Cincinnati Bengals (7-8) vs Denver Broncos (9-6)
Game Info: Saturday, December 28, 2024 at 4:30 pm (Paycor Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati Bengals -3.5 / Denver Broncos +3.5 — Over/Under: 49.5
In this article, we will formulate a Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals prediction for this NFL game on Saturday, December 28th at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 17 matchup.
Denver Broncos Betting Preview
The Denver Broncos are 9-6 this year after they lost to the Chargers by a score of 34-27 in their last game. Denver led 24-13 in the third quarter, but they allowed 21 of the last 24 points in the game for the loss. The Broncos were outgained by a total of 380-355, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 5-13 on third down in the game. Bo Nix threw for 263 yards and two touchdowns, while Audric Estime rushed for 48 yards and one score in the game.
Prior to that loss, the Broncos won four games in a row against the Colts, Browns, Raiders, and Falcons. The Denver offense has scored 24.2 points per game with 205.5 passing yards and 108.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 18.7 points per game this season. Bo Nix has completed 64.3% of his passes for 3,235 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, while Courtland Sutton has caught 71 passes for 928 yards and six scores this year.
Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Bengals are 7-8 this season after they defeated the Browns by a score of 24-6 in their last game. Cincinnati led 17-0 at halftime and they cruised to an easy victory. The Bengals outgained Cleveland by a total of 326-273, won the turnover battle 3-1, and went 4-11 on third down in the game. Joe Burrow threw for 252 yards and three scores, while Chase Brown rushed for 91 yards on 18 carries.
Prior to that win, the Bengals defeated the Titans by a score of 37-27 and the Cowboys by a score of 27-20. The Cincinnati offense has scored 28.2 points per game with 267.3 passing yards and 92.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 26.2 points per game this season. Joe Burrow has completed 68.9% of his passes for 4,229 yards, 39 touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Ja’Marr Chase has caught 108 passes for 1,510 yards and 16 touchdowns.
Why the Broncos will beat the Bengals
- The Broncos have won seven of their last eight games against the Bengals following a loss.
- The Bengals have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a Division game.
- The Bengals have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games following a Division game.
- The Broncos have covered the spread in each of their last five games as road underdogs following a road loss.
- The Broncos have won the first half in nine of their last 10 games following a loss.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Broncos’ last four games has gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Bengals’ last six games against AFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts
- Tee Higgins has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six appearances against AFC opponents.
- Chase Brown has recorded 109+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Bengals’ last five games as favorites.
- Joe Burrow has recorded 281+ passing yards in each of the Bengals’ last six games at Paycor Stadium with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Tanner Hudson has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against AFC opponents.
- Joe Burrow has recorded 10+ rushing yards in five of the Bengals’ last six games at Paycor Stadium with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Joe Burrow has recorded 25+ completions in each of the Bengals’ last six games at Paycor Stadium with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Joe Burrow has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Bengals’ last nine games against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 17, Ja’Marr Chase ranks 1st in the NFL in receiving yards (1510) this season.
Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Bo Nix has recorded 223+ passing yards in each of the Broncos’ last three games against AFC North opponents.
- Marvin Mims Jr. has recorded 44+ receiving yards in four of the Broncos’ last five games.
- Jaleel McLaughlin has recorded 37+ rushing yards in three of his last four December appearances.
- Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in four of the Broncos’ last five road games against teams on a winning streak.
- Javonte Williams has recorded 65+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five appearances against AFC North opponents.
- Bo Nix has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Broncos’ last three road games.
- Bo Nix has thrown two or more touchdowns in four of the Broncos’ last five games against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 17, Bo Nix ranks T1st in the league for batted pass attempts (15) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 17, the Bengals rank 3rd in the NFL in red zone percentage (68.0%) this season.
- Heading into Week 17, the Bengals rank 3rd in the NFL in Q3 points per game (7.1) this season.
- Heading into Week 17, the Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in H2 opponent points per game (7.5) this season.
- Heading into Week 17, the Broncos rank 31st in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (22.5) this season.
Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction
Cincinnati comes into this matchup facing a must-win situation and they will be at home for this contest. The Bengals have won three games in a row and they have one of the best passing attacks in the NFL. Denver has won four of their last five games, but they allowed 34 points to the Chargers in their last game. I do think Cincinnati will find success on offense, but I don’t trust their defense at all, which is one of the worst units in the league. Take the points with the Broncos here.