Jaguars vs Ravens Prediction 11/5/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

Jaguars vs Ravens Prediction

I love my dogs on Thursday nights, as the short week evens the playing field and often produces weird results. However, the Jaguars have quietly been one of the best regular-season teams dating back to last season. The Jags also are strong defensively, which includes having the best run defense in the NFL. The Ravens are on a third-string quarterback and would probably want to run the ball. Good luck. Fagnano is making his first career NFL start, and you can bet Jacksonville will load the box, forcing him to make plays. It’s all bad.

I have no confidence in the Ravens offense, especially against this defense that’s stingy in the trenches. Again, I don’t love the massive number, but I’m going to lay it anyway on Thursday night with the Jaguars due to the Ravens quarterback issue.

Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview

The Jacksonville Jaguars lost to the Texans, beat the Colts, and they play the Ravens next. The Jacksonville Jaguars have won 4 of their last 5 games. Trevor Lawrence is completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 1,690 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Parker Washington and Brenton Strange have combined for 766 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jakobi Meyers has 22 receptions.

The Jacksonville Jaguars ground game is averaging 122.9 yards per contest, and Bhayshul Tuten leads the way with 492 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Jacksonville is allowing 15.9 points and 331.3 yards per game. Foyesade Oluokun leads the Jacksonville Jaguars with 51 tackles, Travon Walker has 3 sacks, and Jourdan Lewis has 2 interceptions.

Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview

The Baltimore Ravens lost to the Bills and Bengals, and they play the Chargers next. The Baltimore Ravens have lost 3 straight games. Lamar Jackson is completing 70.1 percent of his passes for 967 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman have combined for 896 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Mark Andrews has 29 receptions.

The Baltimore Ravens’ ground game is averaging 133.5 yards per contest, and Derrick Henry leads the way with 632 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Baltimore is allowing 25.4 points and 331 yards per game. Roquan Smith leads the Baltimore Ravens with 66 tackles, Travius Robinson has 3.5 sacks, and Trenton Simpson has 1 interception.

Why the Baltimore Ravens will win

• The Ravens have won each of their last seven Week 9 games.
• The Jaguars have lost eight of their last nine Week 9 road games.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in eight of the Jaguars’ last nine Week 9 games.
• The Jaguars have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 road games played on the East Coast.
• The Jaguars have lost the first quarter in each of their last three night games.
• The Ravens have won the first half in each of their last four November home games against AFC South opponents.

Why the Jacksonville Jaguars will win

• The Jaguars have won eight of their last nine games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Ravens have lost each of their last four home games without Nnamdi Madubuike.
• The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games at M&T Bank Stadium.
• The Jaguars have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games played on the East Coast.
• The Ravens have lost the first half in each of their last five games in November.
• The Ravens have lost the first quarter in five of their last six November home games against AFC South opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Ravens’ last six home games without Rashod Bateman have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Jaguars’ last four night games following a win have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the last five Thursday games at M&T Bank Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts

• Derrick Henry has scored two or more touchdowns in five of his last six appearances in home night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Derrick Henry has scored the first touchdown in three of the Ravens’ last four games at M&T Bank Stadium.
• Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in 11 of his last 12 appearances in night games played on the East Coast.
• Zay Flowers has recorded 53+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances.
• Derrick Henry has recorded 84+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight appearances against the Jaguars.
• Derrick Henry has recorded 84+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his seven previous home appearances against the Jaguars.
• Heading into Week 9, Derrick Henry has recorded the most rushing touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Colts, Week 1).

Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts

• Parker Washington has scored a touchdown in four of the Jaguars’ last five games played as favorites on the East Coast.
• Brian Thomas has recorded 17+ receiving yards in 17 of his 19 previous appearances following a win.
• Trevor Lawrence has recorded 255+ passing yards in five of the Jaguars’ last six games as favorites following a win.
• Trevor Lawrence has recorded 36+ rushing yards in each of the Jaguars’ last three Thursday games.
• Trevor Lawrence has recorded 23+ completions in six of the Jaguars’ last seven games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 9, Trevor Lawrence has the highest passer rating in a single game (min. 10 ATT) this season (153.3 vs Colts, Week 8).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 9, the Ravens have suffered the most losses by a margin of 20+ points this season (2).
• Heading into Week 9, the Ravens rank T1st in the NFL in Q1 points per game (7.8) this season.
• Heading into Week 9, the Jaguars have recorded the largest margin of victory in the NFL this season (35 points vs. Indianapolis on November 1, 2026).
• Heading into Week 9, the Jaguars have recorded the largest margin of victory in a home game this season (35 points vs. Indianapolis on November 1, 2026).

Randy Chambers's Pick: Jaguars -10