LA Chargers (7-3) vs Baltimore Ravens (7-4)
Game Info: Monday, November 25, 2024 at 8:15 pm (SoFi Stadium)
Betting Odds: LA Chargers +135 / Baltimore Ravens -160 --- Over/Under: 46 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Baltimore Ravens (7-4) will face the Los Angeles Chargers (7-3) on November 25, 2024, at SoFi Stadium. This Monday Night Football matchup has significant playoff implications, with both teams aiming for higher standings in a very competitive AFC.
Despite a recent loss to the Steelers, Baltimore boasts a strong offensive profile, averaging 30.4 points per game, largely thanks to their second-ranked rushing attack (177.3 yards per game). Derrick Henry is expected to play a pivotal role, projected for over 100 rushing yards. However, their pass defense has struggled, allowing the most passing yards in the NFL (284.5 per game), which could be a vulnerability against the Chargers' air attack.
The Chargers come in as 3-point underdogs but have been effective this season with a balanced offense led by Justin Herbert, who recently threw for nearly 300 yards and two touchdowns against the Bengals. Herbert’s connection with targets like Ladd McConkey has been useful. They’ve also been strong on the ground led by JK Dobbins.
Ladd McConkey Over 66.5 Receiving Yards
Ladd McConkey has emerged as the top wide receiver for the Los Angeles Chargers in this season. Over 10 games, he has recorded 43 receptions for 615 yards, averaging 14.3 yards per catch, and has scored 4 touchdowns. This Chargers team came into this season lacking depth and talent at the wide receiver position and McConkey has stepped up in a big way.
Last week against the Bengals Ladd McConkey had a season-high of 123 receiving yards. As the season goes on McConkey and Herbert will continue to gain more chemistry and I expect his usage to increase. This Ravens secondary has been susceptible to giving up big plays in the passing game. There's still a lot of value in taking the over on McConkeys receiving yards as I expect his line to increase as the season goes on.
Derek Henry Under 84.5 Rush Yards
Derrick Henry has been a powerhouse for the Baltimore Ravens during the 2024-25 season, fitting seamlessly into their offense. As of now, he has surpassed 1,000 rushing yards, demonstrating his consistency and dominance as a runner. The Ravens have utilized Henry effectively in various scenarios, emphasizing his ability to wear down defenses with his size and speed.
After a historic start to the season, Derrick Henry has recently come down to earth. In his last 4 games, we’ve seen Derrick Henry get above 80 rushing yards only once. Henry has been in the league for many years and at this point and you can expect the constant usage to take an effect as we get into this 2nd half of the season. This Chargers defense is also very strong. They don’t make it easy on any running back. Derrick Henry might be overvalued at this point of the season I’m looking to exploit that by looking at his unders until oddsmakers adjust.
Lamar Jackson Over 44 Rush Yards
Lamar Jackson's rushing stats for the 2024 NFL season with the Baltimore Ravens showcase his dual-threat capabilities. Over 11 games, he has amassed 584 rushing yards on 95 attempts, averaging an impressive 6.1 yards per carry. He also contributes with 53.1 rushing yards per game and has scored 2 rushing touchdowns. Some standout performances include a 122-yard game against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 1 and an 87-yard, 1-touchdown game against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 3.
I expect Lamar to use his legs a lot in this game against the Chargers. The Chargers like to bring pressure which will force Lamar to get out of the pocket. We saw last week when he faced an elite pass rush he cleared this line of 44 rush yards. We’ll see a similar result on Monday night.
Brad’s Pick See Above
AUTHOR: Brad Francis
