Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction 11/17/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

Nikos Lagouretos

3 hours ago

Aug 17, 2024; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Las Vegas Raiders running back Brittain Brown (38) is tackled by Dallas Cowboys linebacker Willie Harvey Jr. (55) and cornerback Kemon Hall (43) in the fourth quarter at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Candice Ward-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	Dallas Cowboys	Las Vegas Raiders
Team Records	3-5-1	2-7
Spread	-3.5 -110	+3.5 -110
Moneyline	-192	+160
Total	Over 50.5 (-110)	Under 50.5 (-110)
Where	Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
When	Monday, November 17, 2025
Time	08:15 PM EST
TV	ABC

In this article, we will formulate a Cowboys vs Raiders Prediction for this NFL Week 11 game on Monday, November 17th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Las Vegas Raiders Preview

The Las Vegas Raiders have a 2-7 record this season and are sitting fourth in the AFC West. They are 3-5-1 ATS, 5-4 in Over/Under and have a 1-3 home record and a 1-4 away record. The Raiders are coming off a 7-10 road loss against the Denver Broncos and will face the Browns, Chargers and Broncos next.

Offensively, the Raiders average 15.4 points per game, ranking 31st in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 24.4 points per game, which is 20th. Las Vegas averages 245.4 total yards per game (166.7 passing and 78.7 rushing), while allowing 288.7 total yards per game (95.9 rushing and 192.8 passing).

Geno Smith leads the Raiders with 1844 passing yards with 66.7% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Ashton Jeanty leads the team in rushing yards with 354, while Tre Tucker has a team-high 44 receptions for 455 receiving yards, and three touchdowns. Defensively, Devin White has a team-high 87 total tackles (51 of them solo), while Maxx Crosby leads the team in sacks, with 5.0, while Kyu Blu Kelly has one interception.

Dallas Cowboys Preview

The Dallas Cowboys have a 3-5-1 record this season and are sitting second in the NFC East. They are 4-5 ATS, 6-3 in Over/Under and have a 2-1-1 home record and a 1-4 away record. The Cowboys are coming off a 17-27 home loss against the Arizona Cardinals and will face the Eagles, Chiefs and Lions next.

Offensively, the Cowboys average 29.2 points per game, ranking 4th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 30.8 points per game, which is 31st. Dallas averages 340.6 total yards per game (232.0 passing and 108.6 rushing), while allowing 357.7 total yards per game (128.7 rushing and 229.0 passing).

Dak Prescott leads the Cowboys with 2319 passing yards with 69.3% completed passes and 17 touchdowns. Javonte Williams leads the team in rushing yards with 397, while George Pickens has a team-high 49 receptions for 764 receiving yards, and six touchdowns. Defensively, Kenneth Murray has a team-high 63 total tackles (32 of them solo), while Myles Garrett leads the team in sacks, with 11.0, while DaRon Bland has one interception.

Dallas Cowboys @ Las Vegas Raiders Betting Trends: Week 11

Why the Las Vegas Raiders will win

The Cowboys have lost each of their last nine November games against AFC opponents.
The Raiders have won each of their last three November games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four November games against AFC opponents.
The Raiders have covered the spread in six of their last seven November games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
The Raiders have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five home games.
The Cowboys have lost the first quarter in each of their last six games in November.
The Raiders have won the first half in each of their last five November games against NFC East opponents.

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

The Raiders have lost each of their last eight home games against NFC opponents on a losing streak.
The Cowboys have won each of their last seven Monday games played on the West Coast.
The Cowboys have covered the spread in each of their last six Monday road games.
The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games against NFC opponents.
The Raiders have lost the first quarter in each of their last six Week 11 games against NFC opponents.
The Cowboys have won the first half in each of their last eight games as road favorites following a loss.
The Cowboys have scored the first touchdown in six of their last seven games as favorites against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

Nine of the Raiders’ last 10 games as home underdogs following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Eight of the Cowboys’ last nine games as road favorites following a loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of the last three Monday games at Allegiant Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts

Ashton Jeanty has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Raiders’ last five games following a loss.
Ashton Jeanty has recorded 86+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Raiders’ last five games following a loss.
Geno Smith has recorded 221+ passing yards in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
Tyler Lockett has recorded 19+ receiving yards in each of his last 22 November appearances against NFC opponents.
Geno Smith has recorded 12+ rushing yards in each of his five previous Monday home appearances.
Geno Smith has recorded 22+ completions in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home underdog.
Heading into Week 11, Geno Smith has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (3 vs Chargers, Week 2).

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

George Pickens has scored a touchdown in each of his last four road appearances against teams that held a losing record.
CeeDee Lamb has recorded 85+ receiving yards in each of the Cowboys’ last seven games as favorites following a loss.
Dak Prescott has recorded 10+ rushing yards in each of his eight previous appearances with the Cowboys as road favorites against AFC opponents.
George Pickens has recorded 68+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Cowboys’ last eight games.
Dak Prescott has recorded 272+ passing yards in four of his last five appearances with the Cowboys as road favorites against AFC opponents.
Dak Prescott has recorded 28+ completions in three of the Cowboys’ last four games as favorites against AFC opponents.
Heading into Week 11, Dak Prescott has recorded the most completions in a single game this season (38 vs Giants, Week 2).

Matchup/League Facts

Heading into Week 11, the Raiders have suffered the equal-most losses when leading after Q1 this season (4).
Heading into Week 11, the Raiders have suffered the equal-most losses by a margin of three points or less this season (3).
Heading into Week 11, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in punt return yards per game (7.4) this season.
Heading into Week 11, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage against (52.6%) this season.

Cowboys vs Raiders Prediction

The Cowboys are 3-1 in their four meetings against the Raiders, having won their only visit in Las Vegas. In this Cowboys vs Raiders Prediction, the Cowboys are coming as -3.5-point road favorites, with the total set at 50 points. Both teams have been bad this season and are coming into this matchup in poor form. The Raiders are 1-7 in their last 8 games, while the Cowboys are 1-3 in their last 4. Both teams have just one win at home and away so I don’t trust either side. Dallas has been playing some high-scoring games this season, but they are facing the second-worst offense in the league. Both teams average 44.6 points per game combined, which is way lower than today’s total of 50. Get the under the total in this one.