| MATCHUP | Bears Chicago | Vikings Minnesota |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 6-3 | 4-5 |
| Spread | +3 -112 | -3 -108 |
| Moneyline | +140 | -166 |
| Total | Over 48.5 (-110) | Under 48.5 (-110) |
| Where | U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN | |
| When | Sunday, November 16, 2025 | |
| Time | 01:00 PM EST | |
| TV | FOX | |
Chicago Bears Betting Preview
The Bears kicked off their 2025 campaign with a loss to the Minnesota Vikings and another versus the Detroit Lions, but then hit their stride with wins over the Dallas Cowboys, Las Vegas Raiders, Washington Commanders and New Orleans Saints. Chicago would then fall to the Baltimore Ravens before a win over the Cincinnati Bengals. In the 47-42 shootout on the road versus Cincinnati, the Bears scored double-digit points in each of the last three quarters. Chicago ended up with 576 total yards, 7.6 yards per play, 30 first downs and 8-of-15 on third-down tries. The defense gave up 495 yards on the other side but also had three takeaways.
In their latest outing versus the New York Giants at home on Sunday, the Bears were down by a field goal heading into the second half, then got outscored 7-3 in the third. Chicago roared back on a 14-3 run from there however and took the comeback victory 24-20. QB Caleb Williams was 20-of-36 for 220 yards and a TD, while also scoring a rush touchdown. D’Andre Swift added 13 totes for 80 yards, and Rome Odunze had 86 yards and a score on six catches in the Bears’ victory effort.
Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview
Over on the Vikings’ side, they notched a 2-2 run over their first four outings with wins over the Chicago Bears and Cincinnati Bengals mixed with losses to the Atlanta Falcons and Pittsburgh Steelers. Minnesota would then hit another 2-2 stretch with losses to the Eagles and Chargers among wins over the Cleveland Browns and Detroit Lions. In the matchup versus Detroit, Minnesota scored points in every quarter while also giving up points in every quarter but still won 27-24 on the road. The offense managed a tepid 258 yards though, with 116 passing yards, 20 first downs and a pretty rough 4-of-12 success rate on third-down tries.
Minnesota took on the Baltimore Ravens in their latest outing. The Vikings also put up points in every quarter during this one—and also gave up points in every quarter—on the way to a 27-19 home loss. Quarterback JJ McCarthy had a 20-of-42 line for 248 yards, one TD and two picks while also leading the rush on 48 yards off five carries. Jalen Nailor topped the receivers with 124 yards and a score on five catches while Aaron Jones had nine carries for 47 yards and a score for the Vikes during the losing effort.
Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings Betting Trends: Week 11
Why the Minnesota Vikings will win
- The Bears have lost 21 of their last 22 November games as underdogs.
- The Vikings have won eight of their last nine games against the Bears.
- The Vikings have covered the spread in four of their last five games as home favorites.
- The Bears have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against NFC North opponents.
- The home team has won the first quarter in seven of the Bears’ last nine games.
- The Vikings have won the first half in each of their last four games in November.
Why the Chicago Bears will win
- The Bears have won each of their last two games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The Vikings have lost four of their last five games following a home loss.
- The road team has covered the spread in five of the Vikings’ last six Week 11 games.
- The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three November games as home favorites against NFC opponents.
- The Vikings have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games as favorites against NFC North opponents.
- The road team has won the first half in five of the Vikings’ last six Week 11 games.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Bears’ last eight Sunday games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the Vikings’ last seven games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the last eight games between NFC North teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts
- Cam Akers has recorded 19+ rushing yards in each of his last eight November appearances.
- Adam Thielen has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six November appearances as home favorites against NFC opponents.
- Justin Jefferson has recorded 73+ receiving yards in each of his last 10 regular season appearances with the Vikings as home favorites against NFC opponents.
- Cam Akers has recorded 13+ rushing and receiving yards in 21 of his last 22 appearances against division opponents.
- Heading into Week 11, Myles Price ranks 2nd in the NFL in kick return yards (892) this season.
Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts
- D’Andre Swift has scored a touchdown in each of the Bears’ last five games as road underdogs.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 217+ passing yards in each of the Bears’ last five November games against NFC opponents.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 33+ rushing yards in each of the Bears’ last five November games.
- D.J. Moore has recorded 46+ receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last 13 games against NFC North opponents.
- D.J. Moore has recorded 51+ rushing and receiving yards in 18 of his 19 previous appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC North opponents.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 19+ completions in nine of the Bears’ last 10 Sunday games as underdogs.
- Heading into Week 11, Tremaine Edmunds ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 11, the Vikings have recorded the largest margin of victory in the NFL this season (38-points vs Cincinnati on September 21, 2025).
- Heading into Week 11, the Vikings have recorded the largest margin of victory in a home game this season (38-points vs Cincinnati on September 21, 2025).
- Bears – two different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 11.
- Heading into Week 11, the Bears rank 1st in the NFL in interceptions (13) this season.
Bears vs Vikings Prediction
I’m going to take a stab on the Bears here. That said, this should be a pretty competitive and close game so you could call it either way. Chicago wasn’t able to tame the Giants until the fourth quarter last weekend, so the win wasn’t all that pretty—New York’s 10 penalties didn’t hurt either. The offense gained 391 total yards but also went just 3-of-11 on third-down tries. Defensively the Bears gave up 431 yards with 21 first downs and 5-of-14 on third downs. Chicago has scored 24 or more points in all of their wins this year, so it’ll be important for them to visit the scoreboard early and often in this one. Should be a fun game to watch.