Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans Prediction 11/16/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

Nikos Lagouretos

4 hours ago

Sep 28, 2025; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Texans running back Nick Chubb (21) runs with the ball during the fourth quarter against the Tennessee Titans at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	Texans Houston	Titans Tennessee
Team Records	4-5	1-8
Spread	-7.5 -110	+7.5 -110
Moneyline	-375	+295
Total	Over 39.5 (-110)	Under 39.5 (-110)
Where	Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
When	Sunday, November 16, 2025
Time	01:00 PM EST
TV	FOX

In this article, we will formulate a Texans vs Titans Prediction for this NFL Week 11 game on Sunday, November 16th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Tennessee Titans Preview

The Tennessee Titans have a 1-8 record this season and are sitting fourth in the AFC South. They are 3-6 ATS, 6-3 in Over/Under and have a 0-4 home record and a 1-4 away record. The Titans are coming off a 20-27 home loss against the Los Angeles Chargers and will face the Seahawks, Jaguars and Browns next.

Offensively, the Titans average 14.4 points per game, ranking 32nd in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 28.6 points per game, which is 30th. Tennessee averages 219.6 total yards per game (146.5 passing and 73.1 rushing), while allowing 321.0 total yards per game (127.2 rushing and 193.8 passing).

Cam Ward leads the Titans with 1760 passing yards with 57.6% completed passes and five touchdowns. Tony Pollard leads the team in rushing yards with 480, while Elic Ayomanor has a team-high 26 receptions for 323 receiving yards, and two touchdowns. Defensively, Cedric Gray has a team-high 91 total tackles (52 of them solo), while Jihad Ward leads the team in sacks, with 3.5, while Cody Barton and Roger McCreary each have one interception.

Houston Texans Preview

The Houston Texans have a 4-5 record this season and are sitting third in the AFC South. They are 4-5 ATS, 3-5-1 in Over/Under and have a 3-2 home record and a 1-3 away record. The Texans are coming off a 36-29 home win against the Jacksonville Jaguars and will face the Bills, Colts and Chiefs next.

Offensively, the Texans average 22.7 points per game, ranking 19th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 16.7 points per game, which is 1st. Houston averages 298.1 total yards per game (198.0 passing and 100.1 rushing), while allowing 235.2 total yards per game (81.3 rushing and 153.9 passing).

C.J. Stroud leads the Texans with 1702 passing yards with 66.5% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Nick Chubb leads the team in rushing yards with 402, while Nico Collins has a team-high 40 receptions for 550 receiving yards, and three touchdowns. Defensively, Azeez Al-Shaair has a team-high 59 total tackles (29 of them solo), while Danielle Hunter leads the team in sacks, with 7.5, while Derek Stingley Jr. and Jalen Pitre each have three interceptions.

Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans Betting Trends: Week 11

Why the Tennessee Titans will win

The underdogs have won each of the Texans’ last four games at Nissan Stadium.
The Texans have lost three of their last four games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
The Texans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
The underdogs have covered the spread in six of the Texans’ last seven games at Nissan Stadium.
The Texans have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
The Texans have lost the first half in each of their four previous games at Nissan Stadium following a home win.
The Titans have scored the first touchdown in six of their last seven games as home underdogs against AFC opponents.

Why the Houston Texans will win

The Titans have lost each of their last 12 games against AFC opponents.
The Texans have won each of their last seven road games against AFC South opponents on a losing streak.
The Titans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
The Texans have covered the spread in each of their last four road games against the Titans.
The Titans have lost the first half in each of their last 11 games against AFC opponents.
The Texans have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games against the Titans.
The Titans have lost the first quarter in each of their last three games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

Each of the Titans’ last five games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
Each of the Texans’ last five November games as road favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
Each of the last four Sunday games at Nissan Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Tennessee Titans Player Prop Facts

Tyjae Spears has recorded 18+ receiving yards in each of his last six appearances with the Titans as underdogs against AFC opponents.
Tony Pollard has recorded 44+ rushing yards in each of the Titans’ last nine games as heavy underdogs (>+7.0 points).
Tyjae Spears has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances following a home loss.
Tony Pollard has recorded 55+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last nine home appearances against division opponents.
Cam Ward has recorded 222+ passing yards in four of the Titans’ last five games.
Cam Ward has recorded 21+ completions in four of the Titans’ last five games.
Heading into Week 11, Chimere Dike ranks 1st in the NFL in kick return yards (1108) this season.

Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

Joe Mixon has scored at least one touchdown in each of his four previous appearances with the Texans as road favorites.
Nick Chubb has recorded 50+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a road favorite.
Nico Collins has recorded 79+ receiving yards in each of his nine previous appearances with the Texans as favorites against AFC South opponents.
Nick Chubb has recorded 34+ rushing yards in each of his last 25 appearances with his team as a favorite.
Davis Mills has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last three appearances as a starter.
Heading into Week 11, Jalen Pitre has recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Ravens, Week 5).

Matchup/League Facts

Heading into Week 11, the Titans rank 32nd in the NFL in points per game (14.4) this season.
Heading into Week 11, the Titans rank 32nd in the NFL in yards per game (244.0) this season.
Heading into Week 11, the Texans rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (16.7) this season.
Heading into Week 11, the Texans rank 1st in the NFL in yards allowed per game (261.3) this season.

Texans vs Titans Prediction

The Texans are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Titans and have won their last 4 visits in Tennessee. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Texans vs Titans Prediction, the Texans are coming as -7-point road favorites, with the total set at 39.5 points. The Titans have been terrible this season with just one win in 9 games played, having the worst offense in the league and the third-worst defense, losing by an average of 14.2 points per game. On the flip side, Houston has the best defense in the league and I expect them to lock this game down defensively and get away with an easy road win. Take the Houston Texans and lay the points on the road.