| MATCHUP | Miami Dolphins | Minnesota Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Spread | +10.5 -112 | -10.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +455 | -625 |
| Total | Over 38.5 (-110) | Under 38.5 (-110) |
| Where | U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN | |
| When | Sunday, October 4, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | FOX | |
Minnesota Vikings Preview
The Minnesota Vikings have a 3-0 record this season are sitting on the 1st place of the NFC North. They are coming off a 23-16 away win against the Buccaneers and will face the Saints, the Colts and the Lions next.
Offensively, the Vikings average 23.7 points per game, ranking 16th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 13.7 points per game, which is 2nd. Minnesota averages 238.3 total yards per game (137 passing and 101.3 rushing), while allowing 319.7 total yards per game (85.7 rushing and 234 passing).
Carson Wentz leads the Vikings with 276 passing yards with 59.0% completed passes and three touchdowns. Aaron Jones leads the team in rushing yards with 203, while Justin Jefferson has 13 receptions for a team-high 179 receiving yards. Defensively, Blake Cashman has a team-high 25 total tackles (14 of them solo), while Dallas Turner leads the team in sacks, with 3.5.
Miami Dolphins Preview
The Miami Dolphins have a 0-3 record this season are sitting on the 4th place of the AFC East. They are coming off a 10-24 home loss against the Chiefs and will face the Bengals, the Jets and the Patriots next.
Offensively, the Dolphins average 12 points per game, ranking 31st in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 28.7 points per game, which is 28th. Miami averages 290.7 total yards per game (192.3 passing and 98.3 rushing), while allowing 335.3 total yards per game (104.3 rushing and 231 passing).
Malik Willis leads the Dolphins with 627 passing yards with 57.0% completed passes and one touchdown. De’Von Achane leads the team in rushing yards with 127, while Malik Washington has 12 receptions for a team-high 152 receiving yards. Defensively, Jacob Rodriguez has a team-high 28 total tackles (12 of them solo), while no player has recorded a sack.
Miami Dolphins @ Minnesota Vikings Betting Trends: Week 4
Why the Minnesota Vikings will win
- The Vikings have won each of their last eight games.
- The Dolphins have lost each of their last six Week 4 games against NFC opponents.
- The Vikings have covered the spread in each of their last nine October games as favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine Week 4 games as underdogs.
- The Vikings have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six games against AFC East opponents.
- The Vikings have won the first quarter in each of their last four games following a road win.
- The Dolphins have lost the first half in each of their last nine Week 4 games as underdogs.
Why the Miami Dolphins will win
- The Dolphins have won three of their last four games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The Vikings have lost five of their last seven home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Dolphins have covered the spread in five of their last six games following a home loss.
- The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 11 October games at U.S. Bank Stadium.
- The underdogs have won the first quarter in five of the Vikings’ last six Week 4 games.
- The Dolphins have won the first half in five of their last six October games against NFC opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Dolphins’ last six games without Greg Dulcich have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Vikings’ last six home games without Carson Wentz have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the last five Sunday games at U.S. Bank Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts
- Jauan Jennings has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last three home appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Kyler Murray has recorded 220+ passing yards in each of his six previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against AFC opponents.
- Kyler Murray has recorded 25+ rushing yards in each of his last four October home appearances.
- Kyler Murray has recorded 20+ completions in each of his nine previous appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
- Jauan Jennings has recorded 24+ receiving yards in each of his last 10 appearances against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 4, Myles Price ranks 1st in the NFL in kick return yards (353) this season.
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
- Jalen Tolbert has scored a touchdown in each of his last five road appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Malik Willis has recorded 39+ rushing yards in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Malik Willis has recorded 197+ passing yards in each of his last five appearances as a starter.
- Malik Washington has recorded 47+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last three games.
- Jalen Tolbert has recorded 43+ receiving yards in four of his last five October appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Heading into Week 4, Malik Willis ranks T2nd in the league for batted pass attempts (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Vikings – two different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
- Vikings – six different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
- Heading into Week 4, the Dolphins rank 32nd in the NFL in sacks (0.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 4, the Dolphins have recorded the longest kickoff return this season (79 yards).
Dolphins vs Vikings Prediction
In this Dolphins vs Vikings Prediction, the Vikings are coming as -10.5 home favorites. Both teams are on completely opposite trajectories this season, as the Vikings have won and covered the spread in all of their three games, having the second-best defense in the NFL and a +10 point differential. On the flip side, the Dolphins have lost and failed to cover all games this season, with the second-worst offense in the NFL and a -16.7 point differential. The Vikings have won their last two head-to-head meetings against the Dolphins and are 3-0 ATS. Do not overthink this one and lay it with the Vikings at home.