LA Chargers vs Houston Texans Prediction NFL Picks 1/11/25

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Los Angeles

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston

-Recent betting trends in games played between LA and Houston

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Chargers and Texans. 

Chargers Have Confidence

The Chargers have confidence heading into this game and they come into this game with an 11-6 record overall and they have gone 12-5 against the spread. In the last game against the Raiders, the offense scored 34 points and they ended up winning by 14 points. The offense scored 14 points in the 2nd and 4th quarter and that was enough for the win. Justin Herbert completed 28 of his 36 passes for 346 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions. Running back Quentin Johnson had a huge game finishing with 13 carries for 186 yards. J.K. Dobbins also rushed for 18 carries for 63 yards. Two games ago against the New England Patriots they were able to secure the 40-7 victory. 

The Chargers are averaging 20.6 points while their defense is giving up 17.7 points per game. The offense is ranked 11th in the league while the defense is ranked 1st. Justin Herbert finished with 3,870 yards, 23 touchdowns, and three interceptions. Not turning the ball over is going to be a key. Running back Gus Edwards is dealing with an ankle injury and he’s questionable for this game. Joshua Palmer is dealing with a foot injury and he’s also questionable heading into this game. 

Why the Chargers Will Beat the Texans

• The Chargers have won each of their last six games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Texans have lost six of their last seven games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Chargers have covered the spread in each of their last six games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Texans have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six postseason games as underdogs.
• The Texans have lost the first quarter in three of their last four home games against AFC opponents.
• The Texans have lost the first half in five of their last six home games in January.

What Will the Texans Do?

The Texans sit with a 10-7 record overall, but it feels like they kind of just limped into the playoffs. In the last game, they beat the Titans but they also started Davis Mills so not a whole lot can be taken away from them. On Christmas Day, the Texans faced off against Baltimore Ravens and they scored a grand total of two points on a safety while the defense gave up 31 points. CJ Stroud completed 17 of his 31 passes for 185 yards, zero touchdowns, and one interception. The top rusher was Joe Mixon who finished with nine catches for 26 yards.

The Texans are averaging 21.9 points while their defense is giving up 21.9 points per game. The offense is ranked 19th in the league while the defense is ranked 14th in the league. One big issue for this team has been the injuries. Tank Dell suffered a terrible leg injury a couple of games ago and Stefon Diggs is also on the IR. In this game, the Texans are going to need to get the offense out to a fast start. Stroud at times has looked like he has lost some confidence and getting out to a fast start here will be key.

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans Prediction

Stroud’s confidence in the last couple of games is a major problem, and it’s going to really hurt him here. The Texans are averaging 21.9 points per game but now Stroud has to go against a very good defense, and that will end up being the difference. Look for Justin Herbert to have a bigger game here, and that is going to be the difference here as the visiting team is going to get the job done here. The Texans are going to struggle to get even ten points, and LA will come out on top. Back the Chargers against the spread.