Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction 11/16/2025 Today’s NFL Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Nov 2, 2025; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson (7) runs the ball during the first half against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Eric Canha-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
Team Records
5-5
3-6
Spread
+3.5 -112
-3.5 -108
Moneyline
+154
-185
Total
Over 42.5 (-108)
Under 42.5 (-112)
Where
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
When
Sunday, November 16, 2025
Time
01:00 PM EST
TV
FOX
The Carolina Panthers and the Atlanta Falcons meet in week 11 NFL action from Mercedes Benz Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons prediction.
Carolina Panthers Recap
The Carolina Panthers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 17-7 loss at the hands of the New Orleans Saints last time out to sit at 5-5 this season. After this game, Carolina will head on the road for a game against the San Francisco 49ers.
Panthers Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight
Bryce Young has thrown for 1,514 yards, 11 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 61.7% passing while Andy Dalton has 293 passing yards, a touchdown and an interception on 67.6% passing. Rico Dowdle has a team-high 788 rushing yards and 5 TDs and Chuba Hubbard has 313 rushing yards as well this season. Tetairoa McMillan has a team-high 46 catches for 618 yards and six more Panthers have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Christian Rozeboom has a team-high 81 total tackles. As a unit, Carolina’s defense has combined for 16 sacks and 7 interceptions so far this season.
Atlanta Falcons Recap
The Atlanta Falcons come into this game looking to rebound from their 31-25 loss at the hands of the Indianapolis Colts last time out to sit at 3-6 this season. After this game, Atlanta will head on the road for a game against the New Orleans Saints.
Falcons Drop 4 In A Row
Michael Penix Jr. has thrown for 1,807 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 58.8% passing while Bijan Robinson leads the Falcons in rushing with 679 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns and 467 receiving yards out of the backfield. Tyler Allgeier has 270 rushing yards and 6 TDs. Drake London has a team-high 53 catches for 691 yards and 6 touchdowns while Kyle Pitts Sr. has 45 catches for 420 yards and a touchdown. On defense, Kaden EIliss has a team-high 60 total tackles while Xavier Watts has a pair of interceptions and Zach Harrison has a team-high 4.5 sacks. As a unit, Atlanta’s defense has combined for 29 sacks and 8 interceptions so far this season.
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends: Week 11
Why the Atlanta Falcons will win
The Panthers have lost each of their last six Week 11 road games.
The Falcons have won each of their three previous Week 11 games against the Panthers.
The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Falcons’ last four Week 11 games.
The Panthers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six Week 11 games against NFC opponents.
The Falcons have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six home games against the Panthers.
The Falcons have won the first quarter in three of their last four home games.
The Panthers have lost the first half in nine of their last 10 road games against NFC opponents.
Why the Carolina Panthers will win
The underdogs have won five of the Panthers’ last six games.
The Falcons have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
The Panthers have covered the spread in each of their last nine games as underdogs following a loss.
The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight home games after coming off overtime.
The road team has won the first half in each of the Panthers’ last six games.
The Panthers have scored the first touchdown in three of their last four road games played on the East Coast.
The Falcons have lost the first quarter in each of their last two games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
Total Points Facts
Each of the last four games between NFC South teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of the Panthers’ last four road games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
Five of the Falcons’ last six November games against NFC South opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts
Michael Penix Jr. has recorded 20+ completions in each of his last four home appearances.
Michael Penix Jr. has recorded 250+ passing yards in each of his last four home appearances.
Bijan Robinson has recorded 75+ rushing yards in each of the Falcons’ last five games as home favorites against NFC opponents.
Bijan Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Falcons’ last four home games against NFC opponents.
Darnell Mooney has recorded 43+ receiving yards in each of his last 11 home appearances against division opponents.
Darnell Mooney has recorded 43+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 11 home appearances against division opponents.
Xavier Watts has two interceptions through his first five career games – most by any player since Tariq Woolen, (2022).
Carolina Panthers Player Prop Facts
Chuba Hubbard has scored a touchdown in four of his last five road appearances against NFC opponents.
Bryce Young has recorded 18+ completions in each of the Panthers’ last three road games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
Bryce Young has recorded 171+ passing yards in four of the Panthers’ last five games as underdogs against NFC South opponents.
Chuba Hubbard has recorded 28+ rushing yards in each of his last 23 appearances with the Panthers as underdogs on the East Coast.
Xavier Legette has recorded 23+ receiving yards in each of his six previous appearances with the Panthers as underdogs against NFC South opponents.
Chuba Hubbard has recorded 52+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last nine road appearances on the East Coast.
Heading into Week 11, Bryce Young has recorded the equal-most pass attempts in a single game this season (55 vs Cardinals, Week 2).
Matchup/League Facts
Heading into Week 11, the Falcons rank 1st in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (162.3) this season.
Heading into Week 11, the Falcons rank 32nd in the NFL in average kickoff return (21.6 yards) this season.
Heading into Week 11, the Panthers rank 1st in the NFL in 4th down attempts (22) this season.
Heading into Week 11, the Panthers have recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less this season (2).
Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons Prediction
I’m on the Falcons here. I still have my doubts about the Panthers and what this team really is on the road, and we’re getting to must-win territory for Atlanta if we’re not already there. The Panthers have been exceeding expectations overall this season, but I think they hit a speed bump here and I think the Falcons grab a much needed win. Give me Atlanta in this one.
