| MATCHUP | Green Bay Packers | Detroit Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 7-3-1 | 7-4 |
| Spread | +2.5 -105 | -2.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | +120 | -142 |
| Total | Over 48.5 (-115) | Under 48.5 (-105) |
| Where | Ford Field, Detroit, MI | |
| When | Thursday, November 27, 2025 | |
| Time | 01:00 PM EST | |
| TV | FOX | |
Green Bay Packers Betting Preview
The Green Bay Packers beat the Giants and Vikings, and they play the Bears next. The Packers have won 5 of their last 7 games. Jordan Love is completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 2,560 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Tucker Kraft and Romeo Doubs have combined for 1,011 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Matthew Goldson has 24 receptions.
The Green Bay Packers ground game is averaging 116.5 yards per contest, and Josh Jacobs leads the way with 648 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing 18.4 points and 278.7 yards per game. Quay Walker leads the Green Bay Packers with 84 tackles, Micah Parsons has 10 sacks and Evan Williams has 3 interceptions.
Detroit Lions Betting Preview
The Detroit Lions beat the Giants, lost to the Eagles, and play the Cowboys next. The Detroit Lions have split their last 6 games. Jared Goff is completing 69.3 percent of his passes for 2,769 yards, 23 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams have combined for 1,446 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns, while Sam LaPorta has 40 receptions.
The Detroit Lions ground game is averaging 139.8 yards per contest, and Jahmyr Gibbs leads the way with 951 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Detroit is allowing 22.1 points and 312.3 yards per game. Jack Campbell leads the Detroit Lions with 108 tackles, Aidan Hutchinson has 8.5 sacks and Kerby Joseph has 3 interceptions.
Why the Detroit Lions will win
- The Lions have won 10 of their last 11 home games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Packers have lost nine of their last 10 November games as road underdogs.
- The Packers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games against NFC opponents.
- The Lions have covered the spread in five of their last six November games against the Packers.
- The Packers have lost the first half in each of their last four games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The Packers have lost the first quarter in three of their last four road games against NFC opponents.
Why the Green Bay Packers will win
- The Packers have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs following a Division win.
- The Lions have lost each of their last three games as home favorites following a home win.
- The Packers have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as road underdogs following a Division win.
- The Lions have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Ford Field following a home win.
- The Lions have lost the first half in four of their last five games at Ford Field following a home win.
- The Lions have lost the first quarter in four of their last five November games as home favorites against NFC opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Packers’ last six games as road underdogs following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the last five Thursday games between the Packers and Lions have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the last three games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total points line.
Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts
- Jahmyr Gibbs has scored two or more touchdowns in each of the Lions’ last four games at Ford Field against teams that held a winning record.
- Jared Goff has recorded 241+ passing yards in each of the Lions’ last six games against NFC opponents.
- Amon-Ra St. Brown has recorded 77+ receiving yards in each of the Lions’ last six games as home favorites against NFC opponents.
- David Montgomery has recorded 40+ rushing yards in 18 of his last 19 appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC North opponents.
- Jared Goff has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Lions’ last eight games at Ford Field as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
- Jahmyr Gibbs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Lions’ last seven home games against teams on a winning streak.
- Amon-Ra St. Brown has recorded 77+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Lions’ last six home games against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 13, Jared Goff has recorded the equal-most passing touchdowns in a single game this season (5 vs Bears, Week 2).
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Emanuel Wilson has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Packers’ last four games against NFC North opponents.
- Heading into Week 13, Daniel Whelan ranks 1st in the NFC amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (50.5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Lions – two different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 13.
- Heading into Week 13, the Lions have recorded the equal-most wins by a margin of 15+ points this season (4).
- Heading into Week 13, the Packers rank 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (49.3%) this season.
- Heading into Week 13, the Packers rank 1st in the NFL in Q4 points per game (10.6) this season.
Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Prediction
The Lions and the small chalk at home isn’t something you’re going to see often. However, this will be the first time this season where the Packers are an underdog. The Packers have covered 8 of their last 12 games as an underdog. This line tells me oddsmakers are getting cold on the Lions, who no showed against the Eagles and probably should’ve lost last week to the Giants. The Lions have lost some of their explosiveness offensively, and I doubt it returns against a Packers’ defense that’s one of the league’s best. The Packers as an underdog is hard to pass up, as this is a top-10 team when it plays at its best level. Expect a close, hard fought game. I want the points.