Atlanta (3-4) vs New England (6-2)
November 2, 2025 at 01:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: New England -4.5 — Over/Under: +44.5
The Atlanta Falcons and New England Patriots meet Sunday in NFL action at Gillette Stadium. Here’s a Atlanta Falcons vs New England Patriots Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Falcons vs New England Patriots Pick.
The Atlanta Falcons lost to the 49ers and Dolphins, and they play the Colts next. The Atlanta Falcons have split their last 6 games. Michael Penix Jr. is completing 61 percent of his passes for 1,409 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Bijan Robinson and Drake London have combined for 882 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Kyle Pitts has 39 receptions.
The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 123.3 yards per contest, and Bijan Robinson leads the way with 549 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 22 points and 275.6 yards per game. Kaden Elliss leads the Atlanta Falcons with 48 tackles, Zach Harrison has 3.5 sacks and Xavier Watts has 2 interceptions.
The New England Patriots beat the Browns and Titans, and play the Buccaneers next. The New England Patriots have won 5 straight games. Drake Maye is completing 75.2 percent of his passes for 2,026 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Stefon Diggs and Kayshon Boutte have combined for 901 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Hunter Henry has 25 receptions.
The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 112.6 yards per contest, and Rhamondre Stevenson leads the way with 279 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 18.3 points and 300.4 yards per game. Robert Spillane leads the New England Patriots with 67 tackles, Harold Landry III has 5.5 sacks and Marcus Jones has 2 interceptions.
This game has a lot to do with the status of quarterback Michael Penix Jr., who is considered day-to-day at the time of this writing. The Falcons would have a lot more juice offensively if he plays, while the defense is still second in total defense and first against the pass. If he doesn’t play, I have to roll with the Patriots by a touchdown.
The Falcons have been dead offensively these last two weeks and got smoked by the Dolphins. The Patriots are 6-2 ATS on the season, and that includes 5 straight covers. The Falcons are 5-9 ATS in their last 14 games when underdogs of 3 or more points. The Patriots are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games when favorites of 3 or more points. Give me the Pats by a touchdown.
Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview
The Atlanta Falcons lost to the 49ers and Dolphins, and they play the Colts next. The Atlanta Falcons have split their last 6 games. Michael Penix Jr. is completing 61 percent of his passes for 1,409 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Bijan Robinson and Drake London have combined for 882 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Kyle Pitts has 39 receptions.
The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 123.3 yards per contest, and Bijan Robinson leads the way with 549 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 22 points and 275.6 yards per game. Kaden Elliss leads the Atlanta Falcons with 48 tackles, Zach Harrison has 3.5 sacks and Xavier Watts has 2 interceptions.
New England Patriots Betting Preview
The New England Patriots beat the Browns and Titans, and play the Buccaneers next. The New England Patriots have won 5 straight games. Drake Maye is completing 75.2 percent of his passes for 2,026 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Stefon Diggs and Kayshon Boutte have combined for 901 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Hunter Henry has 25 receptions.
The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 112.6 yards per contest, and Rhamondre Stevenson leads the way with 279 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 18.3 points and 300.4 yards per game. Robert Spillane leads the New England Patriots with 67 tackles, Harold Landry III has 5.5 sacks and Marcus Jones has 2 interceptions.
Why the New England Patriots will win
- The Patriots have won each of their last six Sunday games against the Falcons.
- The Falcons have lost nine of their last 10 road games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- The Patriots have covered the spread in each of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Patriots have won the first quarter in six of their last eight November home games against NFC opponents.
- The Falcons have lost the first half in six of their last eight games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
Why the Atlanta Falcons will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Falcons’ last three games.
- The Patriots have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against NFC opponents.
- The Falcons have covered the spread in eight of their last 10 games as underdogs following a home loss.
- The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games following a win.
- The Patriots have lost the first quarter in each of their last two games as favorites.
Total Points Facts
- Twelve of the Falcons’ last 13 games played as underdogs on the East Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Patriots’ last four November games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
New England Patriots Player Prop Facts
- Stefon Diggs has scored at least one touchdown in four of his five previous appearances at Gillette Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 75+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Patriots’ last seven November games against NFC opponents.
- Austin Hooper has recorded 23+ receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against NFC South opponents.
- Drake Maye has recorded 230+ passing yards in six of the Patriots’ last eight games.
- TreVeyon Henderson has recorded 27+ rushing yards in each of the Patriots’ last four games at Gillette Stadium.
- Drake Maye has recorded 21+ completions in six of the Patriots’ last eight games following a win.
- Heading into Week 9, Kayshon Boutte ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (4) this season.
Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts
- Bijan Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Falcons’ last five games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 238+ passing yards in each of his four previous appearances following a home loss.
- Bijan Robinson has recorded 102+ rushing yards in three of the Falcons’ last four games against AFC opponents.
- Drake London has recorded 61+ receiving yards in four of his last five appearances against AFC opponents.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 21+ completions in each of his last four appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Heading into Week 9, Bijan Robinson has recorded the longest rush of the season (81 yards vs Bills, Week 6).
Matchup/League Facts
- Patriots – six different players have recorded 60+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
- Patriots – six different players have recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
- Heading into Week 9, the Falcons rank 2nd in the NFL in yards allowed per game (275.6) this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Falcons rank 2nd in the NFL in 1st downs against (122) this season.
Atlanta Falcons vs New England Patriots Prediction
This game has a lot to do with the status of quarterback Michael Penix Jr., who is considered day-to-day at the time of this writing. The Falcons would have a lot more juice offensively if he plays, while the defense is still second in total defense and first against the pass. If he doesn’t play, I have to roll with the Patriots by a touchdown.
The Falcons have been dead offensively these last two weeks and got smoked by the Dolphins. The Patriots are 6-2 ATS on the season, and that includes 5 straight covers. The Falcons are 5-9 ATS in their last 14 games when underdogs of 3 or more points. The Patriots are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games when favorites of 3 or more points. Give me the Pats by a touchdown.