Cowboys vs Colts Prediction 11/8/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

Cowboys vs Colts Prediction

I’ll go with Dallas. The Cowboys need a good bounce-back effort here after a tough loss to a struggling Cardinals team, and this is a great spot to get it. Last weekend Dallas posted a tepid 261 total yards with a 6-of-16 success rate on third downs. The defense gave up 24 first downs and 467 total yards in the overtime home loss. Dallas has scored pretty well against bottom-half NFL teams this year for the most part; it’s a common sight to see them hit the 30-point mark this year. They’ve done it in consecutive games now, and in all three of their wins.

As for Indy, they looked listless in a blowout loss to the Jaguars last weekend with three turnovers, 243 yards and just 3-of-11 on third downs. The Colts gave up 18 first downs and 366 yards defensively. That makes a four-game losing streak for Indianapolis, and they’ve given up 26 or more points in three of those outings. I’m not wild about their chances here, even at home.

Game Info, Stats and Previews

The Dallas Cowboys and the Indianapolis Colts meet Sunday in NFL action from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. Here’s a collection of relevant information and reasoning for a sound Cowboys vs Colts prediction. We have looked at this information from a betting perspective and attempted to determine the best Cowboys vs Colts pick. We will also examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. We will tie it all together to the pick summary, resulting in a sensible prediction for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

This year the Cowboys have had a few more downs than ups. Dallas opened the season on a 2-2 run, beating the Commanders and Texans in that time with losses versus the Giants and Ravens otherwise. Dallas would then lose a couple versus Tampa Bay and Green Bay before recovering on a victory versus the Eagles. In their first seven games that made for a 3-4 record.

In the Arizona game on Sunday the Cowboys were up 14-0 early and headed into the locker room at halftime with a 14-3 edge. Dallas had a 30-24 edge late in the fourth but Arizona tied it up. After a missed PAT the Cowboys eventually lost in overtime 33-30. QB Dak Prescott was 19-of-29 for 195 yards and a TD. CeeDee Lamb led the receivers in the losing effort with seven catches for 58 yards.

Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview

Over on the Colts’ side, they haven’t had much luck in the win column this year. Indy started with losses to the Ravens and Chiefs, but then evened their record with wins over Houston and Washington. After that came losses to Pittsburgh, Tennessee and the Minnesota Vikings over the next three games. In the first seven outings of the year the Colts could only muster a 2-5 run.

In the match with the Jags last weekend the Colts were down early after a first-quarter touchdown and then gave up three more in the second for a 28-0 halftime deficit. Indianapolis was kept off the scoreboard outside of a third-quarter touchdown and limped to a 42-7 blowout loss on the road. QB Daniel Jones was 19-of-28 for 144 yards, one TD and two picks. Keenan Allen added seven catches for 67 yards and DJ Giddens had six carries for 46 yards.

Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts Betting Trends: Week 9

 

Why the Indianapolis Colts will win

• The Cowboys have lost six of their last seven Sunday games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won each of the Colts’ last two games at Lucas Oil Stadium.
• The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites without DaRon Bland.
• The Colts have covered the spread in each of their last four day games against NFC opponents.
• The Cowboys have lost the first quarter in each of their last three November games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Cowboys have lost the first half in five of their last six Week 9 road games against AFC opponents.

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

• The Colts have lost each of their last nine games as home underdogs against NFC opponents.
• The Cowboys have won each of their last six road games against AFC opponents on a losing streak.
• The Cowboys have covered the spread in each of their last four games following an overtime loss.
• The Colts have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven home games without Andrew Ogletree.
• The Colts have lost the first quarter in three of their last four Week 9 games against NFC East opponents.
• The Cowboys have won the first half in each of their last four games as road favorites against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Cowboys’ last five games without KaVontae Turpin have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the Colts’ last six Week 9 games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts

• Keenan Allen has recorded 36+ receiving yards in each of his 15 previous November appearances against NFC opponents.
• Jonathan Taylor has recorded 72+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Colts’ last 12 day games at Lucas Oil Stadium.
• Jonathan Taylor has scored at least one touchdown in 11 of the Colts’ last 12 day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Daniel Jones has recorded 201+ passing yards in eight of his nine previous appearances in day games at Lucas Oil Stadium.
• Jonathan Taylor has recorded 66+ rushing yards in each of the Colts’ last 12 Sunday games at Lucas Oil Stadium.
• Daniel Jones has recorded 20+ completions in 10 of his 12 previous November appearances against NFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 9, Spencer Shrader ranks T1st in the NFL in 50+ yard field goals made (6) this season.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• Javonte Williams has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four Sunday road appearances.
• George Pickens has recorded 75+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances against AFC opponents.
• Javonte Williams has scored two or more touchdowns in three of his last four Sunday road appearances.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 282+ passing yards in three of his last four appearances against AFC South opponents.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 10+ rushing yards in 10 of the Cowboys’ last 11 day road games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
• George Pickens has recorded 75+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances against AFC opponents.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 25+ completions in five of the Cowboys’ last six Sunday day games as road favorites.
• Heading into Week 9, Javonte Williams has recorded the equal-most rushing touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Texans, Week 4).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 9, the Colts have suffered the largest margin of defeat in the NFL this season (35-points vs Jacksonville on November 1, 2026).
• Heading into Week 9, the Colts have recorded a higher time of possession than their opponents in each of their last six games – longest active streak in the league.
• Heading into Week 9, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage against (51.4%) this season.
• Heading into Week 9, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in 1st downs against (183) this season.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Dallas Cowboys -6