| MATCHUP | New England Patriots | Seattle Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Spread | +3.5 -115 | -3.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | +150 | -180 |
| Total | Over 44.5 (-105) | Under 44.5 (-115) |
| Where | Lumen Field, Seattle, WA | |
| When | Wednesday, September 9, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:20 PM EDT | |
| TV | NBC | |
The New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks meet Wednesday in NFL action at Lumen Field. Here’s a New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks Prediction. This article will include a New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks Pick.
New England Patriots Betting Preview
The Patriots improved their win total by 10 games and made the Super Bowl. The Patriots have made the Super Bowl in 5 of their last 8 playoff appearances. We’ll now get the encore under Mike Vrabel in his second season.
Drake Maye took a step last season and could be the Pats’ next franchise quarterback. He has a couple of new toys in wide receivers A.J. Brown and Romeo Doubs. Tight end Hunter Henry is coming off a strong season, and you can do worse than an RB duo of Rhamondre Stevenson and TreVeyon Henderson. The offensive line was also upgraded and should do a better job of protecting Maye.
Defensively, Christian Gonzalez leads a strong Patriots secondary along with Kevin Byard. The addition of Dre’Mont Jones strengthens what was a hit-or-miss defensive front last season. It will be interesting to see if this side of the ball improves under the young defensive coordinator Zak Kuhr.
You can argue the Patriots are even better than they were last season with the additions on defense and the improved skill positions. We’ll see if a Super Bowl hangover happens or if this group can handle the pressure now that they’re the hunted and no longer the hunter.
Seattle Seahawks Betting Preview
The Seattle Seahawks are coming off a Super Bowl title and have to believe they can make a rare run at a repeat. Mike Macdonald is in his third season as head coach, and there’s a new offensive playcaller in Brian Fleury.
The offense is pretty much the same unit as last year outside of running back Kenneth Walker III. Sam Darnold is at quarterback; rookie Jadarian Price will get a ton of playing time out of the gate. The offensive line remains intact, and there’s an elite wide receiver group in Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Cooper Kupp, and Rashid Shaheed. As long as Darnold doesn’t turn into a pumpkin, the Seahawks should be an above-average offense.
Defensively, the Seahawks lost some pieces from an elite unit, but the core is still in place with Devon Witherspoon, DeMarcus Lawrence, Leonard Williams, and Ernest Jones. The injury to Bud Clark does sting a bit, as he’s a rookie who was expected to play out of the gate. This Seahawks defense is still strong, and it wouldn’t be shocking to see another run at a title given the balance of the roster.
Why the Seattle Seahawks will win
- The favorites have won each of the Seahawks’ last 15 games.
- The Patriots have lost each of their last five games played on the West Coast.
- The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NFC West opponents.
- The Seahawks have covered the spread in each of their last five games as favorites.
- The Patriots have lost the first quarter in three of their last four road games.
- The Seahawks have won the first half in each of their last four games as favorites.
Why the New England Patriots will win
- The Patriots have won each of their last four games as road underdogs.
- The Seahawks have lost four of their five previous season openers against AFC East opponents.
- The road team has covered the spread in seven of the Seahawks’ last eight Week 1 games.
- The Seahawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Week 1 games as home favorites.
- The Seahawks have lost the first half in four of their five previous Week 1 games against AFC East opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Patriots’ last eight season openers have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Seahawks’ last four home games against AFC East opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Seattle Seahawks Player Prop Facts
- Cooper Kupp has scored at least one touchdown in each of his five previous September appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
- Sam Darnold has recorded 24+ completions in each of his three previous September appearances as home favorites against AFC opponents.
- Cooper Kupp has recorded 52+ receiving yards in each of his eight previous September appearances against AFC opponents.
- Sam Darnold has recorded 241+ passing yards in seven of his last nine appearances against AFC opponents.
- Zach Charbonnet has recorded 38+ rushing yards in each of his last three September appearances with the Seahawks as favorites.
- Cooper Kupp has recorded 33+ rushing and receiving yards in 10 of his 11 previous September appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Zach Charbonnet has scored the last touchdown in each of the Seahawks’ last three regular season games against AFC East opponents.
- Zach Charbonnet has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four appearances.
- Rashid Shaheed was the only player in the NFL to have both a punt and kick return touchdown last season.
New England Patriots Player Prop Facts
- Rhamondre Stevenson has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Patriots’ last three regular season games.
- Drake Maye has recorded 230+ passing yards in each of the Patriots’ last five games as road underdogs.
- Drake Maye has recorded 37+ rushing yards in four of the Patriots’ last five games.
- Demario Douglas has recorded 33+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Patriots’ last five games against NFC opponents.
- Mack Hollins has recorded 28+ receiving yards in each of his last six road appearances.
- Drake Maye ranked 1st amongst qualified players for passer rating (113.5) last season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Seahawks – two different players recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
- Seahawks – five different players recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
- Patriots – two different players recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
- Patriots – seven different players recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks Injury Report
Ty Okada, Josh Jones, Anthony Bradford, Tory Horton, and Nick Emmanwori are questionable for the Seahawks.
Christian Barmore, Ben Brown, and TreVeyon Henderson are questionable for the Patriots.
New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks Prediction
You can talk yourself into the Patriots and the points, as it’s an obvious revenge factor, and teams on ring night can come out a bit sluggish. There’s a lot of celebrating and gushing going on, and it could take some time for guys to lock in and handle business.
However, the Super Bowl wasn’t competitive, and despite the Patriots improving on both sides of the ball, I’m not sure the gap was closed enough. Lumen Field is still a tough place to play, and that Seahawks defense is still one of the best in the league. The Seahawks have one of the top receiving cores as well, and the Patriots are working with a new defensive coordinator. I would need more points to give the Patriots a fair look. Give me the Seahawks by a touchdown.