| MATCHUP | Atlanta Falcons | Green Bay Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Spread | +6 -108 | -6 -112 |
| Moneyline | +235 | -290 |
| Total | Over 44.5 (-102) | Under 44.5 (-118) |
| Where | Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI | |
| When | Thursday, September 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | Prime Video | |
Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview
The Atlanta Falcons lost to the Steelers and Panthers, and they play the Saints next. The Atlanta Falcons haven’t started 0-3 since the 2020 season. Cooper Rush is completing 56.4 percent of his passes for 229 yards, 1 touchdown, and 4 interceptions. Bijan Robinson and Drake London have combined for 179 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Jahan Dotson has 3 receptions.
The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 138.5 yards per contest, and Bijan Robinson leads the way with 155 yards on 37 carries. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 27 points and 302 yards per game. Jessie Bates III leads the Atlanta Falcons with 12 tackles, Za’Darius Smith has 2.5 sacks, and Mike Hughes has 2 pass deflections.
Green Bay Packers Betting Preview
The Green Bay Packers lost to the Vikings, beat the Jets, and they play the Buccaneers next. The Packers have lost 5 of their last 6 regular season games. Jordan Love is completing 52.1 percent of his passes for 532 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Christian Watson and Matthew Goldson have combined for 341 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Tucker Kraft has 5 receptions.
The Green Bay Packers ground game is averaging 64.5 yards per contest, and MarShawn Lloyd leads the way with 57 yards on 19 carries. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing 28 points and 262 yards per game. Evan Williams leads the Green Bay Packers with 19 tackles, Lukas Van Ness has 2.5 sacks, and Keisean Nixon has 1 interception.
Why the Green Bay Packers will win
- The Packers have won each of their last 11 home openers against NFC opponents.
- The Falcons have lost each of their last four road games without Kyle Pitts.
- The Packers have covered the spread in each of their last six home openers against NFC opponents.
- The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games without Olamide Zaccheaus.
- The home team has won the first quarter in six of the Falcons’ last seven Week 3 games.
- The Falcons have lost the first half in five of their last six September games as road underdogs.
Why the Atlanta Falcons will win
- The underdogs have won seven of the Packers’ last eight Week 3 games.
- The Packers have lost each of their last three games as favorites without Tucker Kraft.
- The Packers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games without MarShawn Lloyd.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in eight of the Packers’ last nine Week 3 games.
- The Packers have lost the first quarter in four of their last five September games against NFC South opponents.
- The Packers have lost the first half in four of their last five Week 3 home games against NFC opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Falcons’ last five games as underdogs without Kyle Pitts have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Packers’ last four games as favorites without Tucker Kraft have gone OVER the total points line.
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Jordan Love has recorded 19+ completions in four of his last five September appearances at Lambeau Field.
- Tyrod Taylor has recorded 25+ rushing yards in four of his last five home appearances against NFC opponents.
- Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight appearances with the Packers as home favorites against NFC opponents.
- Tyrod Taylor has recorded 172+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances as a starter.
- Jonnu Smith has recorded 12+ receiving yards in 13 of his last 14 appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
- Jonnu Smith has recorded 13+ rushing and receiving yards in 13 of his last 14 appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
- Josh Jacobs has scored the last touchdown in each of his last three home appearances against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 3, Zach Tom ranks T1st in the league for fumbles recovered (1) this season.
Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts
- Brian Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in four of his five previous September appearances with his team as a road underdog.
- Bijan Robinson has recorded 83+ rushing yards in nine of the Falcons’ last 10 games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
- Austin Hooper has recorded 17+ receiving yards in each of his last 11 appearances with the Falcons as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- Brian Robinson has recorded 67+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his three previous September appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 3, Bijan Robinson has the most rushing yards without a rushing touchdown this season (155).
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 3, the Packers rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards per game (64.5) this season.
- Heading into Week 3, the Packers rank 1st in the NFL in average punt return (18.2 yards) this season.
- Heading into Week 3, the Falcons rank 32nd in the NFL in passing yards per game (123.5) this season.
- Heading into Week 3, the Falcons rank 32nd in the NFL in turnover differential (-6) this season.
Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers Prediction
I’m not running to the window to back the Falcons, but their offense should have more life with Michael Penix Jr. at quarterback. There are too many weapons on this Falcons offense to score just 16 points through two games. I’ve faded the Packers twice this season, and it’s paid off both times. The Packers are still missing key players on both sides of the ball, and they would be winless on the season if the Jets weren’t the Jets.
The Packers have no rushing attack through two games, and the offensive line isn’t holding up. I’ll grab the free touchdown with the Falcons, as I just don’t like what I’m seeing from the Packers, and the change at QB is an improvement for Atlanta.