Baltimore (1-2) vs Kansas City (1-2)
September 28, 2025 at 04:25 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Kansas City +3 — Over/Under: +48.5
The Baltimore Ravens and the Kansas City Chiefs meet Sunday in NFL action from Arrowhead Stadium. Here’s a Ravens vs Chiefs prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Ravens vs Chiefs pick. We will examine:
The Baltimore Ravens recent form and player performance
The Kansas City Chiefs recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Baltimore Ravens
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Chiefs
Recent betting trends in games played between the Ravens and Chiefs
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Ravens vs Chiefs game
Baltimore kicked off their 2025 season with a tough matchup versus the Buffalo Bills. The Ravens got into a shootout on the road in that one, giving up 22 points in the fourth quarter during a 41-40 loss. Baltimore came up with a whopping 238 rushing yards in the defeat. Game two against the Cleveland Browns went a lot smoother for Baltimore. The Ravens posted 21 points in the fourth quarter alone during a 41-17 win. This time Baltimore had a tepid 242 total yards (197 passing) and 4.6 yards per play on average.
This past week the Ravens took on the Detroit Lions in a Monday game. Baltimore played a back-and-forth battle, heading into the final quarter with a 21-21 tie. When the dust settled however, the Ravens ended up with a 38-30 loss. QB Lamar Jackson logged a 21-of-27 line for 288 yards and three scores while Derrick Henry rushed for 50 yards and a touchdown. Mark Andrews was the leading receiver on six grabs for 91 yards and a couple of TDs.
Over on the Chiefs’ side, they opened up the year with a couple of tricky matchups and a couple of tough losses. Kansas City started against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 1, giving up points in every quarter during a 27-21 loss. The Chiefs defense surrendered 304 passing yards in the defeat. As for Week 2 versus the Philadelphia Eagles in a Super Bowl rematch, KC again gave up points in every quarter in a 20-17 loss. This time the defense was pretty stout though, posting 216 yards allowed, 3.7 yards per play and 5-of-14 on third downs.
Last Sunday evening versus the New York Giants, the Chiefs held a modest three-point lead at halftime. After a 13-3 run from there however, KC had the victory 22-9. QB Patrick Mahomes was 22-of-37 for 224 yards and a touchdown while Isiah Pacheco had 10 carries for 45 yards to top the rush. Tyquan Thornton was the leading receiver with five catches for 71 yards and the touchdown.
The Chiefs have won each of their last 15 games at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium when playing with a rest advantage.
The Ravens have lost four of their last five Sunday games as road favorites.
The Chiefs have covered the spread in each of their last four Week 4 home games.
The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five Sunday road games.
The Ravens have lost the first quarter in four of their last six games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
The Ravens have won each of their last eight games as favorites following a home loss.
The Ravens have covered the spread in each of their last five games as favorites following a home loss.
The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five Sunday games at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
The Chiefs have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games.
The Chiefs have lost the first half in each of their last three September games against AFC opponents.
Each of the Ravens’ last seven games as favorites following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Each of the Chiefs’ last four September games against AFC North opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
I’ll take Baltimore in this one. The Ravens are playing on a short week and coming off a tough loss at home so it’ll be a tricky turnaround. Baltimore gave up 426 yards (224 rushing), 6.5 yards per play and 7-of-14 on third-down tries to a persistent Lions team on Monday, letting the game get away in the fourth quarter. The good news is that Baltimore’s offense has tallied 30 or more points in all three games so far. The bad news is that they’ve given up a combined 79 points in their two losses (both to solid teams, granted).
As for Kansas City, they did a pretty good job on defense against a struggling Giants team last weekend, bagging 281 yards, 4.6 yards per play and 1-of-10 on third downs allowed alongside a couple of interceptions. The offense was fairly pedestrian but got the job done against an overmatched team. Kansas City has fewer than 23 points in all three games so far, but they’ve given up just 29 combined over the last pair. Coming back home for this one will be a big lift, but I’m not sure the Chiefs can sustain a cover pace. Should be an interesting game, though.
The Baltimore Ravens recent form and player performance
The Kansas City Chiefs recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Baltimore Ravens
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Chiefs
Recent betting trends in games played between the Ravens and Chiefs
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Ravens vs Chiefs game
Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview
Baltimore kicked off their 2025 season with a tough matchup versus the Buffalo Bills. The Ravens got into a shootout on the road in that one, giving up 22 points in the fourth quarter during a 41-40 loss. Baltimore came up with a whopping 238 rushing yards in the defeat. Game two against the Cleveland Browns went a lot smoother for Baltimore. The Ravens posted 21 points in the fourth quarter alone during a 41-17 win. This time Baltimore had a tepid 242 total yards (197 passing) and 4.6 yards per play on average.
This past week the Ravens took on the Detroit Lions in a Monday game. Baltimore played a back-and-forth battle, heading into the final quarter with a 21-21 tie. When the dust settled however, the Ravens ended up with a 38-30 loss. QB Lamar Jackson logged a 21-of-27 line for 288 yards and three scores while Derrick Henry rushed for 50 yards and a touchdown. Mark Andrews was the leading receiver on six grabs for 91 yards and a couple of TDs.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview
Over on the Chiefs’ side, they opened up the year with a couple of tricky matchups and a couple of tough losses. Kansas City started against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 1, giving up points in every quarter during a 27-21 loss. The Chiefs defense surrendered 304 passing yards in the defeat. As for Week 2 versus the Philadelphia Eagles in a Super Bowl rematch, KC again gave up points in every quarter in a 20-17 loss. This time the defense was pretty stout though, posting 216 yards allowed, 3.7 yards per play and 5-of-14 on third downs.
Last Sunday evening versus the New York Giants, the Chiefs held a modest three-point lead at halftime. After a 13-3 run from there however, KC had the victory 22-9. QB Patrick Mahomes was 22-of-37 for 224 yards and a touchdown while Isiah Pacheco had 10 carries for 45 yards to top the rush. Tyquan Thornton was the leading receiver with five catches for 71 yards and the touchdown.
Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends: Week 4
Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win
The Chiefs have won each of their last 15 games at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium when playing with a rest advantage.
The Ravens have lost four of their last five Sunday games as road favorites.
The Chiefs have covered the spread in each of their last four Week 4 home games.
The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five Sunday road games.
The Ravens have lost the first quarter in four of their last six games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
Why the Baltimore Ravens will win
The Ravens have won each of their last eight games as favorites following a home loss.
The Ravens have covered the spread in each of their last five games as favorites following a home loss.
The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five Sunday games at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
The Chiefs have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games.
The Chiefs have lost the first half in each of their last three September games against AFC opponents.
Total Points Facts
Each of the Ravens’ last seven games as favorites following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Each of the Chiefs’ last four September games against AFC North opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Ravens vs Chiefs Prediction
I’ll take Baltimore in this one. The Ravens are playing on a short week and coming off a tough loss at home so it’ll be a tricky turnaround. Baltimore gave up 426 yards (224 rushing), 6.5 yards per play and 7-of-14 on third-down tries to a persistent Lions team on Monday, letting the game get away in the fourth quarter. The good news is that Baltimore’s offense has tallied 30 or more points in all three games so far. The bad news is that they’ve given up a combined 79 points in their two losses (both to solid teams, granted).
As for Kansas City, they did a pretty good job on defense against a struggling Giants team last weekend, bagging 281 yards, 4.6 yards per play and 1-of-10 on third downs allowed alongside a couple of interceptions. The offense was fairly pedestrian but got the job done against an overmatched team. Kansas City has fewer than 23 points in all three games so far, but they’ve given up just 29 combined over the last pair. Coming back home for this one will be a big lift, but I’m not sure the Chiefs can sustain a cover pace. Should be an interesting game, though.