Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction 12/7/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

The Denver Broncos and the Las Vegas Raiders meet Sunday in NFL action from Allegiant Stadium. Here’s a Broncos vs Raiders prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Broncos vs Raiders pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Denver Broncos Betting Preview

Denver’s season began on a 1-2 run with a win over the Titans ahead of losses versus the Colts and Chargers. The Broncos rallied after that and began a long win streak. Denver would take out the Bengals, Eagles, Jets, Giants, Cowboys, Texans, Raiders and Chiefs in their next eight outings. That would give Denver a nice 9-2 run over their first 11 games this year.

In their Sunday game versus Kansas City, Denver blew a 13-7 halftime lead but eventually won the game in overtime 27-26. QB Bo Nix finished 29-of-45 for 321 yards, one TD and one pick. RJ Harvey added 13 carries for 35 yards and two scores as the top rusher, and Evan Engram had six catches for 79 yards in the winning effort for the Broncos.

Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview

Over on the Raiders’ side, they went into their bye week with a rough 2-5 record. The only wins in that time were versus the Patriots and Titans. Otherwise it was losses to the Chargers, Commanders, Bears, Colts and Chiefs. After the bye Las Vegas continued to lose, falling versus the Jaguars, Broncos, Cowboys and Browns in the next four games. That would give the Raiders a 2-9 record across their first 11 games of the season.

Matched up against the Chargers on Sunday the Raiders went into the locker room with a 7-7 tie. Las Vegas was outscored 24-7 the rest of the way however, and lost 31-14 in the end. QB Geno Smith was 18-of-23 for 165 yards, two scores and a pick. Ashton Jeanty carried 15 times for 31 yards and Brock Bowers had four catches for 63 yards and a pair of scores.

Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders Betting Trends: Week 14

Why the Las Vegas Raiders will win

• The Broncos have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites against AFC West opponents.
• The Raiders have won eight of their last nine home games against the Broncos.
• The Raiders have covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games against the Broncos.
• The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as road favorites against AFC West opponents.
• The Broncos have lost the first half in each of their last three games at Allegiant Stadium.
• The Broncos have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.

Why the Denver Broncos will win

• The Raiders have lost each of their last 11 games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Broncos have won each of their last eight games following a win.
• The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine Week 14 games.
• The Broncos have covered the spread in each of their last four Week 14 games against AFC opponents.
• The Raiders have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games against AFC West opponents.
• The Broncos have won the first half in six of their last seven December games against the Raiders.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of the Broncos’ last 10 games against AFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Raiders’ last eight December games as underdogs against AFC West opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of the last eight games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total points line.

Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Ashton Jeanty has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Raiders’ last four Sunday home games.
• Geno Smith has recorded 221+ passing yards in eight of his last 10 appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
• Geno Smith has recorded 11+ rushing yards in each of his three previous home appearances against the Broncos.
• Ashton Jeanty has recorded 86+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Raiders’ last four Sunday games at Allegiant Stadium.
• Tyler Lockett has recorded 28+ receiving yards in each of his last four home appearances against AFC West opponents.
• Geno Smith has recorded 24+ completions in each of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Heading into Week 14, Tre Tucker has recorded the equal-most receiving touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Commanders, Week 3).

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

• RJ Harvey has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Broncos’ last three Sunday games as favorites.
• Bo Nix has recorded 247+ passing yards in each of the Broncos’ last three Sunday games as favorites.
• Bo Nix has recorded 16+ rushing yards in 11 of the Broncos’ last 13 Sunday games.
• Marvin Mims Jr. has recorded 20+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last five December appearances.
• Evan Engram has recorded 28+ receiving yards in each of his last seven December appearances against AFC opponents.
• Bo Nix has recorded 20+ completions in nine of the Broncos’ last 11 Sunday games as favorites.
• Heading into Week 14, Bo Nix ranks 1st in the AFC amongst qualified players for sack percentage (2.9%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 14, the Raiders have suffered the equal-most losses by a margin of 15+ points this season (5).
• Heading into Week 14, the Raiders have suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 10+ points this season (4).
• Heading into Week 14, the Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in punt return yards per game (31.3) this season.
• Heading into Week 14, the Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in red zone percentage against (39.4%) this season.

Broncos vs Raiders Prediction

I’ll stick with the Broncos but I’m probably avoiding this one. Denver has been giving their fans heart attacks all season with these close games, and this one may be no different. The Broncos’ latest escape versus Washington featured 402 total yards by the offense with 315 pass yards, 23 first downs and 7-of-15 on third-down tries. The defense allowed 419 yards on the other side with 276 pass yards, 30 first downs and 8-of-17 on third downs. In this latest four-game span, Denver has won each outing by three points or fewer while scoring 22 or fewer points in three of them. It’d be nice to get another double-digit win at some point.

As for the Raiders, they could muster just 156 yards against the Chargers along with 31 rush yards, 3.4 yards per play, 12 first downs and 2-of-8 on third-down tries. Vegas has now lost six straight games, scoring fewer than 17 points in five of those. It wouldn’t be surprising to see the Raiders play a very competitive game here, though.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Denver Broncos -7.5