Buffalo Bills (6-2) vs Miami Dolphins (2-5)
Game Info: Sunday, November 3, 2024 at 1:00 pm (Highmark Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Buffalo Bills -6.5 / Miami Dolphins +6.5 — Over/Under: 49
The Miami Dolphins and the Buffalo Bills meet Sunday in NFL action from Bills Stadium. Here’s a Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Dolphins vs Bills pick. We will examine:
The Miami Dolphins’ recent form and player performance
The Buffalo Bills’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Dolphins
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Buffalo Bills
Recent betting trends in games played between the Dolphins and Bills
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Dolphins vs Bills game
Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
Miami hit the skids after a 20-17 opener win versus Jacksonville, falling to the Bills, Seahawks and Titans. The Dolphins would recover with a win over the Patriots 15-10, but they’ve since dropped games to the Colts and Cardinals.
In the Arizona matchup last weekend, the Dolphins had a 20-18 lead going into the final quarter. Miami was outscored 10-7 from there however, and lost 28-27. Tua Tagovailoa notched 234 yards with one pass TD, and Tyreek Hill led the receivers on six grabs for 72 yards.
Buffalo Bills Betting Preview
Over on the Bills’ side, they were able to win their first three games this year over the Cardinals, Dolphins and Jaguars. Buffalo lost to the Ravens and Texans after that, but they’ve since beaten the Jets, Titans and Seahawks.
Matched up against the Seahawks, the Bills were able to put up points in every quarter along the way to a 31-10 win. QB Josh Allen threw for 283 yards, two scores and an interception. James Cook rushed 17 times for 111 yards and a pair of TDs for himself as well.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Bills’ last six home games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the last four Sunday games at Highmark Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Dolphins’ last four road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts
- James Cook has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six appearances.
- Curtis Samuel has recorded 19+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his five previous November appearances against AFC opponents.
- Curtis Samuel has recorded 10+ rushing yards in each of his four previous Week 9 home appearances.
- Josh Allen has scored two touchdowns in three of the Bills’ last four Sunday games at Highmark Stadium.
- Josh Allen has recorded 232+ passing yards in 10 of the Bills’ last 11 games at Highmark Stadium as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- Dawson Knox has recorded 17+ receiving yards in each of his last seven November appearances with the Bills as favorites.
- Josh Allen has thrown two or more touchdowns in 13 of the Bills’ last 14 games against the Dolphins.
- Josh Allen has recorded 21+ completions in 10 of the Bills’ last 11 games at Highmark Stadium as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- Rasul Douglas is just one away from 20 career interceptions (including playoffs).
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
- Raheem Mostert has scored at least one touchdown in six of his last seven November appearances.
- Raheem Mostert has recorded 43+ rushing and receiving yards in 20 of his last 21 regular season appearances against AFC opponents.
- Raheem Mostert has recorded 65+ rushing yards in each of his last five November appearances against AFC opponents.
- Odell Beckham Jr. has recorded 73+ receiving yards in each of his nine previous November appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 21+ completions in each of the Dolphins’ last six November games against AFC opponents.
- Marcus Maye is just two away from 10 career interceptions.
Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Prediction
I’ll stick with the Bills. Buffalo put up a nice effort in a road win over the decent Seahawks team last weekend, logging 445 yards (281 passing), 25 first downs and 8-of-15 on third-down conversions. The Bills had two takeaways on defense, giving up just 233 yards (201 passing) and 1-of-7 on third downs. It was a sloppy game though, with Buffalo committing 13 of the 24 overall penalties.
As for Miami, they’re coming off a rough loss despite gaining 377 yards (227 passing) and going 11-of-15 on third downs against the Cardinals. The Dolphins have lost the last two games by a combined seven points though, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see them competitive against a divisional opponent here. In the end though, I think the Bills take the cover.