| MATCHUP | Las Vegas Raiders | Houston Texans |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-12 | 9-5 |
| Spread | +14.5 -110 | -14.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +750 | -1200 |
| Total | Over 37.5 (-112) | Under 37.5 (-108) |
| Where | NRG Stadium, Houston, TX | |
| When | Sunday, December 21, 2025 | |
| Time | 04:25 PM EST | |
| TV | CBS | |
Houston Texans Preview
The Houston Texans have a 9-5 record this season and are sitting second in the AFC South. They are 8-6 ATS, 4-9-1 in Over/Under and have a 5-2 home record and a 4-3 away record. The Texans are coming off a 40-20 home win against the Arizona Cardinals and will face the Chargers and Colts next.
Offensively, the Texans average 23.1 points per game, ranking 17th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 16.3 points per game, which is 1st. Houston averages 327.7 total yards per game (219.4 passing and 108.4 rushing), while allowing 269.2 total yards per game (92.7 rushing and 176.5 passing).
C.J. Stroud leads the Texans with 2441 passing yards with 65.3% completed passes and 15 touchdowns. Woody Marks leads the team in rushing yards with 584, while Nico Collins has a team-high 64 receptions for 1001 receiving yards, and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Azeez Al-Shaair has a team-high 96 total tackles (46 of them solo), while Danielle Hunter leads the team in sacks, with 12.0, while Calen Bullock and Jalen Pitre each have 4 interceptions.
Las Vegas Raiders Preview
The Las Vegas Raiders have a 2-12 record this season and are sitting fourth in the AFC West. They are 4-9 ATS, 6-8 in Over/Under and have a 1-6 home record and a 1-6 away record. The Raiders are coming off a 0-31 away loss against the Philadelphia Eagles and will face the Giants and Chiefs next.
Offensively, the Raiders average 14 points per game, ranking 32nd in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 25.9 points per game, which is 25th. Las Vegas averages 244.1 total yards per game (173.4 passing and 70.8 rushing), while allowing 330.1 total yards per game (118.9 rushing and 211.3 passing).
Geno Smith leads the Raiders with 2648 passing yards with 67.0% completed passes and 16 touchdowns. Ashton Jeanty leads the team in rushing yards with 700, while Brock Bowers has a team-high 59 receptions for 647 receiving yards, and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Devin White has a team-high 149 total tackles (81 of them solo), while Maxx Crosby leads the team in sacks, with 10.0, while Kyu Blu Kelly leads the team with 3 interceptions.
Las Vegas Raiders @ Houston Texans Betting Trends: Week 16
Why the Houston Texans will win
- The Raiders have lost each of their last nine games without Michael Mayer.
- The Texans have won each of their last six games without Jimmie Ward.
- The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five Sunday road games.
- The Texans have covered the spread in each of their last four games without Davis Mills.
- The Raiders have lost the first quarter in each of their last four road games following a road loss.
- The Texans have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a win.
- The Raiders have lost the first half in each of their last six games as road underdogs following a road loss.
Why the Las Vegas Raiders will win
- The Texans have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.
- The underdogs have won three of the Texans’ last four games.
- The Raiders have covered the spread in eight of their last nine December games against AFC opponents.
- The Texans have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.
- The underdogs have won the first quarter in six of the Raiders’ last seven Week 16 games.
- The Raiders have won the first half in seven of their last eight Week 16 games against AFC opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Texans’ last nine games as home favorites following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Raiders’ last eight road games in December have gone UNDER the total points line.
Houston Texans Player Prop Facts
- Nico Collins has scored at least one touchdown in six of his last seven appearances with the Texans as favorites following a win.
- C.J. Stroud has recorded 232+ passing yards in nine of his last 11 Sunday home appearances.
- C.J. Stroud has recorded 22+ completions in four of his last five appearances with the Texans as favorites.
- Nick Chubb has recorded 17+ rushing yards in each of his last 47 appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Dalton Schultz has recorded 45+ receiving yards in each of the Texans’ last six games following a home win.
- Nick Chubb has recorded 32+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 34 Sunday home appearances.
- Heading into Week 16, Nico Collins is the only player in the NFL to record 1,000 receiving yards with less than 80 receptions this season.
Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts
- Tre Tucker has recorded 36+ receiving yards in each of the Raiders’ last five games against AFC South opponents.
- Ashton Jeanty has recorded 86+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Raiders’ last three games against AFC South opponents.
- Brock Bowers has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Geno Smith has recorded 23+ completions in each of his three previous appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC South opponents.
- Heading into Week 16, Maxx Crosby is the only player in the NFL to record 10+ sacks and an interception this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 16, the Texans rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (16.3) this season.
- Heading into Week 16, the Texans rank 1st in the NFL in yards allowed per game (269.2) this season.
- Heading into Week 16, the Raiders rank 32nd in the NFL in points per game (14.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 16, the Raiders rank 32nd in the NFL in yards per game (244.1) this season.
Raiders vs Texans Prediction
In this Raiders vs Texans Prediction, the Texans are coming as -14-point home favorites. The Texans have been the far better team this season, as they have 9 wins in 14 games and are facing a struggling Raiders team that has won only twice this season and are 1-6 on the road. the Texans have been red-hot lately with six consecutive wins and are 5-1 against the spread, while on the other hand, the Raiders have lost their last 8 games and are 1-4 against the spread in their last 5. Las Vegas has the worst offense in the league and are facing the best defense, so I expect the hosts to win this one comfortably. Take the Texans and lay the -14 points at home in this one.