| MATCHUP | Miami Dolphins | Atlanta Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-6 | 3-4 |
| Where | Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA | |
| When | Sunday, October 26, 2025 | |
| Time | 01:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | CBS | |
The Miami Dolphins and Atlanta Falcons meet Sunday in NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Here’s a Miami Dolphins vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction. This article will include a Miami Dolphins vs Atlanta Falcons Pick.
Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
The Miami Dolphins lost to the Chargers and Browns, and they play the Ravens next. The Dolphins have lost 7 of their last 8 games. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 67.8 percent of his passes for 1,313 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions. Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill have combined for 670 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while De’Von Achane has 32 receptions.
The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 92.4 yards per contest, and De’Von Achane leads the way with 472 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 29.3 points and 363.1 yards per game. Jordyn Brooks leads the Miami Dolphins with 75 tackles, Bradley Chubb has 4 sacks and Minkah Fitzpatrick has 1 interception.
Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview
The Atlanta Falcons beat the Bills, lost to the 49ers, and they play the Patriots next. The Atlanta Falcons have split their last 10 games. Michael Penix Jr. is completing 61 percent of his passes for 1,409 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Bijan Robinson and Drake London have combined for 859 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Kyle Pitts has 30 receptions.
The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 136.3 yards per contest, and Bijan Robinson leads the way with 524 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 20 points and 265.2 yards per game. Jessie Bates III leads the Atlanta Falcons with 39 tackles, Zach Harrison has 3.5 sacks and Xavier Watts has 2 interceptions.
Why the Atlanta Falcons will win
- The Dolphins have lost each of their last nine games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
- The Falcons have won each of their last four October games against AFC East opponents.
- The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine October games as underdogs.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the Falcons’ last four games.
- The Dolphins have lost the first half in each of their last four October games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
Why the Miami Dolphins will win
- The Falcons have lost three of their last four Sunday games as favorites.
- The underdogs have won each of the Falcons’ last two games.
- The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against AFC opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in four of the Falcons’ last five games.
- The Dolphins have won the first half in five of their last six games as underdogs following a road loss.
- The Falcons have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games against AFC East opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Dolphins’ last 10 Sunday games played on the East Coast have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Falcons’ last eight games against AFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts
- Bijan Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Falcons’ last six games at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Bijan Robinson has recorded 86+ rushing yards in five of the Falcons’ last six Sunday games as home favorites.
- Darnell Mooney has recorded 38+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his six previous October appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Michael Penix Jr. has recorded 250+ passing yards in each of the Falcons’ last four games at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Darnell Mooney has recorded 38+ receiving yards in each of his six previous October appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last eight October appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Heading into Week 8, Bijan Robinson has recorded the longest rush of the season (81 yards vs Bills, Week 6).
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
- De’Von Achane has scored at least one touchdown in 13 of the Dolphins’ last 14 Sunday games played on the East Coast.
- De’Von Achane has recorded 30+ receiving yards in four of the Dolphins’ last five games against NFC opponents.
- De’Von Achane has recorded 82+ rushing yards in four of the Dolphins’ last five Sunday games as underdogs.
- De’Von Achane has recorded 98+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Dolphins’ last five Sunday games as underdogs.
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 198+ passing yards in each of his 10 previous road appearances against NFC opponents.
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 21+ completions in each of his seven previous October appearances against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 8, Jordyn Brooks has recorded the equal-most tackles in a single game this season (18 vs Jets, Week 4).
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 8, the Falcons rank 32nd in the NFL in red zone percentage against (72.7%) this season.
- Heading into Week 8, the Falcons rank 1st in the NFL in 1st downs against (98) this season.
- Heading into Week 8, the Dolphins have recorded a higher time of possession than their opponent in just one game this season – equal-fewest in the league.
- Heading into Week 8, the Dolphins have lost two games from a half-time lead this season – equal-most in the league.
Miami Dolphins vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction
The Dolphins have had many close games this season, so the points are worth a look. A bounce here or there, and the Dolphins are in a much better spot. However, the Dolphins just got smoked by the Browns, and we’re seeing players and coaches make sly comments in press conferences. The Dolphins are heading in the wrong direction offensively, and their rush defense is dead last in the league. Good luck facing Bijan. The Dolphins are a dumpster fire you should avoid.
The Dolphins have failed to cover 12 of their last 17 games as an underdog. Thick line and not a fan of a hook on top of a key number, but I’ll lay the points with the Falcons anyway.