LA Chargers (6-3) vs Cincinnati Bengals (4-6)
Game Info: Sunday, November 17, 2024 at 8:20 pm (SoFi Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: LA Chargers -1.5 / Cincinnati Bengals +1.5 — Over/Under: 46.5
In this article, we will formulate a Cincinnati Bengals vs LA Chargers prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, November 17th at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 11 matchup.
Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Bengals are 4-6 this year after they lost to Baltimore by a score of 35-34 in their last game. Cincinnati led 14-7 at halftime, but they trailed 35-28 late in the game, before scoring and missing the two-point conversion for the loss. The Bengals outgained Baltimore by a total of 470-389, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 8-16 on third down in the game. Joe Burrow threw for 428 yards and four touchdowns, while Ja’Marr Chase caught 11 passes for 264 yards and three scores.
Prior to that loss, the Bengals defeated the Raiders by a score of 41-24 but did lose to Philadelphia by a score of 37-17 before that. The Cincinnati offense has scored 27 points per game with 254.8 passing yards and 89.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 26.2 points per game this season. Joe Burrow has completed 68.7% of his passes for 2,672 yards, 24 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Ja’Marr Chase has caught 66 passes for 981 yards and 10 scores.
LA Chargers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Chargers are 6-3 this season after they defeated Tennessee by a score of 27-17 in their last game. Los Angeles led 13-7 at halftime and their lead was cut to 13-10 in the third, but they scored the next 14 points to pull away for the win. The Chargers outgained Tennessee by a total of 309-289, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 4-10 on third down in the game. Justin Herbert threw for 164 yards and one touchdown, while Gus Edwards rushed for 55 yards on 10 carries.
Prior to that game, the Chargers defeated Cleveland by a score of 27-10 and New Orleans by a score of 26-8. The LA offense has scored 20.7 points per game with 196.4 passing yards and 117.9 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 13.1 points per game this season. Justin Herbert has completed 66% of his passes for 1,889 yards, 11 touchdowns, and one interception, while Ladd McConkey has caught 37 passes for 492 yards and four scores.
Why the Bengals will beat the Chargers
- The Bengals have won five of their last seven games as underdogs following a Division game.
- The Chargers have lost three of their last four home games following a win.
- The road team has covered the spread in nine of the Bengals’ last 10 games.
- The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at SoFi Stadium following a home win.
- The Chargers have lost the first half in three of their last four games at SoFi Stadium following a win.
- The Bengals have won the first quarter in each of their last two games against teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of the Bengals’ last 11 road games against AFC West opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Chargers’ last five games as favorites following a home win has gone UNDER the total points line.
Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts
- Justin Herbert has recorded 228+ passing yards in each of the Chargers’ last four games as favorites against AFC North opponents.
- Gus Edwards has recorded 28+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a home favorite against AFC opponents.
- Gus Edwards has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four November home appearances against AFC North opponents.
- Josh Palmer has recorded 36+ receiving yards in nine of his last 10 appearances against AFC opponents.
- Gus Edwards has recorded 15+ rushing yards in each of his last 17 regular season appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 21+ completions in each of the Chargers’ last four Week 11 games.
- Justin Herbert has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Chargers’ last four Week 11 games.
- Derwin James is just two away from 10 career interceptions.
Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts
- Joe Burrow has recorded 10+ rushing yards in six of his seven previous appearances with the Bengals as underdogs against AFC West opponents.
- Chase Brown has scored at least one touchdown in five of the Bengals’ last six Sunday games.
- Tee Higgins has recorded 78+ receiving yards in seven of his eight previous November appearances against AFC opponents.
- Joe Burrow has thrown four or more touchdowns in three of the Bengals’ last four games against AFC opponents.
- Joe Burrow has recorded 27+ completions in four of his last five November appearances against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 11, Ja’Marr Chase ranks 1st in the NFL in receiving yards (981) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 11, the Chargers rank 1st in the NFL in Q2 opponent points per game (3.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 11, the Chargers rank 1st in the NFL in H1 opponent points per game (4.8) this season.
- Heading into Week 11, the Bengals rank 31st in the NFL in H2 opponent points per game (15.7) this season.
- Heading into Week 11, the Bengals have scored five or more touchdowns in two consecutive games – the equal-longest streak in the league.
Cincinnati Bengals vs LA Chargers Prediction
Los Angeles comes into this matchup on a three-game winning streak and they have scored 26, 27, and 27 points in those three wins. The Chargers have the best defense in the NFL so far this season, so if the offense can continue to put up 24+ points, they are going to be very tough to beat. Cincinnati has lost two of their last three games and they have allowed 35, 24, and 37 points in those three games. The Bengals have struggled on defense at times this season, but I think their offense can carry them to a huge victory in this game. Take Cincinnati here.