Buffalo Bills (13-4) vs Baltimore Ravens (12-5)
Game Info: Sunday, January 19, 2025 at 6:30 pm (Highmark Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Buffalo Bills +1.5 — Over/Under: 51.5
In this article, we will formulate a Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, January 19th at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this AFC Divisional playoff game.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview
The Baltimore Ravens are 12-5 this year after they beat Pittsburgh by a score of 28-14 in their last game. Baltimore led 21-0 at halftime, but they did allow 14 points in the third quarter, before clamping down on defense in the win. The Ravens outgained Pittsburgh by a total of 464-280, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 10-15 on third down in the game. Lamar Jackson threw for 175 yards and two touchdowns, while Derrick Henry rushed for 186 yards and two scores in the game.
Prior to that game, the Ravens defeated the Texans by a score of 31-2 and the Steelers by a score of 34-17. Baltimore has won five games in a row and they won the AFC North by two games over Pittsburgh. The Baltimore offense has scored 30.5 points per game with 237.4 passing yards and 187.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 21.2 points per game this year. Lamar Jackson completed 66.7% of his passes for 4,172 yards, 41 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Derrick Henry rushed for 1,921 yards and 16 scores during the regular season.
Buffalo Bills Betting Preview
The Buffalo Bills are 13-4 this season after they defeated Denver by a score of 31-7 in their last game. Buffalo trailed 7-0 in the first quarter, but they scored the last 31 points in the game for the easy win. The Bills outgained Denver by a total of 471-224, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 8-15 on third down in the game. Josh Allen threw for 272 yards and two touchdowns, while James Cook rushed for 120 yards and one score in the win.
Prior to that game, the Bills lost to the Patriots by a score of 23-16 but did beat the Jets by a score of 40-14 before that. Buffalo has won four of their last five games and they won the AFC East by five games over Miami. The Buffalo offense has scored 30.9 points per game with 227.9 passing yards and 131.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 21.6 points per game this season. Josh Allen completed 63.6% of his passes for 3,731 yards, 28 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while James Cook rushed for 1,009 yards and 16 scores during the regular season.
The First Meeting
Baltimore won the first meeting between these two teams by a score of 35-10 back in late September. Baltimore had their lead cut to 21-10 in the third quarter, but they scored the last two touchdowns to pull away for the win. The Ravens outgained Buffalo by a total of 427-236, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 5-9 on third down in the win.
Why the Bills will beat the Ravens
- The Bills have won each of their last nine home games.
- The Ravens have lost four of their last five Divisional Round road games.
- The Bills have covered the spread in each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Ravens have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
Why the Ravens will beat the Bills
- The Ravens have won nine of their last 10 games following a Division game.
- The Bills have lost each of their last three Divisional Round games.
- The Ravens have covered the spread in seven of their last eight postseason road games against AFC opponents.
- The Bills have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as underdogs following a win.
- The Bills have lost the first half in 12 of their last 14 games as underdogs against AFC North opponents.
- The Bills have lost the first quarter in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AFC North opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Twelve of the Bills’ last 14 games against AFC North opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Ravens’ last six road games against AFC East opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts
- Josh Allen has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bills’ last seven home games against teams on a winning streak.
- James Cook has recorded 78+ rushing yards in three of the Bills’ last four games as underdogs.
- Amari Cooper has recorded 42+ receiving yards in 12 of his 13 previous appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC North opponents.
- Josh Allen has recorded 253+ passing yards in each of the Bills’ last five games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Josh Allen has recorded 26+ completions in six of the Bills’ last eight games as underdogs with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Curtis Samuel has recorded 22+ rushing and receiving yards in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as a home underdog.
- Rasul Douglas is just one away from 20 career interceptions (including playoffs).
Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts
- Derrick Henry has scored two touchdowns in three of his last four January appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Mark Andrews has recorded 41+ receiving yards in 10 of the Ravens’ last 11 games as favorites with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 237+ passing yards in six of the Ravens’ last seven Sunday games.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 21+ completions in three of the Ravens’ last four Sunday games as road favorites.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 54+ rushing yards in each of his eight previous January appearances with the Ravens as favorites against AFC opponents.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 140+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Ravens’ last five games as favorites against AFC opponents.
- Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Ravens’ last six games as favorites following a home win.
- Lamar Jackson ranked 1st amongst qualified players for passer rating (119.6) during the reg. season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Bills ranked 1st in the NFL in H2 points per game (16.6) during the reg. season.
- The Bills ranked 1st in the NFL in H2 win percentage (76.5) during the reg. season.
- The Ravens ranked 1st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (80.1) during the reg. season.
- The Ravens ranked 1st in the NFL in red zone percentage (74.2%) during the reg. season.
Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills Prediction
Both of these teams have had great seasons so far and both are definitely good enough to win a Super Bowl, but they will meet in the Divisional round here. Buffalo will have the home-field advantage and will hope for revenge after getting blown out in Baltimore earlier in the season. Both of these offenses are very good, but Baltimore has been slightly better over the last few weeks, scoring at least 28 points in five straight games. This is going to be a very entertaining game that either side could win, but I think we are actually going to see a lower-scoring game. The weather is going to be very cold at kickoff for these teams and the Baltimore defense has really turned things around after a bad start to the season. Take the under here.