Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction 11/1/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

The Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos meet Sunday in NFL action from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver. Here’s a Chiefs vs Broncos prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Chiefs vs Broncos pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

The Chiefs started out the year on a tear but they just recently suffered their first blemish. Kansas City opened on a five-game win streak, taking out the Denver Broncos, Indianapolis Colts, Miami Dolphins, Las Vegas Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers. After a loss to the Seahawks, the Chiefs sit at 5-1 on the year after six outings.

In the Seattle game last weekend the Chiefs gave up a field goal and a touchdown in the second quarter and couldn’t find the scoreboard themselves in a 10-0 game at the break. Kansas City could only muster a field goal in the third quarter and limped to a 20-3 loss. QB Patrick Mahomes was 19-of-33 for 165 yards and a pick during the loss.

Denver Broncos Betting Preview

Over on the Broncos’ side, they opened things up on a rather shaky clip but they’ve hit their stride lately. Denver went 2-2 in their first four games with wins over the Jaguars and Rams in between losses to Kansas City and San Francisco. Since then it’s been wins over the Chargers, Seahawks and Cardinals in succession for a 5-2 record so far.

Matched up against the Cardinals on Sunday the Broncos got a couple of field goals in the first quarter and a 62-yard TD run from Bo Nix in the second for a 13-6 lead at the break. Denver got even better from there, eventually powering out a 30-16 victory on the road. Nix finished 15-of-29 for 222 yards and a TD while rushing for 73 yards and the touchdown.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Betting Trends: Week 8

 

Why the Denver Broncos will win

• The Broncos have won each of their last 10 Week 8 games at Empower Field at Mile High.
• The Chiefs have lost four of their last five games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Broncos have covered the spread in each of their last 10 Week 8 games at Empower Field at Mile High.
• The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games in November.
• The Broncos have won the first quarter in each of their last three Week 8 games as home underdogs.
• The Chiefs have lost the first half in four of their last five games as road favorites.

Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win

• The Chiefs have won eight of their last nine road games against AFC West opponents on a winning streak.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread in four of their last five road games without Chris Jones.
• The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games as underdogs without Alex Singleton.
• The Broncos have lost the first quarter in three of their last four home games following a win.
• The Broncos have lost the first half in three of their last four Week 8 games against AFC West opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Chiefs’ last nine games as favorites following a loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eleven of the Broncos’ last 12 November games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of the last seven day games between AFC West teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

• J.K. Dobbins has scored a touchdown in each of the Broncos’ last three games.
• Bo Nix has recorded 247+ passing yards in six of the Broncos’ last seven regular season day games at Empower Field at Mile High.
• Evan Engram has recorded 27+ receiving yards in nine of his last 10 home appearances against division opponents.
• RJ Harvey has recorded 28+ rushing yards in each of his last six Sunday day home appearances.
• J.K. Dobbins has recorded 62+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six appearances in day games against AFC West opponents.
• Jarrett Stidham has recorded 17+ completions in each of his five previous appearances as a starter.
• Heading into Week 8, Talanoa Hufanga has recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Rams, Week 3).

Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts

• Kenneth Walker III has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last five appearances against division opponents.
• Patrick Mahomes has recorded 250+ passing yards in each of the Chiefs’ last nine November games as favorites.
• Travis Kelce has recorded 64+ receiving yards in each of the Chiefs’ last eight November games as favorites against AFC West opponents.
• Kenneth Walker III has recorded 103+ rushing yards in each of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC West opponents.
• Kenneth Walker III has recorded 110+ rushing and receiving yards in nine of his last 10 appearances against division opponents.
• Kenneth Walker III has scored two or more touchdowns in four of his last five appearances against division opponents.
• Patrick Mahomes has recorded 24+ completions in each of his six previous Week 8 appearances.
• Heading into Week 8, Kenneth Walker III has recorded the longest touchdown reception of the season (76 vs Raiders, Week 4).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 8, the Broncos rank T1st in the NFL in sacks (21.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 8, the Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in total punt yards (1751) this season.
• Heading into Week 8, the Chiefs have recorded eight consecutive games with an interception – longest streak in the league.
• Heading into Week 8, the Chiefs rank 2nd in the NFL in points allowed per game (17.2) this season.

Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction

I’ll take a stab on Denver but you could obviously argue it either way. The Broncos didn’t have a ton of issues against a struggling Cardinals team last weekend, posting 377 total yards and 18 first downs. Denver was a bit shaky on third downs (3-of-11) though, and gave up 24 first downs on defense. Still, during this three-game win streak the Broncos have given up fewer than 18 points in every outing.

These teams last met up in the opener on Monday, September 14 in Kansas City. The Chiefs took that one 31-10 in fairly dominant fashion, racking up 392 yards and 19 first downs versus Denver’s 176 yards and nine first downs. The Broncos also had a couple of turnovers and went just 2-of-12 on third downs. In short, Denver has their work cut out for them in the home rematch.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Denver Broncos +1.5