-10 overall record as well.

Matched up against the Panthers last weekend the Saints were down 17-10 going into the final quarter. New Orleans hung up 10 unanswered points though, and took the comeback win 20-17 in the end. QB Tyler Shough had 272 yards and a TD on 24-of-32 passing and also led the rush with 32 yards form eight carries. Tops in receiving during the winning effort for New Orleans was Chris Olave with six catches for 85 yards and a touchdown.

New York Jets @ New Orleans Saints Betting Trends: Week 16

Why the New Orleans Saints will win

The Jets have lost each of their last seven games without Breece Hall.
The Saints have won each of their last five December games against the Jets.
The Jets have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 December games against NFC opponents.
The Saints have covered the spread in five of their last six Week 16 games as favorites.
The Saints have won the first quarter in each of their last four games against the Jets.
The home team has won the first half in nine of the Saints’ last 10 Week 16 games.

Why the New York Jets will win

The Saints have lost each of their last five games as favorites without Juwan Johnson.
The Jets have won each of their last two games as underdogs against starting rookie QBs.
The Saints have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games without Juwan Johnson.
The Jets have covered the spread in each of their last four games before a Division game.
The Jets have won the first quarter in eight of their last nine Week 16 games against NFC opponents.
The Jets have won the first half in four of their last five Week 16 games against NFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

Each of the Saints’ last six games as favorites without Taysom Hill have gone UNDER the total points line.
Nine of the Jets’ last 10 road games following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Six of the last seven Sunday games at Caesars Superdome have gone UNDER the total points line.

New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts

Taysom Hill has scored a touchdown in four of the Saints’ last five games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
Tyler Shough has recorded 239+ passing yards in four of the Saints’ last five Sunday games.
Chris Olave has recorded 63+ receiving yards in each of the Saints’ last four home games.
Alvin Kamara has recorded 54+ rushing yards in each of his last five appearances with the Saints as favorites against AFC opponents.
Alvin Kamara has recorded 89+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his seven previous appearances with the Saints as home favorites against AFC opponents.
Tyler Shough has recorded 24+ completions in three of the Saints’ last four Sunday games.
Heading into Week 16, Pete Werner ranks T1st in the league for fumbles recovered (3) this season.

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

Allen Lazard has recorded 14+ receiving yards in five of his six previous Week 16 appearances.
Justin Fields has recorded 45+ rushing yards in five of his last six December appearances against NFC opponents.
Breece Hall has scored at least one touchdown in four of his five appearances with the Jets as road underdogs against teams that held a losing record.
Tyrod Taylor has recorded 197+ passing yards in four of his last five road appearances as a starter.
Tyrod Taylor has recorded 19+ completions in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC South opponents.
Heading into Week 16, Isaiah Williams ranks 1st in the AFC for punt return yards (396) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

Heading into Week 16, the Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in Q1 points per game (1.9) this season.
Heading into Week 16, the Saints rank 1st in the NFL in H2 opponent points per game (7.5) this season.
Heading into Week 16, the Jets rank 32nd in the NFL in passing yards per game (147.0) this season.
Heading into Week 16, the Jets rank 32nd in the NFL in interceptions (0) this season.

Jets vs Saints Prediction

I’ll stick with the Saints. New Orleans utilized a big fourth quarter to bag a comeback win over the Panthers last weekend, notching 337 yards, 5.3 yards per play and 27 first downs along the way. The defense gave up 281 yards and 15 first downs on the other side, though the Saints did commit nine of the game’s 20 total penalties overall. New Orleans now has consecutive wins in the bag, and each of their last three games has been decided by four points or fewer.

As for the Jets, they limped to another rough showing in their loss to the Jags, thanks to three picks and 154 passing yards by the offense. The defense gave up 438 yards on the other side along with 24 first downs and 7.4 yards per play. New York’s offense has 20 points or fewer in each of their last six losses, and I don’t see them scoring too well here either.