Buffalo Bills (13-4) vs Denver Broncos (10-7)
Game Info: Sunday, January 12, 2025 at 1:00 pm (Highmark Stadium)
Betting Odds: Buffalo Bills -9 -- Over/Under: 47 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: CBS
The Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills meet Sunday in the AFC Wild Card Playoffs at Highmark Stadium. Here’s a Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills Prediction. This article will include a Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills Pick. The winner of this game will face the Steelers or Ravens in the next round.
Denver Broncos Betting Preview
The Denver Broncos recently lost to the Chargers and Bengals, and they beat the Chiefs. The Denver Broncos have lost 4 of their last 5 road games. Bo Nix is completing 66.3 percent of his passes for 3,775 yards, 29 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions. Courtland Sutton and Marvin Mims Jr. have combined for 1,584 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns, while Devaughn Vele has 41 receptions.
The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 112.2 yards per contest, and Javonte Williams leads the way with 513 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Denver is allowing 18.3 points and 317.1 yards per game. Brandon Jones leads the Denver Broncos with 115 tackles, Nik Bonitto has 13.5 sacks and Pat Surtain II has 4 interceptions.
Buffalo Bills Betting Preview
The Buffalo Bills recently beat the Patriots and Jets, while losing to the Patriots. The Bills haven’t lost a home game yet this season. Josh Allen is completing 63.6 percent of his passes for 3,731 yards, 28 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Khalil Shakir and Keon Coleman have combined for 1,377 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Dalton Kincaid has 44 receptions.
The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 133.5 yards per contest, and James Cook leads the way with 1,009 yards and 16 touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 22.1 points and 347.7 yards per game. Dorian Williams leads the Buffalo Bills with 117 tackles, Greg Rousseau has 8 sacks and Ja’Marcus Ingram has 2 interceptions.
Why the Buffalo Bills will win
- The home team has won each of the Bills' last eight Wild Card Round games.
- The Broncos have lost each of their last seven road games in January.
- The favorites have covered the spread in 12 of the Broncos' last 13 games.
- The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as road underdogs following a home win.
- The Bills have won the first half in each of their last six games at Highmark Stadium against teams that held a winning record.
- The Bills have won the first quarter in each of their last six Wild Card Round games at Highmark Stadium.
Why the Denver Broncos will win
- The Broncos have won three of their last four games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
- The Bills have lost each of their last two January games as favorites.
- The Broncos have covered the spread in six of their last seven Sunday games.
- The Bills have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five postseason games.
- The Bills have lost the first half in three of their last four games as favorites.
- The Bills have lost the first quarter in each of their last two games as favorites following a road loss.
Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts
- Dawson Knox has scored the first touchdown in each of the Bills' last four Wild Card Round games at Highmark Stadium.
- James Cook has scored two touchdowns in each of the Bills' last three games against teams with a winning record.
- James Cook has recorded 99+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four appearances following a road loss.
- James Cook has recorded 58+ rushing yards in each of his last six appearances following a road loss.
- Josh Allen has recorded 21+ completions in eight of the Bills' last nine January home games against AFC opponents.
- Josh Allen has recorded 264+ passing yards in four of the Bills' last five Wild Card Round games.
- James Cook has scored at least one touchdown in seven of the Bills' last eight Sunday games.
- Amari Cooper has recorded 35+ receiving yards in 14 of his last 15 appearances with his team as a favorite following a loss.
- Rasul Douglas is just one away from 20 career interceptions (including playoffs).
Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Courtland Sutton has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Broncos' last five Sunday games.
- Bo Nix has recorded 25+ rushing yards in four of the Broncos' last five games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- Bo Nix has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Broncos' last three games against AFC opponents.
- Courtland Sutton has recorded 70+ receiving yards in six of the Broncos' last seven Sunday games.
- Bo Nix has recorded 273+ passing yards in three of the Broncos' last four Sunday games.
- Marvin Mims Jr. has recorded 51+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Broncos' last five games.
- Heading into the Wild Card Round, Nik Bonitto is the only player to record at least one sack in six consecutive appearances this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into the Wild Card Round, the Bills ranked 1st in the NFL in H2 points per game (16.6) during the reg. season.
- Heading into the Wild Card Round, the Bills ranked 1st in the NFL in H2 win percentage (76.5) during the reg. season.
- Heading into the Wild Card Round, the Broncos ranked 1st in the NFL in H2 opponent points per game (7.6) during the reg. season.
- Heading into the Wild Card Round, the Broncos ranked 31st in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (21.4) during the reg. season.
Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills Prediction
The Buffalo Bills are obviously the more well-rounded team at home, so they're going to be favored. The Denver Broncos are also ahead of schedule, so many are still doubting them. Are the Broncos just happy to be here? The Bills have been thinking Super Bowl since August. The line isn't surprising, taking all of that into account. I'm still not leaving nine points on the table in a playoff game. The Broncos may be limited offensively, but they're seventh in total defense and third in scoring defense. The Broncos have held six of their last 10 opponents under 20 points. The Broncos have also covered eight of their last 10 games when an underdog of seven or more points. The Bills probably win, but the Broncos are too tough defensively to just get walked over. Give me the points.
Randy’s Pick Denver Broncos +9
AUTHOR: Randy Chambers
