New Orleans Saints (2-4) vs Denver Broncos (3-3)
Game Info: Thursday, October 17, 2024 at 8:15 pm (Caesars Superdome)
The Line: Betting Odds: New Orleans Saints +2.5 / Denver Broncos -2.5 — Over/Under: 37.5
In this article, we will formulate a Denver Broncos vs New Orleans Saints prediction for this NFL game on Thursday, October 17th at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 7 matchup.
Denver Broncos Betting Preview
The Denver Broncos are 3-3 this year after they lost to Los Angeles by a score of 23-16 in their last game. Denver trailed 23-0 after three quarters, but they were able to score 16 points in the final quarter to make the score closer than it was. The Broncos were outgained by a total of 350-316, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and went 3-11 on third down in the game. Bo Nix threw for 216 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Devaughn Vele caught four passes for 78 yards.
Denver has also lost to Seattle and Pittsburgh, but they do have wins against Tampa Bay, Las Vegas, and the Jets. The Denver offense has scored 18.7 points per game with 170.8 passing yards and 107.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 16 points per game this season. The Broncos have gone 25% on third down and 7-9 on fourth down through six games. Bo Nix has completed 61.1% of his passes for 1,082 yards, five touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Javonte Williams has rushed for 213 yards.
New Orleans Saints Betting Preview
The New Orleans Saints are 2-4 this season after they lost to Tampa Bay by a score of 51-27 last week. New Orleans erased a 17-0 first-quarter deficit, but it was all Bucs after that point in the blowout loss. The Saints were outgained by a total of 594-303, tied the turnover battle at three, and went 4-13 on third down in the game. Spencer Rattler threw for 243 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Alvin Kamara rushed for 40 yards and one touchdown.
New Orleans opened the season with wins over Carolina and Dallas, but they lost to Philadelphia, Atlanta, and Kansas City after that. The NO offense has scored 27.8 points per game with 200.3 passing yards and 119.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 24.5 points per game this season. The Saints have gone 47.1% on third down and 2-6 on fourth down so far this season. Spencer Rattler has completed 55% of his passes for 243 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Alvin Kamara has rushed for 428 yards and six scores.
Why the Saints will cover
- The Broncos have lost five of their last six games as road favorites following a Division game.
- The Saints have won six of their last nine October games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as road favorites following a loss.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in five of the Saints’ last six Week 7 games.
- The Saints have won the first half in five of their last six games at Caesars Superdome.
- The Broncos have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games as road favorites against NFC opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Six of the Broncos’ last seven games as road favorites following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of the Saints’ last 10 games against AFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts
- Jamaal Williams has scored at least one touchdown in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against AFC opponents.
- Jamaal Williams has recorded 33+ rushing yards in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
- Jamaal Williams has recorded 33+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
- Juwan Johnson has recorded 26+ receiving yards in four of the Saints’ last five home games.
- Heading into Week 7, Paulson Adebo ranks T1st in the NFC for passes defended (10) this season.
Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in four of the Broncos’ last five October games.
- Javonte Williams has recorded 96+ rushing and receiving yards in three of the Broncos’ last four October games.
- Courtland Sutton has recorded 46+ receiving yards in each of his last four Thursday appearances.
- Bo Nix has recorded 20+ completions in each of the Broncos’ last three games following a loss.
- Jaleel McLaughlin has recorded 22+ rushing yards in each of the Broncos’ last four October games as favorites.
- Heading into Week 7, Marvin Mims Jr. ranks 1st in the AFC for punt return yards (163) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 7, the Saints rank 1st in the NFL in Q2 points per game (12.5) this season.
- Heading into Week 7, the Saints rank 1st in the NFL in H1 points per game (19.3) this season.
- Heading into Week 7, the Broncos rank T2nd in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game (3.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 7, the Broncos rank 2nd in the NFL in H2 opponent points per game (5.7) this season.
Denver Broncos vs New Orleans Saints Prediction
Both of these teams come into this matchup after losing last week, but New Orleans will have the home-field advantage on short rest. The Saints will be without Carr in this game, but Olave and Shaheed are also questionable, so the passing game could face some challenges. Denver made the score respectable last week, but they were dominated by the Chargers for the first three quarters. I think this game could go either way, so I am going to take the Saints and the points at home, despite their injury issues.