New York (0-3) vs Miami (0-3)
September 29, 2025 at 07:15 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami -2.5 — Over/Under: +45.5
The New York Jets and the Miami Dolphins meet in week 4 NFL action from Hard Rock Stadium on Monday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins prediction.
New York Jets Recap
The New York Jets come into this game looking to bounce back from a 29-27 loss at the hands of Tampa Bay last time out to sit at 0-3 this season. After this game, New York will head home for a matchup against the Dallas Cowboys.Jets Looking For First Win
Tyrod Taylor has thrown for 253 yards, 3 touchdowns and an interception on 70.2% passing while Justin Field has thrown for 245 yards and a touchdown on 57.6% passing while also rushing for 97 yards and a pair of scores as well. Breece Hall has a team-high 157 rushing yards to lead the Jets on the ground while Garrett Wilson leads New York’s receiving room with 21 catches for 229 yards and 2 touchdowns so far this season. On defense, Jamien Sherwood has a team-high 30 total tackles including 14 solo tackles while the Jets’ defense as a whole has combined for 6 sacks so far this season.Miami Dolphins Recap
The Miami Dolphins come into this game looking to rebound from their 31-21 loss at the hands of the Buffalo Bills last time out to sit at 0-3 as well this season. After this game, the Dolphins will head on the road for a game against the Carolina Panthers.Dolphins In Dire Need Of First Win
Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 575 yards, 5 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 69.7% passing while De’Von Achane has rushed for 147 yards as well this season. Tyreek Hill has a team-high 198 receiving yards coming on 15 catches while Achane has 18 receptions for 141 yards and 2 touchdowns. Jaylen Waddle’s also added 14 catches for 137 yards and 2 scores as well this season. On defense, Tyrel Dodson leads the Dolphins with 33 total tackles including 23 solo tackles and a sack while Bradley Chubb has a team-high 3 sacks so far this season. As a unit, Miami’s defense has combined for 6 sacks so far this season.New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins Betting Trends: Week 4
Why the Miami Dolphins will win
- The Jets have lost each of their last 13 games against AFC East opponents on a losing streak.
- The Dolphins have won each of their last nine home games against the Jets.
- The Dolphins have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites following a Division game.
- The Jets have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 September games as road underdogs against AFC opponents.
- The Jets have lost the first quarter in each of their last five Monday games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Jets have lost the first half in each of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Dolphins have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games as favorites.
Why the New York Jets will win
- The Dolphins have lost each of their last 10 Week 4 games.
- The underdogs have won four of the Jets’ last five Week 4 games.
- The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 Week 4 games.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Jets’ last five Week 4 games.
- The Jets have won the first quarter in nine of their last 10 Week 4 games against AFC East opponents.
- The Dolphins have lost the first half in each of their last 10 Week 4 games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Dolphins’ last nine games played on the East Coast have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Jets’ last seven Week 4 games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the last four games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total points line.
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
- De’Von Achane has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Dolphins’ last six home games.
- De’Von Achane has recorded 55+ rushing yards in three of the Dolphins’ last four games.
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 288+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances with the Dolphins as favorites.
- Jaylen Waddle has recorded 53+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine home appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Tyreek Hill has recorded 69+ receiving yards in eight of his last nine appearances with the Dolphins as favorites following a loss.
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 26+ completions in each of his last five appearances with the Dolphins as favorites.
- Heading into Week 4, Jaelan Phillips ranks T1st in the NFL in quarterback hurries (5) this season.
New York Jets Player Prop Facts
- Garrett Wilson has scored a touchdown in each of the Jets’ last three road games.
- Allen Lazard has recorded 13+ receiving yards in each of his last seven September appearances with his team as a road underdog.
- Justin Fields has recorded 17+ rushing yards in 17 of his last 19 appearances against division opponents.
- Tyrod Taylor has recorded 197+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances as a starter.
- Braelon Allen has recorded 26+ rushing and receiving yards in five of the Jets’ last six road games.
- Tyrod Taylor has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last three appearances as a starter.
- Heading into Week 4, Garrett Wilson ranks T1st in the AFC for receptions (21) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 4, the Dolphins rank 32nd in the NFL in points allowed per game (32.3) this season.
- Heading into Week 4, the Dolphins rank 1st in the NFL in average punt return (28.8 yards) this season.
- Jets – one different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
- Heading into Week 4, the Jets rank 1st in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (179.0) this season.